FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: NYG 34, WAS 27 (LINE: NYG by 2.5)

Players to Watch: David Wilson

This is a replay of week seven when the Giants won 27-23. The Giants have a two game lead over the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East. The Redskins come off two wins over the Cowboys and Eagles and could make a real statement with a win in this game. This game shows how far the Redskins offense has really come. And how much the defense has not.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN 13-31
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB 38-10
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF 26-3 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS 27-23 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL 29-24 17 PHI -----
9 PIT 20-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,3
RB Shane Vereen 40 2-20,1
WR Brandon Marshall 8-100,1

Pregame Notes: What a difference some rest makes. The Giants were on a two game losing streak with Eli Manning throwing ducks and not scoring. Take their bye and come back and voila! everything is well. Other than Andre Brown of course who was lost for the season with a broken leg. The first game against the Redskins was right at the start of the offensive struggles for the Giants. This week we get to see if everything really is all better or not.

The biggest change is how the Giants will deal with the loss of Brown who scored eight touchdowns in his role as the "thunder" of the backfield. David Wilson is next on the depth chart and certainly should see some increase but he's been mostly a special teamer and is not nearly as big as Brown. Wilson is a decent replace for Bradshaw perhaps, but the role that the 6-0, 227 lb. Brown filled is not what the 5-10, 202 lb Wilson is going to do.

The Giants just signed Ryan Torain who should figure in at some point. With Bradshaw less than Mr. Durability, the depth chart for running backs are more important here than most teams. Brown scored in all but one game that he played and would receive up to a dozen carries in some games. He scored in the previous game with the Redskins but only gained 17 yards on five carries. Bradshaw also scored once and gained 43 yards on 12 runs and added 22 yards on four receptions.

Martellus Bennett had his best game of the year when he gained 79 yards on five catches against the Redskins. Hakeem Nicks was held to only 53 yards on five receptions that week while Victor Cruz ended with seven receptions for 131 yards and one score for one of his best efforts of the season.

The rushing effort should be downplayed this week since the Skins already handled them last time and Brown is out. As good as the Skins may be playing, they did just give up 441 yards and three scores to Tony Romo. Manning threw for 337 yards and one score in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 7 10 23 1 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 10 32 31 22 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Eli Manning, NYG KC 0000024021 ***
KC actually stinks against quarterbacks, which could lead to a decent day for Manning. The Chiefs return from vacation for a trip to the tri-state area. This defense has yielded 279 yards through the sky (5th) and a passing score every 12.3 completions (9th).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Orleans Darkwa, NYG KC 6001100000 ***
Darkwa could accrue some yardage of note against the second-softest defense in this area. KC has granted a rushing score per game, or once every 28 attempts. Gamers could do worse looking for a body this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Wayne Gallman, NYG KC 300000000 ***
Regardless of the matchup, Gallman's role is too limited to matter in fantasy.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Shane Vereen, NYG KC 1003200000 ***
This is an awful matchup for Vereen. The Chiefs, coming off of a bye week, have given up only 15 catches for 90 yards and no scores in their last four games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Sterling Shepard, NYG KC 0071001000 ***
Shepard is dynamic enough to make some noise, and the Giants are likely to move him around to avoid Marcus Peters as much as realistically possible. The Chiefs have given up the most receptions per game (14.8), fourth-most yards (210) and 1.5 WR touchdowns per contest, or one every 9.8 catches (6th).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tavarres King, NYG KC 002301000 **
King doesn't warrant a fantasy lineup spot in any situation.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Roger Lewis, NYG KC 003300000 ***
Lewis has extremely limited appeal based on the matchup and slight chance for a score. KC has been generally poor vs. wideouts in 2017 and currently sit as the third-best matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Evan Engram, NYG KC 005600000 ***
Tight ends have averaged a pathetic 3.0 catches, 46.5 yards and a TD every fourth game against the Chiefs. Engram may work the field a little, and he has proven to be a capable weapon in the red zone, so there is at least a bit of upside.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Aldrick Rosas, NYG KC 0022 ***
Most of the damage against the Chiefs came via point-afters. KC has given up only 1.5 field goal tries and a lone make per game. With a bye week of prep, KC should have no problem corralling the little bit of offense left in New York.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
TE Vernon Davis 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Skins are on a two game winning streak but apparently need to remain within their division to notch a victory. The last two wins - the Eagles and Cowboys - were preceded by a loss to the visiting Panthers. These last two games had at least 31 points in each and yet the two previous did not top 13. The good news - the Skins remain in the division again this week.

Robert Griffin III was on a down turn in his stats until these last two weeks. He threw for eight touchdowns over the first nine games and that included three times failing to score at all via the pass. But the last two games saw him throw four scores in each for the same total he needed nine games to attain. Griffin passed for 311 yards in Dallas but was rarely over 200 yards in the previous five weeks. Griffin's only good game in that time was against the Giants when he threw for 258 yards and two scores. He also rushed for 89 yards on nine carries.

Alfred Morris turned in a surprising 113 yards and one score in Dallas on 24 carries. It was his first score in five games and only his fourth time to surpass 100 rushing yards. Morris has no role as a receiver and derives his entire fantasy value via the run. In week seven, he gained a season high 120 yards on 22 runs while visiting the Giants.

The wide receiver crew continues to be a mish-mash of players that cannot offer enough production or reliability to merit much fantasy consideration. Santana Moss scored in four of the last five games and totals seven touchdowns on the season but almost never gains more than 50 yards in any game. The only real development here is that Pierre Garcon finally showed up a mere 11 weeks since his only decent game and posted five receptions for 93 yards and one score on the Cowboys during Thanksgiving Day.

Back in week seven, Moss caught both touchdown passes against the Giants and yet only ended with three catches for 67 yards in his best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 12 19 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 27 6 29 15 12 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kirk Cousins, WAS @NO 10100026011 ***
No team has granted fewer yards per game than New Orleans' 166.6. The defense has held quarterbacks to five TD passes in as many games, or one every 16.4 completions. Six passes have been picked on 165 attempts, and one of the 16 rushes went into the end zone.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Thompson, WAS @NO 3006501000 ***
Thompson has quieted in the last two weeks. A sign of things to come? Maybe. This week, the Saints provide a low-end matchup -- the fifth-hardest in PPR, in fact. Since Week 5, none of the 26 receptions found the end zone, which is discouraging.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Samaje Perine, WAS @NO 300000000 ***
Perine has not shown a great deal of competence in his limited NFL action. This is the seventh-worst matchup in fantasy for non-PPR backs. Two of the past 96 carries went into the end zone.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS @NO 004500000 ***
Crowder has flashed a little in the last few weeks. The Saints, though, have done everything in their power to keep wideouts down. A touchdown has been scored once every 20 snags, which has amounted to only a pair of WR touchdowns in the last five games. This also is a terrible matchup for receptions (3rd worst) and yardage (4th).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Josh Doctson, WAS @NO 003400000 ***
The matchup is anything but ideal. New Orleans has given up only eight catches a game to wideouts in the last five contests. Since Week 5, the position has caught only two TDs. The Saints are fantasy's third-strongest defense in either scoring system.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Vernon Davis, WAS @NO 006700000 ***
The Saints have given up the third-fewest catches for the second-fewest yards on a weekly clip, and yet they have managed to permit a TD every 5.3 receptions (2nd). Davis will have a bigger role if Jordan Reed once again is out of action.

Update: Davis will play a larger role with Reed ruled out.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Nick Rose, WAS @NO 2211 ***
Only six of the 10 field goal attempts against the Saints have been true, and all nine kicks were accurate. The volume is too low to consider this anything better than a midrange matchup in the most optimistic sense.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t