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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 180
RB Ryan Mathews 60 3-20
RB Darren Sproles 7-60,1
WR Torrey Smith 3-40
TE Brent Celek 3-20

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Carson Wentz, PHI DAL 10100023011 ***
Dallas is a fringe matchup for quarterbacks, but the Cowboys have nothing on the line this week, so look for some key personnel to get a break. The rookie authored a 13.8-point fantasy day in Week 8 against Dallas.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Matt McGloin, PHI DAL 0000015002 *
The tall task of replacing Derek Carr starts off with the worst possible matchup in fantasy this week. While McGloin may prove in time to be able to win games, he should not be relied on in fantasy this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren Sproles, PHI DAL 7015400000 ***
Sproles should lead in touches against a Dallas team giving up 4.8 receptions a game to the position since Week 11. Otherwise, it's not a great matchup, with Dallas allowing only three RB scores in the last five games. Perhaps that improves if the Cowboys rest key players.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeGarrette Blount, PHI DAL 701000000 ***
Miami has yielded four RB touchdowns in the last five weeks, but two have come through the air. The bruising back posted a 29-123-1 line in Week 2 against the Dolphins.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Byron Marshall, PHI DAL 3001100000 ***
The undrafted rookie from Oregon will play second fiddle to Darren Sproles in what has been a low-end matchup for RBs over the last five games. The Cowboys have given up the fourth fewest points per game to the position.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI DAL 004401000 *
Matthews landed 11 of 14 targets for 65 yards and a TD in Week 8's matchup with the Cowboys. Dallas has nothing at stake and may opt for resting key players. Matthews is a strong choice in most any format.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Paul Turner, PHI DAL 003401000 *
No writeup available
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, PHI DAL 004500000 ***
Jeffery had a respectable day in Week 8 against this defense (4-63-1). The Vikings have regressed since then, but Matt Barkley has been a turnover machine in his last two games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dorial Green-Beckham, PHI DAL 003500000 ***
DGB is merely a gamble in the deepest of formats. Keep him parked, unless you have a scoring-only league that is begging for crazy flier plays.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI DAL 004400000 ***
Stats-wise, this is the best matchup in Week 17 when using data since Week 11. The Cowboys have given up 20.6 PPR points to the position, on average. Ertz was quiet in the last one, but he has been more involved lately. Consider this a conservative projection.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Caleb Sturgis, PHI DAL 1133 ***
Dallas is the 13th best FGA matchup, but only five teams have been harsher for extra point kicks.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Darren McFadden 60 1-10
RB Alfred Morris 100 3-20
WR Cole Beasley 3-40
WR Dez Bryant 8-110,2
TE Jason Witten 8-80,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Dak Prescott, DAL @PHI 0000020011 *
Prescott probably will be pulled at some point with nothing on the line for the No. 1-seeded Cowboys. Chancing just how much he plays is a risky choice to make.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren McFadden, DAL @PHI 701000000 ***
McFadden is a reasonable play in the upcoming week with Dallas likely to rest Ezekiel Elliott most if not all of the game. DMC faces a Philly defense that has allowed 130.6 offensive yards and the third most receptions (6.0) per game to RBs since Week 11.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Ezekiel Elliott, DAL @PHI 4001100000 *
Elliott barely saw the ball in the second half last week and may have an extremely small role in this one, if any at all.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dez Bryant, DAL @PHI 004600000 *
Dez went for 113 and a TD on four catches in Week 8's matchup. The Eagles rate as the second easiest to exploit this go-around, but just how much Bryant will play is cause for concern.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cole Beasley, DAL @PHI 005500000 **
The matchup is great -- the second best for PPR receivers, in fact -- but not only has Beasley been alarmingly quiet lately, he didn't fare well (4-53-0) in the first meeting. The Cowboys may choose to rest many key players, too.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrance Williams, DAL @PHI 002300000 ***
Williams could have a larger role this week, and while the matchup is great, starting him to find out isn't the wisest move.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jason Witten, DAL @PHI 002301000 *
Witten probably won't play much in this one. Dallas has nothing on the line as a fixed No. 1 seed. The Eagles continue to be one of the worst matchups for the position, but there's a reasonable chance Witten can find the end zone. Play him without better options.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL @PHI 3311 ***
The Eagles have granted the 10th largest average of extra points (2.6) and fifth most field goal tries per game (2.6). More than 92 percent of all kicks faced have scored since Week 11.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t