FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

Prediction: WAS 27, PHI 20 (Line: WAS by 4.5)

Players to Watch: Robert Griffin III, Pierre Garcon

The is a replay of week 11 when the Skins butchered the Eagles 31-6. The 8-6 Redskins are in a three way tie for the NFC East and need to win out including next week when they host the Cowboys. The Eagles are just trying to ge to the end so the heads may start rolling.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG 17-16
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL 31-28
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE 38-21
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Adrian Peterson 150,1 4-20
TE Vernon Davis 1-20

Pregame Notes: The Redskins are feeling pretty good about themselves after Kirk Cousins took his first start ever and turned in 329 passing yards and two scores on the Browns in Cleveland. That makes it a five game winning streak that has pulled the Skins into contention not only for a wildcard but for the division title. Chances are that won't be settled until the season finale against the visiting Cowboys but there is no debating that the Skins collectively have really turned up both sides of the ball since taking their week 10 bye.

Robert Griffin III is considered day-to-day and expects to play this week though practices will be critical to showing that he is over his knee sprain. It would be catastrophic to rush him back and get him injured again with the all-important season ender coming up. What could happen just when you need him the most is for Griffin to get a sizable lead - not unlikely given their 25 point win last time - and then to hand off to the apparently capable Cousins. That did not happen before but then again Griffin wasn't nursing a sprained knee.

Griffin ran 12 times for 84 yards and passed for 200 yards and four scores in the last meeting.

Alfred Morris only gained 76 yards on 20 runs last time but has been golden in every game since. He has already set the Redskins rookie record with 1,322 yards and nine touchdowns with two more weeks to go.

Logan Paulsen has been marginal at best filling in for Fred Davis since week seven but at least he had one touchdown this year - his only catch in the previous game against the Eagles. Aldrick Robinson also scored on his only catch then as did Santana Moss on his only catch. What is new this time around is that Pierre Garcon is back and scored in three of the last four games since that week 11 rout of the Eagles.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 2 16 11 26 12 10
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 25 8 23 12 24 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Alex Smith, WAS HOU 20000017810 ***
Smith has reverted back to his former self after leaving Andy Reid's system -- low-volume passing with an emphasis on ball security, aka the old game manager bit. Houston comes back from its vacation to face a QB who has thrown 178 yards in three of the past four games and only one TD in four straight. Keep Smith where he belongs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kapri Bibbs, WAS HOU 1004301000 ***
Update: Bibbs is expected to resume his role as the change-up and third-down back with Chris Thompson out again. He has flimsy value and only in deep leagues.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Adrian Peterson, WAS HOU 6002100000 ***
Houston has provided running backs five touchdowns through the air and only three on the ground. Peterson could be more valuable as a pass-catcher than rusher, regardless of Chris Thompson's status. The offensive line injuries only further cast doubt on his utility.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Josh Doctson, WAS HOU 004401000 ***
Doctson looks to make it three weeks in a row with a touchdown grab and presents a decent enough risk-reward play in fantasy. The Texans have yielded only six scores in nine games this year and return from the bye week, so tread with caution.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Maurice Harris, WAS HOU 006600000 ***
Houston comes back from its bye week with one of the strongest defenses of the position in tow. Harris has reprised his 10-124-0 Week 9 with a decent enough day (5-52-0) by his standards. Expecting much more than this projection is bound to disappoint.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS HOU 004400000 ***
Houston, in the four games prior to its Week 10 bye, had granted the seventh-most catches but the second-lowest touchdown frequency. Reed has been allergic to the end zone and still hasn't scored since Week 1. Is he due? Perhaps. Do you want to find out the hard way?
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS HOU 2222 ***
No writeup available

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL 33-38
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB 23-21
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN 13-34
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS ----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 250,1
RB Darren Sproles 20 5-40,1
WR Alshon Jeffery 3-40
WR Golden Tate 3-50
WR Mike Wallace 5-70,1

Pregame Notes: Andy Reid's time in green is drawing to a close and las week the wheels came off in yet another home game with the Bengals winning by 21 points. Getting a trap game is going to be hard this week since the Skins must win and already have played the Eagles once. The only real difference in this meeting is that the Eagles are four weeks closer to being dismantled.

Nick Foles remains under center even though Michael Vick is healthy again and now spending his time on the bench thumbing through a copy of Dog Lover magazine. Foles only managed 204 passing yards and two interceptions in the previous meeting with the Skins. He had a freakishly good game against the Buccaneers but turned back into a pumpkin last week versus the Bengals. To his credit, he has scored in each of the last three games.

HC Andy Reid says that LeSean McCoy has a chance to play this week after being medically cleared to return from his concussion. That seems completely unneeded and unwise given the season is over and McCoy would only risk injury for no real reason. Bryce Brown has been far less effective in these last two games that combined for only 40 yards on 28 carries. The last game that McCoy played was the previous matchup with the Redskins.

Clay Harbor has been placed on injured reserve because of his back spasms but Brent Celek is expected back from his concussion this week and caught five passes for 42 yards in the previous meeting. That was the game where Jeremy Maclin was held without any catches and DeSean Jackson only gained five yards on two catches.

This is a home game for the Eagles but that has not meant much during this season and last week's disappointing loss to the Bengals is a good sign that there's no late season surge in the making here. If anything, this will probably be the most hostile crowd they will yet be around and it is their own fans.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 23 17 22 22 29
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 9 31 31 19 1

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Carson Wentz, PHI @NO 20000035021 ***
Wentz should remain in fantasy lineups against the second-best matchup for exploitation. The Saints have yielded two passing TDs and 308 yards a game since Week 5. In addition, two rushing TDs have been scored against this unit. Andy Dalton is the only QB to fail to top 22 fantasy points in the last month vs. New Orleans.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Wendell Smallwood, PHI @NO 2003400000 ***
It isn't a good matchup in any sense. The Saints have limited RBs all year long and present a much easier to exploit point of attack through the air. There isn't much to like about the matchup or Smallwood's situation. His best hope is to catch a short pass in the red zone and house it.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Josh Adams, PHI @NO 500000000 ***
Adams is said to be in line for more work this week after being the most productive back on this roster the past few games. The matchup is daunting against the toughest defense of the position. Some of that placement is dubious given how easily teams can pass against the Saints. Adams is no better than a high-risk flier.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, PHI @NO 0071001000 ***
Since Week 5, wideouts have exploited the Saints in all facets of the aerial game. No team has given up more yards or fantasy points, and only the Redskins have permitted more yards. Touchdowns come at a clip of once every 10 snares, or 1.5 times, on average.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI @NO 002301000 ***
Matthews is purely a deep flier with a great matchup -- the best, in fact. He hasn't scored since Week 4. Owners must be in a tough spot to consider him, however.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI @NO 004500000 ***
Wideouts have consistently enjoyed success against the Saints in 2018. Over the last five weeks, the position has averaged 15 catches (2nd) for 224.5 yards (1st) and a TD every 10 grabs (8th) vs. what is the easiest opponent to exploit in the short- and long-range views of 2018.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Golden Tate, PHI @NO 004500000 *
Despite wonderful matchup, Tate remains on the periphery of fantasy consideration. He's still learning the offense and, as we saw last week, isn't well-versed in the nuanced hand signals, etc. Play him only because of the opponent and the chance he capitalizes on his skills over understanding of the system.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @NO 006500000 ***
Few players across all positions are playing as well as Ertz right now. The Saints have permitted 14 receptions in the last four games, with one of them going into the end zone. Over the course of the year, this is the fifth-toughest defense in PPR. Only that aforementioned TD crossed the stripe on the 33 catches granted. New Orleans hasn't faced a tight end remotely close to Ertz's caliber yet.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Dallas Goedert, PHI @NO 003300000 ***
Avoid the rookie this week. New Orleans is among the strongest defensive units against TEs.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI @NO 3322 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

a d v e r t i s e m e n t