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David Dorey
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WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

Prediction: WAS 27, PHI 20 (Line: WAS by 4.5)

Players to Watch: Robert Griffin III, Pierre Garcon

The is a replay of week 11 when the Skins butchered the Eagles 31-6. The 8-6 Redskins are in a three way tie for the NFC East and need to win out including next week when they host the Cowboys. The Eagles are just trying to ge to the end so the heads may start rolling.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG 17-16
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL 31-28
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE 38-21
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Adrian Peterson 150,1 4-20
TE Vernon Davis 1-20

Pregame Notes: The Redskins are feeling pretty good about themselves after Kirk Cousins took his first start ever and turned in 329 passing yards and two scores on the Browns in Cleveland. That makes it a five game winning streak that has pulled the Skins into contention not only for a wildcard but for the division title. Chances are that won't be settled until the season finale against the visiting Cowboys but there is no debating that the Skins collectively have really turned up both sides of the ball since taking their week 10 bye.

Robert Griffin III is considered day-to-day and expects to play this week though practices will be critical to showing that he is over his knee sprain. It would be catastrophic to rush him back and get him injured again with the all-important season ender coming up. What could happen just when you need him the most is for Griffin to get a sizable lead - not unlikely given their 25 point win last time - and then to hand off to the apparently capable Cousins. That did not happen before but then again Griffin wasn't nursing a sprained knee.

Griffin ran 12 times for 84 yards and passed for 200 yards and four scores in the last meeting.

Alfred Morris only gained 76 yards on 20 runs last time but has been golden in every game since. He has already set the Redskins rookie record with 1,322 yards and nine touchdowns with two more weeks to go.

Logan Paulsen has been marginal at best filling in for Fred Davis since week seven but at least he had one touchdown this year - his only catch in the previous game against the Eagles. Aldrick Robinson also scored on his only catch then as did Santana Moss on his only catch. What is new this time around is that Pierre Garcon is back and scored in three of the last four games since that week 11 rout of the Eagles.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 2 16 11 26 12 10
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 25 8 23 12 24 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Alex Smith, WAS IND 0000025020 ***
Smith faces a decent enough matchup for owners looking to take a chance on a stream. In Week 1, Indy gave up 21 points to Andy Dalton last week -- consider that a win for Smith in Week 2.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Adrian Peterson, WAS IND 10012200000 ***
Peterson faces a defense that gave up 93 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, and the seasoned veteran looked as fresh as a 33-year-old with a spun-out odometer can appear. He looks leaner and has a chip on his shoulder. Roll with it. Indy ranks as a slightly positive matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Thompson, WAS IND 3006401000 ***
Indy didn't allow too much in the way of PPR work to Cincinnati backs, but it was enough to give Thompson owners hope for a quality day. He's a must-play in PPR leagues and has strong RB2 potential.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS IND 006700000 ***
Crowder had missed time leading up to the season with a groin strain. He ended up playing vs. Arizona, snaring three of four looks for just 32 yards. Indianapolis provided Cincinnati receivers 10-121-2 in the opening weekend, with most of the work coming from A.J. Green.

Update: Crowder gets a boost with Paul Richardson unlikely to play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Josh Doctson, WAS IND 003400000 ***
The Colts gave up only 10 receptions for 121 yards -- both modest figures -- but two of those grabs went into the end zone against the Bengals last week. Doctson is a gamble but has a hint of scoring upside.

Update: Paul Richardson appears unlikely to play, which would help Doctson slightly.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS IND 005601000 ***
Cincy tight ends added up an average five for 57 in the opener against the Colts. Reed looked rather healthy last week and belongs in lineups when he's on the field and producing.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS IND 2233 ***
Indy was the fifth-softest defense of kickers in terms of field goal attempts allowed last year. It was the seventh-easiest matchup to exploit for overall fantasy production. Hopkins has a chance to be busy in Week 2 behind the stability of a "just good enough" offense in Washington.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL 33-38
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB 23-21
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN 13-34
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS ----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 250,1
RB Darren Sproles 20 5-40,1
WR Alshon Jeffery 3-40
WR Mike Wallace 5-70,1

Pregame Notes: Andy Reid's time in green is drawing to a close and las week the wheels came off in yet another home game with the Bengals winning by 21 points. Getting a trap game is going to be hard this week since the Skins must win and already have played the Eagles once. The only real difference in this meeting is that the Eagles are four weeks closer to being dismantled.

Nick Foles remains under center even though Michael Vick is healthy again and now spending his time on the bench thumbing through a copy of Dog Lover magazine. Foles only managed 204 passing yards and two interceptions in the previous meeting with the Skins. He had a freakishly good game against the Buccaneers but turned back into a pumpkin last week versus the Bengals. To his credit, he has scored in each of the last three games.

HC Andy Reid says that LeSean McCoy has a chance to play this week after being medically cleared to return from his concussion. That seems completely unneeded and unwise given the season is over and McCoy would only risk injury for no real reason. Bryce Brown has been far less effective in these last two games that combined for only 40 yards on 28 carries. The last game that McCoy played was the previous matchup with the Redskins.

Clay Harbor has been placed on injured reserve because of his back spasms but Brent Celek is expected back from his concussion this week and caught five passes for 42 yards in the previous meeting. That was the game where Jeremy Maclin was held without any catches and DeSean Jackson only gained five yards on two catches.

This is a home game for the Eagles but that has not meant much during this season and last week's disappointing loss to the Bengals is a good sign that there's no late season surge in the making here. If anything, this will probably be the most hostile crowd they will yet be around and it is their own fans.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 23 17 22 22 29
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 9 31 31 19 1

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Nick Foles, PHI @TB 0000024020 ***
Tampa Bay was awful vs. QBs in 2017 and it carried over to Drew Brees' Week 1 throttling of the Bucs. Foles hasn't been much of a fantasy play since filling in for Carson Wentz, although he should be playable in Week 2.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jay Ajayi, PHI @TB 8013300000 ***
Fresh off a two-TD performance, Ajayi faces a defense that surrendered two ground scores and a receiving TD to the position in Week 1. Saints RBs, primarily Alvin Kamara, went through this defense without issue, racking up nine catches for 112 yards.

Update: Darren Sproles is out, which could send a few extra touches Ajayi's way.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Corey Clement, PHI @TB 2003300000 ***
Update: Clement should see more work with Darren Sproles out of action. He's a flex consideration after how Alvin Kamara carved up the Bucs through the air in Week 1.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI @TB 007901000 ***
Agholor collected eight of his 10 targets in Week 1, going for a hilariously low 33 yards. He chipped in 16 yards on his lone rush. Tampa's awful defense of wideouts carried over to Week 1 when the Saints posted an NFL-high 23 catches for 268 yards (3rd most) and a pair of scores. Most of the damage came from Michael Thomas being force-fed 16 grabs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Mike Wallace, PHI @TB 004601000 ***
Wallace has a wonderful matchup and should be considered a low-range WR3 or flex. The Bucs rolled over against wideouts last week, providing two scores on a hearty 23 receptions.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @TB 005500000 ***
Tampa Bay allowed five catches for 59 yards to Saints TEs last week and finished 2017 as the fourth-best defense of the position in PPR (3rd in standard). Ertz could be in for a slow day production-wise, yet he belongs in all lineups for the chance he defies the trends.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI @TB 2233 ***
Elliott is basically a weekly start. The matchup is mediocre, on paper, mainly because most of the kicking damage comes from one-pointers. Philly's offense might be at that stage where TDs are harder to come by than usual and could rely on FG kicks.

WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

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