FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

Prediction: KC 10, DEN 24 (Line: DEN by 16)

Players to Watch: Jamaal Charles, Knowshon Moreno, Ronnie Hillman

The Broncos can clinch a first round bye with a win here and if the Texans were to lose as well, the Broncos become the #1 seed. The 2-13 Chiefs once again narrowly miss the playoffs and seek to improve their 1-6 road record this year. This game is hard to call because you cannot be sure when the Broncos feel comfortable enough to pull back the reins a bit but with a 16 point spread, common sense says this game should be a blowout of some measure. The Chiefs last two road games combined for a total of just seven points. The Broncos last two home games total 65 points.

This is a replay of week 12 when the Broncos won 17-9 in Kansas City.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 24-40 10 @PIT 13-16
2 @BUF 17-35 11 CIN 6-28
3 @NO 27-24 12 DEN 9-17
4 SD 20-37 13 CAR 27-21
5 BAL 6-9 14 @CLE 7-30
6 @TB 10-38 15 @OAK 0-15
7 BYE ----- 16 IND 13-20
8 OAK 16-26 17 @DEN -----
9 @SD 13-31 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC @ DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne 200,1

Pregame Notes: The season concludes in Denver and chances are excellent that a new coaching staff will be in place next season along with some unknown number of players. Most notable will be a new quarterback since the duo of Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn have run their course and end the year with a total of only eight passing touchdowns and only one effort that topped 300 yards - 301 in Buffalo in week two.

The eight passing scores have been accompanied by 20 interceptions thrown and seven lost fumbles. The switch to Brady Quinn in week 11 has resulted in only two touchdowns and both of those came in the same game. Quinn topped out at 201 yards so far and threw for only 126 yards and one interception in the previous meeting with the Broncos.

With Dwayne Bowe out, there is no one to throw it to anyway and even Tony Moeaki remains out with a concussion. Johnathan Baldwin has two catches total over the last three weeks.

The only success all year has been the running of Jamaal Charles who topped 100 yards seven times this year and went over 200 yards twice. As a prime example of the Chiefs sort of year, he ran for 165 yards and one score in Cleveland in week 15 and gained 226 yards just last week. And sandwiched between those was when he gained only ten yards on nine runs in Oakland. Charles has been a great comeback story after tearing up his knee last year and he even ran for 107 yards on 23 carries in the last meeting with the Broncos.

That's going to be hard to count on this week with the Broncos defense hitting a new level in the last month or so. But Charles is the only fantasy play on this team since Dwayne Bowe left. Even on the road, he is always worth a start and has been golden in nearly every game that does not involve the Raiders. With the passing game in shambles now, the Chiefs will rely on the run as much as they can and probably more than they should.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 32 4 32 29 25 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 11 5 8 32 4 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Patrick Mahomes, KC LAC 40000033020 ***
Remember his 2018 debut against the Chargers? Does 256 yards and four TDs passes jog your memory? This week he is at home, and Mahomes belongs in all lineups in any fantasy universe.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Damien Williams, KC LAC 7013200000 ***
Spencer Ware is doubtful to play. He will be replaced by the combination of Damien Williams and Darrel Williams/Charcandrick West. Los Angeles has been fairly good against backs on the ground but has given up a mess of points through the air. Play him as a somewhat risky flex.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darrel Williams, KC LAC 1002200000 *
No Spencer Ware could mean a little work for the rookie, but he also could lose out to Charcandrick West on clear passing downs. The reality is no fantasy owner in conventional settings will be inclined to play either. Reserve both for DFS.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tyreek Hill, KC LAC 0081201000 ***
Hill (heel) is less than 100 percent but practiced and should be fine for the short turnaround. The Chiefs host the Chargers on Thursday Night Football and face the seventh-hardest matchup for WRs over the course of 2018. Hill annihilated the Chargers in Week 1 to the tune of seven catches, 169 yards and two scores.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Demarcus Robinson, KC LAC 003400000 ***
Sammy Watkins is likely to sit the rest of the regular season, which adds pressure to others to step up. Robinson could have a larger role but faces a tough opponent to exploit. LAC has given up only the seventh-fewest PPR points per game to the position this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Conley, KC LAC 003300000 ***
Conley could have a larger role with Tyreek Hill being less than 100 percent right now. The Chargers have smothered TE Travis Kelce in the last five meetings, which could force Patrick Mahomes to look Conley's direction. It's risky, but there is upside here. In redraft formats, Conley isn't worthy of a start, though.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Travis Kelce, KC LAC 005901000 ***
No tight end has topped 10 points in PPR vs. the Chargers since Week 10. None of them are Kelce -- and one could argue all five combined aren't, either. The Bolts held him to a 1-6-0 day in the season opener. Kelce hasn't scored in his last five games against the Chargers. Last year, he had seven catches for 47 yards over two games combined. In 2016, it was a 6-82-0 line over two contests. Gamers obviously must start him, but know he is not a sure thing this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Harrison Butker, KC LAC 3333 ***
No writeup available

Denver Broncos
Homefield: Invesco Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PIT 31-19 10 @CAR 36-14
2 @ATL 21-27 11 SD 30-23
3 HOU 25-31 12 @KC 17-9
4 OAK 37-6 13 TB 31-23
5 @NE 21-31 14 @OAK 26-13
6 @SD 35-24 15 @BAL 34-17
7 BYE ----- 16 CLE 34-12
8 NO 34-14 17 KC -----
9 @CIN 31-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Emmanuel Sanders 5-70,1

Pregame Notes: The Broncos official word is that they are not going to rest any players and that Peyton Manning will put in a full game. And the reality is that the only thing that matters here is a win which won't be hard to obtain. And the Texans will have already played so that Denver will know if they even have a chance to win more than a first round bye. They are playing the Chiefs at home. This game smacks of players sitting out late in the contest if only Knowshon Moreno and maybe Peyton.

Manning already threw for 285 yards and two scores in Kansas City and has scored in every game this year. Over half of his games contain three passing scores. How much will be needed to beat the Chiefs? The first touchdown alone may do the trick. Manning is always a gamer and wants to play. And if he was hurt in the fourth quarter of a 24-3 game, just how bad would that be?

Moreno had his first start of the year against the Chiefs and ran for 85 yards on 20 carries and caught four passes for 26 yards. He's been a true surprise and his success only illustrates how great it is to play running back for a team with Peyton Manning under center. he is averaging 94 rushing yards per start and 29 more yards as a receiver. Not bad for a guy we thought was so far down the depth chart that he had to share one helmet with two other players.

Ronnie Hillman will likely get at least a few more reps this week and may end up taking over at some point.

Jacob Tamme scored on his four catches for 48 yards in Kansas City and that was his only score all year since the season opener. Demaryius Thomas also scored and ended with 82 yards while Eric Decker caught four passes for 64 yards.

The Broncos want to win this game but that should not be a big problem. The real issue is how reliable can these guys be once they have that two score lead? Against a team that can only has seven points total over their last two road games? More risk here than it may seem.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 9 13 2 8 8 3
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 17 20 16 8 29 30

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Case Keenum, DEN CLE 0000020010 ***
Even with a strong matchup, Keenum simply isn't a fantasy option. He has an unproven cast of receivers, nothing at tight end, and nothing in the way of a third-down back.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Phillip Lindsay, DEN CLE 9013300000 ***
Cleveland has yielded 14 rushing scores in 13 games this year and has permitted four games of at least 28.1 PPR points since Week 5, and four times a back has gone for 30-plus points in 2018. Lindsay shouldn't have much trouble living up to this projection.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Royce Freeman, DEN CLE 300000000 ***
Freeman is of no fantasy worth at this time, regardless of the matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tim Patrick, DEN CLE 005701000 ***
Patrick was able to go for 85 yards on his seven receptions last week and figures to be a big part of the passing game again this week. The Browns cater to this style of play, having given up 184 catches for 2,334 yards on the year but only 12 touchdowns to the position. That is not to say this defense is impenetrable around the stripe, so consider Patrick a reasonable bet for a score. Don't be surprised if his final numbers look similar to last week's like, though.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DaeSean Hamilton, DEN CLE 004500000 ***
Hamilton scored last week in his ascension after the Emmanuel Sanders injury. The rookie did little else with his seven catches, producing a mere 47 yards. The matchup vs. Cleveland suggests he could continue a similar style of play. This is a great opponent to log receptions and yardage against but not ideal for scoring TDs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Courtland Sutton, DEN CLE 003400000 ***
Sutton's time to shine will come in the NFL, but he rookie just isn't polished enough to stand out against double teams on a consistent basis. The Broncos are willing to spread the ball around, and he is part of a run-happy, low-volume offensive system. Look for safer plays with more upside.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Brandon McManus, DEN CLE 2222 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t