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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 180
RB Darren Sproles 7-60,1
WR Golden Tate 3-40
WR Mike Wallace 3-40

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Nick Foles, PHI @LAR 0000025022 ***
The Rams have been much better in the secondary since Aqib Talib returned two weeks ago. Granted, the matchups were not exactly elite. Carson Wentz is not expected to play, making Foles the expected starter. Keep him out of fantasy lineups.

Update: Wentz is officially listed as doubtful.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Josh Adams, PHI @LAR 500000000 ***
Adams has really cooled off in the last two games and is starting to show he is basically an anchor without a plunge into the end zone. Los Angeles hasn't been overly kind to more powerful backs not named Mike Davis. Only one of the last 92 carries in the past four games has scored. Find a smarter bet for backfield help.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren Sproles, PHI @LAR 2004300000 ***
The well-seasoned veteran could be a sly play in PPR, but there isn't a great deal of upside or positive risk-reward ratio working in his favor. The Rams have allowed a good deal of work to pass-catching backs, but with Nick Foles starting, and Sproles being generally limited in usage, keep your expectations in check.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Golden Tate, PHI @LAR 003401000 ***
Tate is a PPR flex flier with Nick Foles probably under center. The Rams have allowed several large reception totals in recent games, though the defense has clamped down on lesser passing attacks vs. DET and CHI with the return of Aqib Talib. Tate may be the safest bet out of this receiving corps, but that doesn't say too much given how risky Foles would make all of the options.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI @LAR 003400000 ***
Removing the Week 11 track meet with KC, and Tyler Lockett is the only WR to score against the Rams in the last four games. Over the course of the year, this is a soundly neutral matchup for the position. Agholor should be catching passes from Nick Foles with Carson Wentz back on the mend.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, PHI @LAR 002300000 ***
Jeffery rebounded last week after skidding for five weeks. He likely has Nick Foles under center this week and faces a Rams defense that has been all over the map this year. In recent weeks, though, it has strengthened with the return of CB Aqib Talib and the decision to play Marcus Peters in more zone coverage.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @LAR 006701000 ***
The Rams have been susceptible to tight ends all year. Most of the work has been via receptions and yardage. Only four of the 63 balls have scored. Ertz is as good as they come, and there is no reason to get away from him now.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI @LAR 3322 ***
No writeup available

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Cole Beasley 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Dak Prescott, DAL @IND 20100025010 ***
Dak has been a fantasy bright spot since the acquisition of Amari Cooper. He showed signs of life before the deal, too, and the third-year pro is coming off of his best game as an NFL quarterback. He threw for 455 yards and three TDs on 77.8 percent passing over a crazy 54 attempts. Since Week 6, Prescott has only two games with fewer than 21 fantasy points and three with more than 30.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Ezekiel Elliott, DAL @IND 8017500000 ***
Zeke faces a fairly strong defense of his position, but this unit can be exploited. Since Week 9, we are looking at almost a perfectly average opponent. The Colts have given up four scores over 112 carries in the last five weeks and two more TDs have come via 33 receptions. This looks like a good week for a diverse return on investment.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Gallup, DAL @IND 003401000 ***
Gallup has 22 targets in the last three games, and while he hasn't scored since Week 7, the rookie has shown sign of life since Amari Cooper arrived to alleviate some pressure. Overall, Gallup isn't much of a playable option for conventional leagues, but he has shown enough to draw a deep dive in DFS.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Amari Cooper, DAL @IND 006700000 ***
Indianapolis has been among the league's tougher teams at slowing receivers, though most of the success has come against inferior competition. No one is hotter than Cooper of late. The former Raider is on a torrid pace and obviously belongs in all lineup configurations.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cole Beasley, DAL @IND 005500000 ***
The volume hasn't been there in many weeks now, and Beasley hasn't scored since Week 7. He has fewer than 60 yards in seven straight contests and should be avoided in all formats.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Blake Jarwin, DAL @IND 003300000 ***
Jarwin exploded -- well, relatively speaking -- in Week 14, landing all seven of his targets but for just 56 yards. Either way, it was nice to see someone step up at the tight end position in an offensive system that is not afraid to utilize it. Indianapolis offer a favorable matchup that corresponds to his skill set. Since Week 9, the Colts have yielded the fourth-most receptions and yards, although it's the worst matchup for scoring touchdowns.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Brett Maher, DAL @IND 1133 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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