FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

Prediction: NYJ 20, BUF 17 (Line: BUF by 3.5)

Players to Watch: C.J. Spiller, Shonn Greene

This battle to the bottom of the AFC East is a replay of the season opener when the Jets won 48-28 and the world was still simple and full of hope and even Tim Tebow was happy. Now it is just the last game in a bad season for two teams. Chan Gailey is likely to lose his job within 24 hours of the game but Rex Ryan may survive. This is just a messy game to call and to forecast like pretty much every other these two teams have done this year. The Jets have won this matchup for the last six meetings.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA 7-28
2 @PIT 10-27 11 @STL 27-13
3 @MIA 23-20 12 NE 19-49
4 SF 0-34 13 ARI 7-6
5 HOU 17-23 14 @JAC 17-10
6 IND 35-9 15 @TEN 10-14
7 @NE 26-29 16 SD 17-27
8 MIA 9-30 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Bilal Powell 60,1 3-20
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. 10,1 150

Pregame Notes: The offense is bound to look new next year if only by getting back the scores of injured players. The speculation is that the OC Tony Sparano will be the sacrificial lamb and get fired despite trying to make do with nothing more than Mark Sanchez, Shonn Greene and a revolving door at wideout.

Greg McElroy tried to hide his concussion from the medical staff but finally admitted it on Thursday morning. That choice was no doubt tough since he may have only one start in his career now. Mark Sanchez is back, knowing that they preferred Greg McElroy over him but at least they still won't use Tim Tebow.

Back in the season opener, Sanchez passed for a season best three touchdowns and 266 yards. Oh would that have only lasted. He's thrown only ten more scores over the next 13 games that he played. The Bills almost always allow one passing score though most teams focus on hurting them with the run. They are ranked #32 against running backs and in that is where the Jets will have their success.

Shonn Greene enjoyed one of his better games when he rushed for 94 yards and a score on 27 carries in the season opener. He's plugged along all year and now is joined in tandem with Bilal Powell. With such a shaky situation at quarterback and Dustin Keller expected to miss this game as well, the Jets will rely heavily on the pair of backs. The Bills have already allowed 21 scores to running backs this year.

There are no great fantasy plays here but Greene is a moderate start mainly from the favorable matchup and even Powell could produce a better stat line this week as well. This is going to be a cold game with a chance of snow.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 30 18 29 20 31 19
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 27 32 14 14 14 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Darnold, NYJ @CLE 0000025021 ***
There are too many solid passers this week to take a shot on Darnold against a promising Cleveland defense (3 TDs, 3 INTs in two games). Look for a better way of finding quarterback points.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Isaiah Crowell, NYJ @CLE 5001100000 ***
One in every 26.5 rushing attempts have made it into the end zone thus far against the Browns. Cleveland has given up 99 rushing yards and 57 receiving gains to the position. This is a top-eight matchup in both primary scoring formats.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Bilal Powell, NYJ @CLE 2005400000 ***
Powell's only meaningful contributions come via the sky. The position has averaged six catches for 57 yards against the Browns so far -- numbers on the periphery of being a positive matchup. Powell has flex value.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Quincy Enunwa, NYJ @CLE 0071001000 ***
Sam Darnold loves himself some Enunwa. The well-built wideout has 21 targets, good for 13-155-1 in this first two games of 2018. Cleveland offers a promising matchup. The Browns have given up the eighth-most receptions and ninth-most yards per game but only three TDs in the last 32 grabs have found paydirt (21st).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robby Anderson, NYJ @CLE 003401000 ***
After a 2017 season that promised hope for a true breakout, Anderson's game has almost vanished with Sam Darnold starting over Josh McCown. The pair have hooked up for only four receptions on six targets in two games, but Anderson found the end zone in the opener vs. Detroit. Darnold has favored Quincy Enunwa more than three to one. Cleveland has yielded a fair amount of catches (8th most) and yardage (9th) but only three scores on 32 grabs, or the 11th-toughest figure for exploitation.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr., NYJ @CLE 003500000 ***
Pryor has 11 targets this year, producing seven grabs for 133 yards. Facing his former team could add some incentive, although his role is just barely enough to make him a consideration. The Browns have given up top-10 stats for catches and yardage through two weeks, permitting three TDs along the way.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, NYJ @CLE 2222 ***
Cleveland offers a midrange option for fantasy purposes after having allowed four field goal tries and as many XPAs. Only 50 percent of the field goals have been accurate, however.

Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 28-48 10 @NE 31-37
2 KC 35-17 11 MIA 19-14
3 @CLE 24-14 12 @IND 13-20
4 NE 28-52 13 JAC 34-18
5 @SF 3-45 14 STL 12-15
6 @ARI 19-16 15 SEA 17-50
7 TEN 34-35 16 @MIA 10-24
8 BYE ----- 17 NYJ -----
9 @HOU 9-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB LeSean McCoy 90,1 5-30
PK Stephen Hauschka 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bills are expected to fire Chan Gailey and revamp the offense in the offseason to include finding a new starting quarterback. For the second year in a row, Ryan Fitzpatrick started out red hot for the first month or so and they just rapidly declined. He passed for 12 touchdowns in the first four weeks and then only 11 more in the last 11 games. That includes four times where he did not score. Gailey has stood behind Fitzpatrick but the return just has not been there and will be one reason why Gailey is out. That and a 15-31 record so far.

Fitzpatrick passed for 195 yards and three scores in the opener in New York.

Another facet sure to change will be at tailback. C.J. Spiller opened the year with 169 yards and one score on 14 runs against the Jets. But he is ending with six different games that limited him to fewer than ten carries. He is averaging 6.5 yards per carry and yet only ran 183 times this year.

Fred Jackson ran 115 times and he only played in nine games and averaged 3.8 yards per carry. At least Gailey has stated he has no intention on trying out young players in this meaningless game. That means Spiller remains a very viable option along with Steve Johnson who also scored in the season opener and gained 55 yards.

Scott Chandler has been placed on injured reserve with a torn ACL

Spiller is the only attractive start here and should have a nice game against a defense that has allowed a score and 100+ yards to the running backs of the last four toad teams. Stevie Johnson is always a low-level starter who rarely tops 70 yards in a game but is the only remaining receiver even capable of such. Knowing that the team is about to be torn up will have some effect on the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 21 8 27 13 26 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 5 24 2 17 15 29

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Josh Allen, BUF @MIN 20000019002 ***
Allen's career is off to a rough start with daunting matchups. Minnesota should have little trouble handling the rookie passer.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeSean McCoy, BUF @MIN 4003200000 *
McCoy is expected to play through broken ribs and could be in for a long day against the Vikes. Minnesota has given up the sixth-fewest PPR points and has not allowed a running back touchdown over the past 50 touches.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Ivory, BUF @MIN 1002200000 ***
Ivory could see a few more touches this week with LeSean McCoy battling broken ribs. The veteran backup has no fantasy value against the sixth-hardest matchup of Week 3.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Zay Jones, BUF @MIN 003300000 ***
Jones is not a fantasy commodity until the Bills demonstrate a semblance of competency in the aerial game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kelvin Benjamin, BUF @MIN 002200000 ***
Benjamin is unplayable until this offense shows improvement. Minnesota's defense ranks in the bottom half of the league against PPR-type receivers.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robert Foster, BUF @MIN 001200000 ***
Foster doesn't belong anywhere near a fantasy football roster.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Charles Clay, BUF @MIN 005500000 ***
Minnesota is so good on the outside that tight ends fine creases to operate in the middle of the field. Clay, however, is merely a stab in the dark if you're super desperate. The position has carved out 12 catches (5th) and 189 yards (6th) but no scores in the two games.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Stephen Hauschka, BUF @MIN 2200 ***
The Vikings have given up the sixth-fewest point-after attempts but the most field goal tries through two weeks. All but one of the nine FGAs has connected. Kickers have averaged 13.5 fantasy points against this group, but Buffalo's dreary offense could rely heavily on the leg of Hauschka.

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t