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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: ARI 10, NYJ 24 (Line: NYJ by 4.5)

Players Updated: Andre Roberts, Beanie Wells

Players to Watch: Ryan Lindley, Bilal Powell

The 4-7 Cardinals continue their impressive plunge with a seven game losing streak and a 1-4 road mark. The 4-7 Jets have won a few times in the last seven games and are at home. The Jets may be like NFL-lite this year but it's harder to explain why the Cardinals won any games this year than it is how they lost seven in a row..

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL 19-23
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL 17-31
4 MIA 24-21 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL 3-17 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF 16-19 15 DET -----
7 @MIN 14-21 16 CHI -----
8 SF 3-24 17 @SF -----
9 @GB 17-31 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 190,1
WR Larry Fitzgerald 3-40
TE Jermaine Gresham 5-40,1
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cardinals continue their losing streak that has an excellent chance of extending into next year. Likely the home stand against the Lions will be their best chance but even that won't likely see them favored. This season started out with much the same players and all the same coaches and schemes. But nothing has worked and problems at quarterback continue to plague any chance of a turnaround.

Ryan Lindley will continue to start until such time that Kevin Kolb makes it back since John Skelton is no longer considered an option. But in a home game against the Rams, Lindley threw for 312 yards and no scores with four interceptions including two that were returned for touchdowns by the defense. Teams are plotting to take away Larry Fitzgerald and then see what happens.

What happens is that Fitzgerald now has four catches for 42 yards from the last two games combined, And the Cardinals lose so there is no reason to expect anything different from future opponents. At least Andre Roberts caught nine passes for 92 yards and even second-year tight end Robert Housler had a career best eight receptions for 82 yards. William Powell plays third downs and ended with six catches for 63 yards. Defenses are just effectively saying you do not get Fitzgerald - what are you going to do?

Beanie Wells returned after missing all the games since week three and even posted two rushing touchdowns and yet only 48 yards on 17 carries and that includes the ten-yard run for one score. He is apparently back to health since he is rarely getting two yards past the line of scrimmage. LaRod Stephens-Howling only took one carry in the game. The only real notable was Powell's six catches from Lindley since he only had seven catches in all previous games combined.

No reason to expect a turn-around this week. The Jets held four of their visitors to either one or no passing scores and most remain well under 200 passing yards there. The rushing defense is weaker but not as weak as the rushing offense of the Cardinals.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 26 30 16 28 25 13
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 11 27 9 26 20 28

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Bradford, ARI CHI 0000018001 ***
There is zero reason to play Bradford against the Bears, especially if Larry Fitzgerald doesn't play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB David Johnson, ARI CHI 4006400000 ***
No team has been stronger in this young season than the Bears when it comes to limiting running backs. Across the board, this is the best defense in rushing TDs, receiving TDs, combined scores, PPR points and standard scoring. Chicago ranks as the second-best unit at stopping rushing yards, offensive yards and fantasy points per touch. Benching DJ is probably too harsh, but his ceiling is awfully low this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI CHI 005600000 *
Despite a hamstring strain, Fitzgerald is expected to play, per head coach Steve Wilks. The Cardinals' passing game has been abysmal through two games, an expecting it to dramatically improve in Week 3 is dubious. The matchup should help some, though, as Chicago has given up big numbers in the first two weeks (15.5 catches, 219.5 yards, 2 TDs per game).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Christian Kirk, ARI CHI 003400000 ***
The Bears have given up the fifth-most fantasy points in PPR and third-highest figure in standard scoring. Most of the work comes from giving up two TDs per game to the position. Kirk could get lucky based on the matchup but is a risky consideration.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Ricky Seals-Jones, ARI CHI 003200000 ***
Chicago has given up nine receptions for 86 yards and a touchdown in the previous two games. RSJ is a fringe lineup option in any format, but he should see extra work if Larry Fitzgerald cannot play.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Phil Dawson, ARI CHI 1100 ***
The Bears skew negatively against kickers using data from this early season, having given up only two field goal attempts and five field goals. Dawson has not been afforded a single kicking try of either kind.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA 7-28
2 @PIT 10-27 11 @STL 27-13
3 @MIA 23-20 12 NE 19-49
4 SF 0-34 13 ARI -----
5 HOU 17-23 14 @JAC -----
6 IND 35-9 15 @TEN -----
7 @NE 26-29 16 SD -----
8 MIA 9-30 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Bilal Powell 40,1 2-10
WR Andre Roberts 3-50

Pregame Notes: The Jets one good game against the Rams only lasted one week. On the last game on Thanksgiving, the country tried to stay away while watching the Jets getting spanked by the Patriots. HC Rex Ryan made his obligatory claim of "Mark Sanchez is our starting quarterback and gives us our best chance to win." At 4-7 on the year, their best chance does not translate into "a good chance".

When the only highlight they show after the game was Sanchez running into a lineman's butt, falling down and losing a fumble, you know the game did not go well.

Mark Sanchez threw for 301 yards on the visiting Patriots but only one touchdown with an interception and lost fumble. Since the season opener, Sanchez has only scored nine touchdowns over ten games and only once did he score as many as two touchdowns. Sanchez is no better than the opposing secondary with yardage and throws for one touchdown per game regardless. Tim Tebow is out with fractured ribs but hasn't been a factor in any game anyway.

Ironically, Shonn Greene has been rushing pretty well in recent weeks and yet now has to share the work with Bilal Powell. Greene is only getting 15 to 18 carries per week for around 60-70 yards and has not scored since week seven. Powell gets 10 to 12 runs per game and scored three times in the last two weeks. He also added two receptions per week. That makes both runners marginal fantasy plays and once Powell doesn't score his fantasy worth is almost nil.

Jeremy Kerley is typically the lead receiver with around five catches or more every game. He comes off a seven catch, 86-yard effort against the Patriots and exceeded 70 yards four times this year. But he has not scored since week three and usually ends up under 60 yards per game. Dustin Keller is the only other receiver of any note and comes off his scored touchdown of the year when he collected five receptions for 64 yards last Thursday. This remains one he the least productive passing offenses in the NFL and there are no fantasy players here that can be considered a lock for anything beyond a mediocre showing.

The Cardinals are bringing a decent defense but no offense. That should end up with moderate points by the Jets and a much needed win but not like big points. I like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 30 23 24 20 28 11
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 5 9 16 3 15 30

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Darnold, NYJ @CLE 0000025021 ***
There are too many solid passers this week to take a shot on Darnold against a promising Cleveland defense (3 TDs, 3 INTs in two games). Look for a better way of finding quarterback points.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Isaiah Crowell, NYJ @CLE 5001100000 ***
One in every 26.5 rushing attempts have made it into the end zone thus far against the Browns. Cleveland has given up 99 rushing yards and 57 receiving gains to the position. This is a top-eight matchup in both primary scoring formats.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Bilal Powell, NYJ @CLE 2005400000 ***
Powell's only meaningful contributions come via the sky. The position has averaged six catches for 57 yards against the Browns so far -- numbers on the periphery of being a positive matchup. Powell has flex value.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Quincy Enunwa, NYJ @CLE 0071001000 ***
Sam Darnold loves himself some Enunwa. The well-built wideout has 21 targets, good for 13-155-1 in this first two games of 2018. Cleveland offers a promising matchup. The Browns have given up the eighth-most receptions and ninth-most yards per game but only three TDs in the last 32 grabs have found paydirt (21st).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robby Anderson, NYJ @CLE 003401000 ***
After a 2017 season that promised hope for a true breakout, Anderson's game has almost vanished with Sam Darnold starting over Josh McCown. The pair have hooked up for only four receptions on six targets in two games, but Anderson found the end zone in the opener vs. Detroit. Darnold has favored Quincy Enunwa more than three to one. Cleveland has yielded a fair amount of catches (8th most) and yardage (9th) but only three scores on 32 grabs, or the 11th-toughest figure for exploitation.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr., NYJ @CLE 003500000 ***
Pryor has 11 targets this year, producing seven grabs for 133 yards. Facing his former team could add some incentive, although his role is just barely enough to make him a consideration. The Browns have given up top-10 stats for catches and yardage through two weeks, permitting three TDs along the way.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, NYJ @CLE 2222 ***
Cleveland offers a midrange option for fantasy purposes after having allowed four field goal tries and as many XPAs. Only 50 percent of the field goals have been accurate, however.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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