FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

Prediction: NYJ 20, BUF 17 (Line: BUF by 3.5)

Players to Watch: C.J. Spiller, Shonn Greene

This battle to the bottom of the AFC East is a replay of the season opener when the Jets won 48-28 and the world was still simple and full of hope and even Tim Tebow was happy. Now it is just the last game in a bad season for two teams. Chan Gailey is likely to lose his job within 24 hours of the game but Rex Ryan may survive. This is just a messy game to call and to forecast like pretty much every other these two teams have done this year. The Jets have won this matchup for the last six meetings.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA 7-28
2 @PIT 10-27 11 @STL 27-13
3 @MIA 23-20 12 NE 19-49
4 SF 0-34 13 ARI 7-6
5 HOU 17-23 14 @JAC 17-10
6 IND 35-9 15 @TEN 10-14
7 @NE 26-29 16 SD 17-27
8 MIA 9-30 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Bilal Powell 60,1 3-20

Pregame Notes: The offense is bound to look new next year if only by getting back the scores of injured players. The speculation is that the OC Tony Sparano will be the sacrificial lamb and get fired despite trying to make do with nothing more than Mark Sanchez, Shonn Greene and a revolving door at wideout.

Greg McElroy tried to hide his concussion from the medical staff but finally admitted it on Thursday morning. That choice was no doubt tough since he may have only one start in his career now. Mark Sanchez is back, knowing that they preferred Greg McElroy over him but at least they still won't use Tim Tebow.

Back in the season opener, Sanchez passed for a season best three touchdowns and 266 yards. Oh would that have only lasted. He's thrown only ten more scores over the next 13 games that he played. The Bills almost always allow one passing score though most teams focus on hurting them with the run. They are ranked #32 against running backs and in that is where the Jets will have their success.

Shonn Greene enjoyed one of his better games when he rushed for 94 yards and a score on 27 carries in the season opener. He's plugged along all year and now is joined in tandem with Bilal Powell. With such a shaky situation at quarterback and Dustin Keller expected to miss this game as well, the Jets will rely heavily on the pair of backs. The Bills have already allowed 21 scores to running backs this year.

There are no great fantasy plays here but Greene is a moderate start mainly from the favorable matchup and even Powell could produce a better stat line this week as well. This is going to be a cold game with a chance of snow.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 30 18 29 20 31 19
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 27 32 14 14 14 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Darnold, NYJ HOU 20000020011 ***
Expect a much tougher time this week than against the Bills. Even though he wasn't sacked in Week 14, Darnold still failed to top 175 yards passing and threw just one TD. He has not posted more than 14 fantasy points in any of his last three starts.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Elijah McGuire, NYJ HOU 4013200000 **
He returned to a limited Wednesday session with an ankle injury and appears poised to play. He will be needed with Isaiah Crowell (foot) seemingly resigned to missing his first NFL game. Houston has been far more accommodating to pass-catching work by RBs in 2018, allowing only 874 rushing yards and seven scores vs. a 74-523-5 line through the sky.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robby Anderson, NYJ HOU 005601000 *
Only Jacksonville has given up fewer touchdowns in 2018 than the Texans. Anderson scored last week on a crazy play thanks to Sam Darnold running like Forrest Gump just to buy enough time to throw the ball. That was his only TD grab in the last six games, but he had been hampered by injuries until recently. This projection is on the hopeful side, so utilize him only if you have no better choices.

Update: Anderson should see more targets with Quincy Enunwa out of action.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jermaine Kearse, NYJ HOU 003300000 ***
Kearse has too small of a role in a limited passing offense and faces a dominant defense against wide receiver TDs.

Update: That role will increase ever so slightly with Quincy Enunwa being ruled out.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Chris Herndon, NYJ HOU 004400000 ***
Houston has granted the fifth-most yards to tight ends since Week 9 on the 11th-most receptions. Over that span, three in 23 balls went into the end zone, which checks in as the eighth-highest frequency. Herndon has sneaky value for gamers in a rough spot at the position, but he is more ideally suited for DFS action or as a flex.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, NYJ HOU 0022 ***
No writeup available

Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 28-48 10 @NE 31-37
2 KC 35-17 11 MIA 19-14
3 @CLE 24-14 12 @IND 13-20
4 NE 28-52 13 JAC 34-18
5 @SF 3-45 14 STL 12-15
6 @ARI 19-16 15 SEA 17-50
7 TEN 34-35 16 @MIA 10-24
8 BYE ----- 17 NYJ -----
9 @HOU 9-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB LeSean McCoy 90,1 5-30
PK Stephen Hauschka 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bills are expected to fire Chan Gailey and revamp the offense in the offseason to include finding a new starting quarterback. For the second year in a row, Ryan Fitzpatrick started out red hot for the first month or so and they just rapidly declined. He passed for 12 touchdowns in the first four weeks and then only 11 more in the last 11 games. That includes four times where he did not score. Gailey has stood behind Fitzpatrick but the return just has not been there and will be one reason why Gailey is out. That and a 15-31 record so far.

Fitzpatrick passed for 195 yards and three scores in the opener in New York.

Another facet sure to change will be at tailback. C.J. Spiller opened the year with 169 yards and one score on 14 runs against the Jets. But he is ending with six different games that limited him to fewer than ten carries. He is averaging 6.5 yards per carry and yet only ran 183 times this year.

Fred Jackson ran 115 times and he only played in nine games and averaged 3.8 yards per carry. At least Gailey has stated he has no intention on trying out young players in this meaningless game. That means Spiller remains a very viable option along with Steve Johnson who also scored in the season opener and gained 55 yards.

Scott Chandler has been placed on injured reserve with a torn ACL

Spiller is the only attractive start here and should have a nice game against a defense that has allowed a score and 100+ yards to the running backs of the last four toad teams. Stevie Johnson is always a low-level starter who rarely tops 70 yards in a game but is the only remaining receiver even capable of such. Knowing that the team is about to be torn up will have some effect on the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 21 8 27 13 26 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 5 24 2 17 15 29

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Josh Allen, BUF DET 60100020010 ***
Josh "Michael Vick" Allen has rushed for more yards (235) in the last three games than everyone not named Saquon Barkley. Go figure. The rookie passer still has been a turnover machine with four interceptions in the last two games alone, and 245 yards marks his highest passing told of the year. Even against Detroit, Allen belongs in reserve in standard setups. He has two-QB or DFS appeal.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeSean McCoy, BUF DET 5002100000 *
McCoy left after two carries last week and is highly questionable to play through a hamstring strain.

Update: Shady was limited Thursday and Friday after sitting Wednesday. Listed as questionable, he's a true game-time call based on how his hammy responds in warmups.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Ivory, BUF DET 2001100000 *
LeSean McCoy says he still has a chance to play after not practicing Wednesday. He left last week's game with a hamstring injury following two carries. Ivory should see the bulk of the action either way and is a poor lineup choice against Detroit. This matchup is much better for pass-catching types.

Update: He practiced fully all week but is listed as questionable. Expect Ivory to play. McCoy is also questionable.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Isaiah McKenzie, BUF DET 004501000 *
The second-year receiver has played only four games in 2018 and has seen his work ratchet up in the last two games. He has 11 targets and eight grabs, going for 93 yards. A wonderful PPR matchup awaits him, and even if McKenzie doesn't find the end zone as projected, he could muster enough by way of receptions to have DFS or cavernous flex appeal. Talk about a deep flier, though.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robert Foster, BUF DET 004900000 **
Much like last week's matchup with the Jets, Detroit offers big-play receivers a wealth of upside. The unheralded Foster is an upstart with rookie QB Josh Allen and belongs in the "why not?" column of fantasy gambles. Most owners this far in the playoffs probably won't be in position to take the chance, but he deserves a look if you don't have a clearer way to find flex points. Detroit is the fourth-best matchup of Week 15.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Zay Jones, BUF DET 003500000 ***
Jones has an outside shot at finding the end zone against Detroit's secondary. In the last five weeks, Detroit is one of only three teams to have given up more than 1,000 yards and six TDs to wideouts. Josh Allen has shown some chemistry with Jones, yet gamers will have to be in a tough spot to consider playing the second-year receiver.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Stephen Hauschka, BUF DET 1133 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

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