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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, PHI @WAS 8011100000 **
The matchup has improved a good deal in the last five weeks, but Howard still isn't a sure thing. The Bears could start resting guys later in the game, and Howard was held out of the end zone in the Week 11 contest. This is an optimistic projection.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Josh Adams, PHI @WAS 400000000 ***
He has one touchdown in the last month, including a 20-carry, 85-yard game without a score against the Redskins in Week 13. Adams has no value, unless you're feeling lucky and want to bet on a TD in DFS. Washington has allowed only nine scores in 15 games on the ground this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Wendell Smallwood, PHI @WAS 2003200000 ***
His role is too inconsistent from week to week to put much confidence in playing Smallwood. There are far better options with matchups that offer more upside. Look elsewhere.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI @WAS 005601000 ***
He came to life in the Week 16 win over Houston, landing five balls for 116 yards and a score. It was his first TD since Week 2, and Agholor has just this one showing with 100 yards in 2018. He went for 56 yards on four grabs vs. Washington in Week 13 and is a risk-reward decision for fantasy gamers. He has delivered mixed results with Nick Foles starting, but most of it has been positive.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, PHI @WAS 003400000 ***
After a five-game fruitless stretch, Jeffery has come around in the last three games to register double digits in PPR in each game. All of that came after Washington held him to a 3-31-0 line in Week 13. There is quite a bit of risk associated with the veteran in this one, but he has a WR3/flex utility with no clearer choices.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @WAS 007901000 ***
Ertz was nothing shy of a monster in Week 16 and was rock-solid against the Redskins just a few weeks before. He landed nine passes for 83 yards, good enough to be a 17.3-point guy in PPR. His insane volume is enough to make him a TE1 in any scoring format or league type.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI @WAS 1144 ***
No writeup available

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Randall Cobb 10 5-60,1
TE Jason Witten 8-80,1

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Dak Prescott, DAL @NYG 30100020001 *
Prescott probably won't play too much, and this could be an optimistic projection based on playing time. Even though Dallas is expected to play the starters, look for limited work, especially if the game isn't close.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Amari Cooper, DAL @NYG 003500000 *
Cooper and Dak Prescott will see limited action with nothing at stake, so there isn't much incentive. He's 27 yards away from a 1,000-yard season, so the Cowboys may want to give him that milestone before calling it a day.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Gallup, DAL @NYG 003400000 *
The rookie scored his first TD in Week 16 vs. Tampa since finding the end zone in Week 7. The Giants held him to only five yards in Week 2. Gallup will see more action than usual with Amari Cooper expected to have a dress rehearsal of an outing with nothing at stake.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Brett Maher, DAL @NYG 3311 *
No writeup available

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t