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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: SEA 17, CHI 24 (LINE: CHI by 3)

Players Updated : Matt Forte, Michael Bush, Sidney Rice

Players to Watch: Marshawn Lynch, Michael Bush

The Seahawks won 38-14 in Chicago last season. It was late in the year when the Bears were without Jay Cutler and lost five in a row. That very nearly happened again. The 8-3 Bears are 5-1 at home so far and the 6-5 Seahawks just never play well away from home and sport a 1-5 road record.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ 28-7
2 DAL 27-7 11 BYE -----
3 GB 14-12 12 @MIA 21-24
4 @STL 13-19 13 @CHI -----
5 @CAR 16-12 14 ARI -----
6 NE 24-23 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF 6-13 16 SF -----
8 @DET 24-28 17 STL -----
9 MIN 30-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 180,1
PK Sebastian Janikowski 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are playing a dangerous game. The two starting cornerbacks Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner have been suspended for four games because of violating the drug policy (Adderall) and they are appealing it. They will play this week for sure and may get it shortened. But if they don't it may end up extending to the playoffs which would be no time to be without your favorite cornerbacks. It may be a small distraction now and will have a big impact when it goes through.

Russell Wilson is on a string of two score games but his yardage is always lower than most and his worst two games of the year were on the road against good defenses (SF and STL). Wilson is always a good bet to remain below 200 yards unless the opposing secondary is below average.

Marshawn Lynch only gained 42 yards on 20 carries in Chicago last year but rushed in two touchdowns. He was held to 46 yards in Miami last week but was on a four game streak of 100+ yard games. The Bears rushing defense is very good but just allowed two rushing scores in Miami. This game is certain to be all about rushing and defense, so Lynch should at least get a decent volume of carries to work with and a chance for a score.

This will be a big challenge for Golden Tate and Sidney Rice. Charles Tillman has a chipped bone in his foot but has not been ruled out this week. He'll be a problem if he plays. Tate was on a three game scoring streak until last week in Miami. Both he and a Rice have been held to 50 yards or less for the last five weeks and really all year. The Seahawks either move via the rush or get good field position because of their defense. Wideouts factor in more as scoring plays than as possession receivers.

The Seahawks don't lose road games by much - but they almost always lose them.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 15 22 26 27 22
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 3 3 7 19 8 25

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Russell Wilson, SEA ARI 30000021020 ***
Seattle just has to win to avoid falling into the No. 6 spot, so it's really unclear how long Wilson will be asked to play. The general ideal is just long enough for the Seahawks to put the game at arm's length for Josh Rosen. The matchup, on paper, is not ideal but it has improved a good bit in recent weeks. Three of the last five games have resulted in fantasy passers with 21-plus points. Wilson went for just 10.7 in the Week 4 meeting. The bright spot may be Arizona has yielded four rushing TDs to QBs this year, which is tied for tops in the league.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Carson, SEA ARI 10013200000 ***
Look for Seattle to play guys just long enough for the game to get out of hand for Arizona. Carson should be a great play once again, and he belongs in all lineups. He sat out the earlier meeting with the Cards, but this is one of the softest run defenses in football.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Rashaad Penny, SEA ARI 5001100000 ***
Penny should return this week and could be a low-tier gamble in DFS. The Cardinals are awful vs. RBs, and he would see a lot of work if the game is lopsided early on. Seattle could rest Chris Carson later in the game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA ARI 005601000 ***
Baldwin has been a fantasy monster in the last two weeks, and he belongs in all conventional lineups, even with a tougher matchup. Banged up early in the year, Baldwin was good for just 41 yards on five catches in Week 4. He posted lines of 5-95-0 in Week 10 and 4-90-2 in Week 17 last year. Baldwin is a somewhat risky but worthwhile play in smaller DFS contests.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tyler Lockett, SEA ARI 003400000 ***
Lockett hasn't scored in three straight games, easily the longest drought of this season for him. He still managed to post 99 yards on four grabs last week and is mostly dependent on touchdowns. He finished with a five-catch, 53-yard day in the Week 4 trip to Arizona.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Nick Vannett, SEA ARI 001101000 *
Despite a quality matchup, Vannett is unplayable in all formats. Look for more volume and upside.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, SEA ARI 3311 ***
No writeup available
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Sebastian Janikowski, SEA ARI 2244 ***
No writeup available

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU 6-13
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF 7-32
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN 28-10
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET 13-7 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR 23-22 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN 51-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Bears got Jay Cutler back which is a good thing since the looming schedule is tough - Seattle this week and then three road games plus hosting the Packers. Unfortunately they may be without Matt Forte who twisted his ankle last week. Coupled with a pretty bad offensive line, it is a good thing that the defense alone is enough to win most games.

Jay Cutler only missed one game and though he only threw for 188 yards and a score last week, the game was well in hand and there was no need to pass. He completed his obligatory 12 passes to Brandon Marshall and called it a day. Cutler will need to not expose himself to the pass rush much this week with the Seahawks defense showing up. The Bears dodged a bullet with Cutler missing just one week.

Forte has not been ruled out and practices will clear up his status later in the week. Michael Bush is a capable replacement though not the receiver that Forte is or can he make the rushing gains. But he is a power runner with a nose for the end zone and should matchup well against the Seahawk. Armando Allen may help out a bit more but Bush will be taking pretty much the full load this week.

Alshon Jeffrey is back out with a knee scope and may not play the rest of the regular season. That makes the passing game once again all about Brandon Marshall and his obscene amount of targets every week. He's never had fewer than ten passes in a home game and the strangest part is that his best games often come against very good defenses. He has not scored in a home game since week seven though.

This will be all about defense with Forte ailing and Marshall standing alone as a receiver. Playing at home is a major advantage since the Seahawks are never as good away from Seattle. This stands a good chance of being the lowest scoring game of the week though I like a defensive score in this one.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 28 14 18 31 9 1
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 4 12 2 7 5 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @MIN 20000018011 **
Minnesota has been one of the worst opponents to face for fantasy success in 2018, and one of Trubisky's least productive games came against the Vikes in Week 11. He threw two interceptions to only one touchdown and, in fact, hasn't been much of a fantasy factor since returning in Week 14 from a shoulder injury.

Update: Allen Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, CHI @MIN 8011100000 **
The matchup has improved a good deal in the last five weeks, but Howard still isn't a sure thing. The Bears could start resting guys later in the game, and Howard was held out of the end zone in the Week 11 contest. This is an optimistic projection.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI @MIN 3004300000 **
Chicago is in a position where they could rest guys late in the game. The matchup isn't ideal, and Minnesota kept Cohen in check in the Week 11 game (8 PPR). Five of the seven touchdowns allowed this year on the ground have come in the last five weeks, but none of the last 27 receptions have scored. Alvin Kamara in Week 8 was the last back to score through the air.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Mike Davis, CHI @MIN 200000000 ***
Davis will see a larger role if the game gets out of hand and Chris Carson is rested. Rashaad Penny is expected to return this week, so it comes down to how Seattle chooses to deploy the rookie in his first game since Week 14. With Carson out in the Week 4 trip to Arizona, Davis ran roughshod over the Cardinals. He finished with 101 yards and two touchdowns, adding four points in PPR to this total.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anthony Miller, CHI @MIN 003301000 **
Miller could be a sneaky play in this one if Allen Robinson doesn't go, but there is far more risky than potential for reward. Look for safer options in most scenarios, but he is playable if you want to take a big chance in DFS.

Update: Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cordarrelle Patterson, CHI @MIN 1002300000 ***
Patterson wasn't a factor in the Week 12 meeting, but his role should expand as the Patriots continue to find their way without Josh Gordon. Nevertheless, he isn't playable in Week 17. The matchup is great, but he's just too inconsistent, and New England could attack heavily on the ground.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI @MIN 003400000 ***
With exactly three catches in each of his last four games, Gabriel is at least consistent. He hasn't gone over 33 yards in that time, and the speedy wideout has yet to score since posting two TDs in Week 4. He finished with 52 yards on seven catches vs. Minnesota in Week 11. Look for more viable options.

Update: Allen Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI @MIN 003200000 ***
A week after his first touchdown in six games, Burton caught five balls -- his highest total since Week 7's nine receptions. However, he continued his streak of failing to top the 40-yard mark that began in Week 8. He has three games all year with more than 40 yards, and when he isn't scoring touchdowns, we're left looking at single-digit days in PPR. Burton caught just one pass vs. the Vikings in Week 11.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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