FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

Prediction: CHI 27, DET 17 (Line: CHI by 3)

Players to Watch: Calvin Johnson

The Bears are still in the hunt for the final NFC wildcard though they will need some help to get there. That makes this remake of the week seven win in Detroit still have NFL meaning instead of just being a vehicle to see if Calvin Johnson can break 2,000 receiving yards for the first time in history. Nothing would make the Lions happier though they are on a seven game losing streak.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU 6-13
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF 7-32
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN 28-10
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA 17-23
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN 14-21
6 BYE ----- 15 GB 13-21
7 DET 13-7 16 @ARI 28-13
8 CAR 23-22 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN 51-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Bears offense has sputtered most of the year thanks mostly to a terrible offensive line and then an injury to Jay Cutler who plays the part of a tackling dummy in most games. This is a must-win and thankfully comes against a team that the Bears have beaten in eight of the last nine meetings. The defense has struggled in recent weeks but Brian Urlacher could be back which would help. But the offense has always been about only two players - Matt Forte and Brandon Marshall.

Forte aggravated his right ankle injury last week and had to wear a walking boot. He is optimistic that he can play and since this is a gotta-win event, he'll be there if at all possible. He already rushed for 96 yards on 22 carries at home versus the Lions and added three catches for four yards. The Bears would have to rely on Kahlil Bell otherwise along with Armando Allen. Even a banged up Forte is better than those options.

Cutler passed for only 150 yards and one score in the previous meeting and was sacked the obligatory five times. Cutler has been good for a touchdown every week he played but his yardage has rarely topped 200 in recent weeks and he is not playing 100% healthy anyway.

Alshon Jeffrey is the clear #2 wideout here and yet that is still true despite the one catch he totaled over the last two weeks. Like Megatron on the other side of the field, Marshall is the beginning and end of the passing game and already stung the Lions for one touchdown on his six catches for 81 yards in week seven. He is currently on a three game scoring streak and has 11 touchdowns on the season along with seven 100+ yard games. He's already caught 113 passes for 1466 yards. This has been a remarkable year that has exceeded all expectations for Marshall even if his success comes literally at the expense of all other receivers.

This is a must win which means as heavy of a dose of Marshall and Forte as they can get away with. Outside of those two, there are no decent fantasy plays on this team.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 26 16 15 32 20 1
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 19 8 23 23 24 28

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @ARI 30000024011 ***
Arizona has yet to give up a rushing touchdown to quarterbacks. "Trubearsky" can do some things with his legs, so this one is mildly intriguing. The Cards have provided just average fantasy figures to the position, despite allowing the sixth-most yards per game (304.5).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, CHI @ARI 8014300000 ***
Arizona has granted the most fantasy points in both main scoring formats, allowing the third-most rushing yards, fourth-highest receiving yardage, and a touchdown every 15.2 touches. Howard could be in for a big day.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI @ARI 2003200000 ***
Cohen has been slow to get it going in the first few games. He has a great matchup -- the best, in fact -- this week, but his limited role thus far suggests he's nothing more than a wild gamble.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Robinson II, CHI @ARI 0081000000 ***
None of the 27 receptions faced by the Cardinals as found the end zone. This is a mostly negative matchup for fantasy purposes, but having only two games of data makes it tougher to gauge and place much weight in being accurate info. Washington's aerial game in Week 1 was pathetic, which continued into Week 2. The Rams found success yardage-wise but failed to score. Robinson should be a sound play, though he comes with mild risk.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI @ARI 2004400000 ***
The smurphy slot receiver has 12 targets and nine catches in two games, but he has mustered only 85 yards. Arizona has given up 27 receptions (16th) for 368 yards (12th) but no touchdowns to receivers through two contests. Only three other teams haven't given up a score.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI @ARI 004301000 ***
The curious case of the Cardinals defense of tight ends ... Despite giving up only seven catches for 77 yards, this defense has permitted a touchdown every 3.5 catches (second-highest ratio for teams that have allowed TEs).
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, CHI @ARI 1133 ***
Kickers have attempted only one field goal and three extra points against the Cardinals in the last two games, but that PAT figure should be higher since the Rams kept going for 2-point conversions after Johnny Hekker filled for Greg Zuerlein and kicked once.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 STL 27-23 10 @MIN 24-34
2 @SF 19-27 11 GB 20-24
3 @TEN 41-44 12 HOU 31-34
4 MIN 13-20 13 IND 33-35
5 BYE ----- 14 @GB 20-27
6 @PHI 26-23 15 @ARI 10-38
7 @CHI 7-13 16 ATL 18-31
8 SEA 28-24 17 CHI -----
9 @JAC 31-14 ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 320,1
WR Marvin Jones Jr. 4-60,1
WR Golden Tate 4-40
PK Matt Prater 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: it is fortunate that the season is winding down with Calvin Johnson setting an all-time NFL record because there would be little else worth noting. The offense has never taken off as it did in 2011 and once again suffered through not only rampant injuries but even had a receiver who somehow decided intentionally sabotaging plays was a good idea. The rushing game never saw Jahvid Best return but was able to squeeze an average year from Mikel Leshoure.

There are parts to build on for next year though Titus Young has played his last for the Lions if in the NFL at all. Nate Burleson was lost in week seven and Ryan Broyles was encouraging until he blew out his knee again. Broyles was a star in Oklahoma and should have been a lock for a nice NFL career but his knees apparently are going to stay in the way.

And yet through it all, Calvin Johnson has been amazing since the defenses all know exactly what is going to happen and yet they cannot stop him. Megatron has topped 100 yards in each of the last eight games and caught 10+ passes for the last four weeks. He gained 225 yards against the Falcons last week to break Jerry Rice's record. Now he only needs 108 yards yards to break 2,000 at home in front of all his fans in a season otherwise bleak and meaningless. And what is even better is that everyone has been happy for him and believes he deserves the accolades.

After seven straight losses and now facing a top 5 defense, the chance the Lions could pull off a trap win is hard to expect but outside of the Chicago area, this game will be watched just to see Johnson for the last time this year and likely securing what some thought could never be accomplished.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 8 12 6 7 6 28
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 4 3 11 3 3 20

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Matthew Stafford, DET NE 0000032031 ***
Blake Bortles shredded the Pats last week, inflating the numbers against to 276.5 yards (13th), 27.6 fantasy points (6th) and a touchdown per 9.2 completions. Detroit has plenty of weapons and host this one, so Stafford could have a sound fantasy outing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kerryon Johnson, DET NE 3004300000 ***
The rookie has flashed a few times so far, though his limited role keeps his upside muffled. The Patriots have given up the seventh-most offensive yards per game (150.5) to RBs, allowing only one TD on 52 handles.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Theo Riddick, DET NE 1005500000 ***
New England has yielded only five receptions and 46 yards worth to RBs without a touchdown through the sky. He could see extra work if Detroit's defense cannot keep the Pats in check, forcing Detroit into a catch-up scenario.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeGarrette Blount, DET NE 400000000 ***
Blount is a flier for gamers looking to take a chance on a random touchdown run. Otherwise, stay far away.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kenny Golladay, DET NE 0061001000 ***
The Patriots have been pushed around by receivers to the tune of 14 catches (13th) for 180.5 yards (14th) and a touchdown every seven grabs (11th) to create the 12th-best matchup in PPR (9th in standard).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marvin Jones Jr., DET NE 005701000 ***
The Patriots have allowed four touchdowns by wideouts in the first two games of 2018, and this one could devolve into a shootout. The Lions have the necessary weapons to sling it all over the field, and Jones is an integral part of the puzzle. He faces a defense that has allowed top-14 figures for receptions, yards, TD efficiency, PPR and non-PPR fantasy points in this short season's worth of data.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Golden Tate, DET NE 004601000 ***
Tate is an obvious must-start every week, and this one is no different. The matchup favors PPR types as the Patriots have given up 14 receptions for 180.5 yards per game to receivers -- 13th and 14th most, respectively. One in seven completions have found the end zone.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt Prater, DET NE 1133 ***
New England has given up the 12th-most fantasy points on the 18th-highest possible point total. This illustrates a low volume of three-point kicks against (19th) and a higher number of PATs (6th).

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t