Beyond TDs and Tackles: Week 6

Beyond TDs and Tackles: Week 6


Beyond TDs and Tackles: Week 6


per·spec·tive  noun  pər-ˈspek-tiv
1a :  the technique or process of representing on a plane or curved surface the spatial relation of objects as they might appear to the eye; specifically :  representation in a drawing or painting of parallel lines as converging in order to give the illusion of depth and distance
1b :  a picture in perspective
2a :  the interrelation in which a subject or its parts are mentally viewed <places the issues in proper perspective>; also :  point of view
2b :  the capacity to view things in their true relations or relative importance <trying to maintain my perspective>
3a :  a visible scene; especially :  one giving a distinctive impression of distance :  vista
2b :  a mental view or prospect <to gain a broader perspective on the international scene — Current Biography>
4   :  the appearance to the eye of objects in respect to their relative distance and positions

I suggest that people take a big helping of perspective when they look at Branden Oliver, who I hear is all the rage this week. I mean he had 182 total yards and scored 2 TDs on his way to a whopping 34.20 fantasy points (PPR).  What’s not to like about that? I had a few different scenarios/examples I was going to try and use but in the end I’ll just refer to all of the Oliver love as “Fantasy Beer Goggles.” I think it’s a fitting description, no need for me to explain, just let it play out in your head.

I know there are people out there that say you can’t take away this carry or that play…it happened! And they are right, it did happen, but that doesn’t mean that you can’t look at it to see how or why it happened. I challenge you to go back and watch the tape of Oliver’s big plays. What you’ll see is that the Jets defense, didn’t look like the Jets defense. Poor execution on the defensive side of the ball was Oliver’s friend. It happens, players and teams have bad plays, games…and if you are the Raiders, bad decades.

It’s true, the Jets came in to week 5 having given up the fewest points to RBs. It’s also true that Oliver, as stated earlier, hung a 30 burger on them. What’s also true is that he’s not the second coming of fill in the blank. He’s Branden Oliver, an undrafted free agent that’s the next man up due to injuries. He very well could help your fantasy team, but I highly doubt he’ll be putting your fantasy team on his diminutive shoulders and carrying you to a fantasy championship. He does have some very nice matchups ahead (including this week) but that doesn’t mean you should expect him to post top-10 fantasy numbers the rest of the way.

Earlier this season we touched on NYoA (Net Yards over Average) which helps to show how a team is performing when a player is on the field. With Oliver blowing up and people losing their mind, I thought I’d take a look at some other rookies with similar touches and see how they have compared to Oliver. You can use the following chart to form your own views and see if it changes your perspective.

Name Touches Net Yards over Avg. Net Yards over Avg/play
Branden Oliver 39 -2.04 -0.03
Jerrick McKinnon 38 -120.33 -1.24
Carlos Hyde 37 7.35 0.07
Lorenzo Taliaferro 38 36.50 0.59

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