Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: CIN 20, CLE 23 (Line: CIN by 2.5)

Updated Players: Jordan Norwood

This is a repeat game. The 3-2 Bengals already won 34-27 at home in week two. The difference this time is the venue and the fact that all the 0-5 Browns rookies are a month more experienced. The Bengals have won seven of the last eight but this is going to be the Browns best chance to get a win until week 14 unless they get the obligatory trap game.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BAL 13-44 10 NYG -----
2 CLE 34-27 11 @KC -----
3 @WAS 38-31 12 OAK -----
4 @JAC 27-10 13 @SD -----
5 MIA 13-17 14 DAL -----
6 @CLE ----- 15 @PHI -----
7 PIT ----- 16 @PIT -----
8 BYE ----- 17 BAL -----
9 DEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton 10 280,2
WR A.J. Green 5-80,1

Pregame Notes: The Bengals have played inconsistently at best this year and come off a home loss to the Dolphins which should have been one of the softer games of the year. The Bengals have to resist the urge to look past this to the Steelers match-up in week seven because the Browns came within one touchdown of tying in Cincinnati.

Andy Dalton has also calmed down from his initial 300 yard, three touchdown games in weeks two and three. Against the Jaguars he only threw for 244 yards and two scores and then 234 yards with one touchdown against the Dolphins. Dalton passed for 318 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting in Cincy.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been a fantasy frustration after starting out with 91 rushing yards on 18 runs and scoring once on the Ravens. Since then he has averaged less than three yards per carry and ran for only 75 yards on 21 runs at home against the Browns. Bernard Scott is gone now and that may help BGE a little but Scott was only a very minor player anyway. The lack of a decent rushing effort still plagues the Bengals.

Jermaine Gresham has been solid each week with around five catches but he only has one touchdown on the season and turned in just four catches for 37 yards in the previous Browns match-up.

A.J. Green is on a four game scoring spree with solid yardage and receptions in each. That started against the Browns when he caught seven passes for 58 yards and one score. Oddly his best two games and only ones over 70 yards were both on the road. Andrew Hawkins also scored in week two with just two catches for 56 yards and one very impressive scamper through the defense for a touchdown. But these last two weeks, Hawkins has only produced less than 50 yards per week with no scores. Armon Binns and Brandon Tate are both non-factors.

It is easy enough to expect week two to repeat and the Browns come off a thrashing in New York. But this one is at home for the Browns and one of the best chances for them to finally get a win. The Bengals cannot take this one lightly.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 13 27 2 21 14 16
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 27 24 31 3 13 26

QB Andy Dalton, CIN @DEN 10000021010 ***
Denver remains good at limiting yardage through the air, but no team has allowed TD passes with a higher frequency in the past five weeks. One of every 7.6 completions has scored. The likelihood of Dalton finding a great deal of success is rather low, however. He's a high-risk, moderate-reward candidate.
RB Joe Mixon, CIN @DEN 4003200000 ***
In the past five weeks, Denver has allowed 111.8 rushing yards (9th), 23.8 aerial yards (31st) and a TD every 20 touches (2nd). A matching four TDs on the ground and through the sky have been scored vs. Denver over its last five. Craziness.
RB Giovani Bernard, CIN @DEN 1004300000 **
While the Broncos have encountered a few hiccups against running backs in recent weeks, the pass-catching backs have remained out in the cold but not out of the end zone. This is the sixth-hardest matchup for receptions and second-best for yardage. TD-wise, one in five catches has gone for a score, which is easily the worst defense of RBs in this area.
WR A.J. Green, CIN @DEN 005600000 ***
Green has faced Denver each of the past two seasons and has done a decent job in PPR scoring. He had 15.7 points last year and 16.7 in 2015. The Broncos remain strong against wideouts -- ranked 31st in both scoring formats -- but have given up a TD every 10.7 receptions (8th-softest rate). Luckily for Denver, this translates to only three in five games.
WR Brandon LaFell, CIN @DEN 004400000 ***
A.J. Green's sidekick stepped up last week, going for 95 yards on six grabs, including a TD. The veteran has just two scores on the year (both in the last four games). Denver remains dominant against receivers in yards and catches, although three of the past 32 have gone for six.
TE Tyler Kroft, CIN @DEN 005401000 ***
Tight ends have averaged 6.2 receptions (3rd most), 100.2 yards (most) and a TD every 7.8 catches (8th). Kroft could enjoy a fine fantasy day in Week 11 against easily the worst defense of this position.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Randy Bullock, CIN @DEN 3311 ***
The Broncos have been a fine place to look for fantasy success. The position has averaged 2.2 field goals on 2.4 attempts, also making 3.6 extra points on 3.8 kicks per contest.

Cleveland Browns
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 16-17 10 BYE -----
2 @CIN 27-34 11 @DAL -----
3 BUF 14-24 12 PIT -----
4 @BAL 16-23 13 @OAK -----
5 @NYG 27-41 14 KC -----
6 CIN ----- 15 WAS -----
7 @IND ----- 16 @DEN -----
8 SD ----- 17 @PIT -----
9 BAL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Kenny Britt 2-30
WR Josh Gordon 3-50,1

Pregame Notes: The strain of losing is no fun but the Browns are pretty much accustomed to it anyway. They have been in every game this year at least for a while before it gets irretrievably out of reach. Brandon Weeden has already proven a big upgrade by throwing for around 300 yards three times this year including 322 yards and two scores in Cincinnati using virtually no NFL-quality receivers. Weeden has just five scores against nine interceptions but had no turnovers in the previous meeting with the Bengals

Trent Richardson still has a career best mark of 109 rushing yards on 19 runs when he played in Cincy and he scored twice in that game. Richardson has scored at least once in each of the last four games and adds five or six receptions as well. His season high in carries has been 19 which again came when facing the Bengals. His yardage has been nothing spectacular so far but he has always scored and his dual role helps support his fantasy value.

The tight ends are little used and never score for the Browns. Benjamin Watson has been more productive lately though just last week ended with only one catch in New York. Jordan Cameron had a touchdown there called back on a penalty and has been little used otherwise. Weeden occasionally relies on them but a lack of scoring or consistent use means no real fantasy value here.

Greg Little had his only touchdown on the year with his five receptions for 57 yards in Cincy but has since mostly been dropping passes and frustrating Weeden. Little has the ability to get open and the speed to do some damage. It is just that whole "while holding the ball" thing that has been a problem. Mohamed Massaquoi had the big game of 90 yards in the last meeting with the Bengals but has since been out with a hamstring strain. Jordan Norwood is getting more playing time from the slot and turned in nine catches for 81 yards versus the Giants. Just as important - Norwood caught all nine of his passes.

The Bengals defense let the Browns score 27 points in Cincy. The receivers are less certain for the Bengals but Richardson goes against a defense that has allowed five different runners to score on them - including Richardson... twice.

Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 26 10 23 23 15 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 19 27 5 21 16 28

QB DeShone Kizer, CLE JAC 30000017012 ***
The worst matchup in fantasy for one of the worst rookie quarterbacks in recent memory ... no thanks.
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE JAC 6014300000 ***
The Jaguars have yielded just one rushing score in the last 81 carries against them, which is the seventh-strongest rate. Crowell has scored in consecutive games and is enjoying a minor renaissance after being a bust for the first half of 2017. Overall, his matchup is soundly in the negative column, and this is a slightly optimistic projection.
RB Duke Johnson Jr., CLE JAC 3005400000 ***
The Jaguars have given up just 5.0 receptions for 39.5 yards and a score every 10 catches, or every other game. There isn't a ton of upside here, especially with an inexperienced quarterback who will struggle with checkdowns.
WR Corey Coleman, CLE JAC 002300000 ***
Coleman returns from injury to face the worst possible matchup available. Avoid him in all setups.
WR Ricardo Louis, CLE JAC 001200000 ***
Jacksonville ranks as the toughest defense of wideouts in both scoring formats. The softest this team ranks in receptions, yards or TDs is third-hardest.
TE Seth DeValve, CLE JAC 002200000 ***
DeValve has no place on a fantasy roster right now, and this is a terrible matchup to boot.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Zane Gonzalez, CLE JAC 2211 ***
Gonzalez has topped six fantasy points only one time this season. Avoid him in all formats.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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