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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: NYG 34, WAS 27 (LINE: NYG by 2.5)

Players to Watch: David Wilson

This is a replay of week seven when the Giants won 27-23. The Giants have a two game lead over the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East. The Redskins come off two wins over the Cowboys and Eagles and could make a real statement with a win in this game. This game shows how far the Redskins offense has really come. And how much the defense has not.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN 13-31
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB 38-10
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF 26-3 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS 27-23 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL 29-24 17 PHI -----
9 PIT 20-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,3
RB Shane Vereen 40 2-20,1
WR Brandon Marshall 8-100,1

Pregame Notes: What a difference some rest makes. The Giants were on a two game losing streak with Eli Manning throwing ducks and not scoring. Take their bye and come back and voila! everything is well. Other than Andre Brown of course who was lost for the season with a broken leg. The first game against the Redskins was right at the start of the offensive struggles for the Giants. This week we get to see if everything really is all better or not.

The biggest change is how the Giants will deal with the loss of Brown who scored eight touchdowns in his role as the "thunder" of the backfield. David Wilson is next on the depth chart and certainly should see some increase but he's been mostly a special teamer and is not nearly as big as Brown. Wilson is a decent replace for Bradshaw perhaps, but the role that the 6-0, 227 lb. Brown filled is not what the 5-10, 202 lb Wilson is going to do.

The Giants just signed Ryan Torain who should figure in at some point. With Bradshaw less than Mr. Durability, the depth chart for running backs are more important here than most teams. Brown scored in all but one game that he played and would receive up to a dozen carries in some games. He scored in the previous game with the Redskins but only gained 17 yards on five carries. Bradshaw also scored once and gained 43 yards on 12 runs and added 22 yards on four receptions.

Martellus Bennett had his best game of the year when he gained 79 yards on five catches against the Redskins. Hakeem Nicks was held to only 53 yards on five receptions that week while Victor Cruz ended with seven receptions for 131 yards and one score for one of his best efforts of the season.

The rushing effort should be downplayed this week since the Skins already handled them last time and Brown is out. As good as the Skins may be playing, they did just give up 441 yards and three scores to Tony Romo. Manning threw for 337 yards and one score in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 7 10 23 1 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 10 32 31 22 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Eli Manning, NYG @PHI 0000024011 ***
Eli has been a disaster so far, and so has his offensive line. The veteran tossed four TDs in the Week 9 meeting with Philly last year and posted a 356-1-3 line for 21.8 fantasy points in Week 16 at the Eagles. Philly has been sound this young year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Shane Vereen, NYG @PHI 2005400000 **
Vereen isn't the best choice for PPR leaguers, but he can suffice in a pinch. The Eagles have given up a 7-80-1 line to RBs in two games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Paul Perkins, NYG @PHI 2001100000 ***
The Giants don't run enough, nor is their O-line playing at an adequate level, to toss Perkins into a lineup by choice. Philly is a midrange matchup, for what it is worth.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Odell Beckham Jr, NYG @PHI 005600000 **
The Eagles may be without their starting strong safety and could be on their third free safety. If Eli doesn't have time to through, however, it's all downhill for his targets. Beckham was nothing short of great last year in two games vs. Philly, scoring twice in the Week 9 battle and going for 150 on 11 snares in Week 16.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Sterling Shepard, NYG @PHI 005400000 ***
Shepard made noise in the red zone last season and doesn't offer a whole lot to fantasy teams without scoring. Speaking of which, Philly hasn't allowed a TD to wideouts in two games this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Brandon Marshall, NYG @PHI 001200000 ***
Marshall doesn't look in sync with Eli Manning, nor does he appear to be comfortable in this complex system. Sit him against this defense that hasn't allowed a wideout to score yet.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Evan Engram, NYG @PHI 005500000 ***
Tight ends have done some damage versus the Eagles this year. The rookie was the lone bright spot for the Giants in Week 2, and he has some upside for owners facing an injury-riddled tight end position in Week 3.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Aldrick Rosas, NYG @PHI 1111 ***
On top of this not being a quality matchup, Rosas kicks for a team struggling to move the ball. He's a brave play in all formats.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
TE Vernon Davis 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Skins are on a two game winning streak but apparently need to remain within their division to notch a victory. The last two wins - the Eagles and Cowboys - were preceded by a loss to the visiting Panthers. These last two games had at least 31 points in each and yet the two previous did not top 13. The good news - the Skins remain in the division again this week.

Robert Griffin III was on a down turn in his stats until these last two weeks. He threw for eight touchdowns over the first nine games and that included three times failing to score at all via the pass. But the last two games saw him throw four scores in each for the same total he needed nine games to attain. Griffin passed for 311 yards in Dallas but was rarely over 200 yards in the previous five weeks. Griffin's only good game in that time was against the Giants when he threw for 258 yards and two scores. He also rushed for 89 yards on nine carries.

Alfred Morris turned in a surprising 113 yards and one score in Dallas on 24 carries. It was his first score in five games and only his fourth time to surpass 100 rushing yards. Morris has no role as a receiver and derives his entire fantasy value via the run. In week seven, he gained a season high 120 yards on 22 runs while visiting the Giants.

The wide receiver crew continues to be a mish-mash of players that cannot offer enough production or reliability to merit much fantasy consideration. Santana Moss scored in four of the last five games and totals seven touchdowns on the season but almost never gains more than 50 yards in any game. The only real development here is that Pierre Garcon finally showed up a mere 11 weeks since his only decent game and posted five receptions for 93 yards and one score on the Cowboys during Thanksgiving Day.

Back in week seven, Moss caught both touchdown passes against the Giants and yet only ended with three catches for 67 yards in his best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 12 19 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 27 6 29 15 12 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kirk Cousins, WAS OAK 10000023010 ***
Versus quarterbacks, Oakland has ceded 20.4 fantasy points, on average, this year. Remove a rushing TD and this becomes a roundly mediocre matchup rating. Cousins is a low-end starter for desperate owners.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Samaje Perine, WAS OAK 301000000 *
Update: With Rob Kelley ailing, Perine should be more involved. He wasn't exactly effective last week coming off the bench, so keep your expectations at a minimum.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Thompson, WAS OAK 3004300000 ***
Thompson has been brilliant through two contests, and it should earn him a larger share of the workload, particularly so if Rob Kelley cannot play. Beware, Oakland has been masterful against running backs of all types to date this season.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Rob Kelley, WAS OAK 500000000 *
Kelley is dealing with a rib injury and may not suit. He practiced in a limited fashion Wednesday, which is encouraging. The offense would turn over to rookie Samaje Perine if Kelley cannot go. This will be a pain tolerance issue. The Raiders have allowed the third fewest points and zero touchdowns to RBs in two games.

Update: Kelley is a game-time decision. He has been limited all week and should be on a snap count, if he dresses. Avoiding him is wise.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr., WAS OAK 005601000 **
Pryor is clearly still a work-in-progress at wideout, and chemistry with Kirk Cousins seems to be slow to develop. Wideouts have posted 26 catches for 276 yards and two touchdowns in the first two weeks against the Raidahs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS OAK 005500000 ***
This season hasn't started off with a bang for Crowder after a hip injury slowed him in Week 1. Oakland has given up a TD every 13 receptions so far, helping create the 13th easiest opponent.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS OAK 004400000 *
Reed is day-to-day with a chest bruise that was originally feared to be a shoulder separation. He's a risky play, and gamers should check back later in the week to be safe. Oakland hasn't allowed a TE to score on nine catches.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS OAK 2222 ***
The Raiders have held kickers to just three extra points but 5-for-6 on distance kicks, which has translated to this being a top-10 matchup for the position.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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