Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs PIT

Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs PIT


Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs PIT

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Prediction: HOU 27, PIT 23 (Line: PIT by 3.5)

The 3-3 Steelers host the 3-3 Texans and both come off losses. The Steelers are only 1-1 at home and recently lost their ability to score. The Texans are just 1-2 on the road but stayed up with both the Cowboys and Colts. I like the upset here mostly because the Texans defense is good and the Steelers offense is shrinking to little more than Antonio Brown.

Houston Texans

1 WAS 17-6 10 BYE —–
2 @OAK 30-14 11 @CLE —–
3 @NYG 17-30 12 CIN —–
4 BUF 23-17 13 TEN —–
5 @DAL 17-20 14 @JAC —–
6 IND 28-33 15 @IND —–
7 @PIT —– 16 BAL —–
8 @TEN —– 17 JAC —–
9 PHI —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Lamar Miller 60,1 2-10
WR DeAndre Hopkins 5-70,1
WR Cecil Shorts 5-60,1
PK Nick Novak 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Texans 3-1 start now is a 3-3 record with a two game losing streak despite both the Cowboys and Colts games ended with close scores. J.J. Watts is almost unfair to use because of his impact but the Texans passing game cannot claim to be equally as valuable. The first month was the easiest part of the schedule. Now the Texans have too more road games before hosting the Eagles and the losing streak may not be over.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Fitzpatrick is more of a game manager and his inability to mount a comeback was apparent last week against the Colts. Fitzpatrick only scored six times in six games with six interceptions total. He averages 211 yards per game and that is sort of the definition of average. There is no reason to expect an improvement.

RUNNING BACK : Arian Foster is as good as he has ever been aside from missing almost two full games. He topped 100 rushing yards in the four full games that he’s played and ran in two scores in each of the last two games. Alfred Blue has only a minimal role as relief. Foster continues to be one of the elite backs in the league. The Texans offense goes through Foster.

WIDE RECEIVER : Andre Johnson scored for the first time this year when he snagged seven passes for 99 yards against the Colts though his late game fumble killed a possible comeback victory. Not bad for being questionable to play and missing practices. Johnson was good for around 60 or 70 yards in most games but just never scores. DeAndre Hopkins has a team high three receiving touchdowns and even broke 100 yards in New York against the Giants. But he flopped against the Colts with only two targets that resulted in just one catch for 12 yards. It is a very average passing offense at best and that shows up here.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Steelers have not played against any decent passing offenses so far this year so their ranking seems far better than it really is. But the Texans are unlikely to come in and do more than one passing score and moderate yardage anyway. This game comes down to Arian Foster carrying the load against the Steelers who have been softer versus the rush. The Browns just scored three times and totaled 165 rushing yards on them. The Steelers have not yet faced a back as good as Foster and that means he remains a “must start”. Johnson and Hopkins are both moderate plays this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 31 17 22 32 18 3
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 2 12 8 25 30 10

Pittsburgh Steelers

1 CLE 30-27 10 @NYJ —–
2 @BAL 6-26 11 @TEN —–
3 @CAR 37-19 12 BYE —–
4 TB 24-27 13 NO —–
5 @JAC 17-9 14 @CIN —–
6 @CLE 10-31 15 @ATL —–
7 HOU —– 16 KC —–
8 IND —– 17 CIN —–
9 BAL —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT vs HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 280,2
RB Le’Veon Bell 90 5-40
WR Antonio Brown 8-90,1
WR Markus Wheaton 4-60
TE Heath Miller 3-20
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Steelers managed a big win in Carolina back in week three but since then they lost to the Buccaneers, almost lost to the Jaguars and then was trounced by the Browns. The problem is mostly on the offense that can move the ball but not score. And the rushing effort is less than what it was back in 2013. With three home games in a row coming up, the Steelers have time to work on their challenges but facing the Texans, Colts and then Ravens is not going to make it any easier.

QUARTERBACK : Ben Roethlisberger scores nearly every week but is limited to single scores unless facing a truly weak secondary. Big Ben only tossed one interception over the last four games but is back to having problems with getting sacked and fumbling. Back at home this week should held since his only two 300 yard efforts were in both of the home games played this year.

RUNNING BACK : One source of tension is that Big Ben likes to audible out of run plays and pass, particularly near the end zone. As a result, Le’Veon Bell has not scored a t touchdown since the season opener and remains below 20 carries per week since week three. He still totals over 100 yards each week thanks to receptions but he is not a weapon they are using at the goal line. LeGarrette Blount takes around eight carries per week and scored twice this year. Ongoing the plan is to get the ball to Bell more often but plans go out the window when a team falls behind or Roethlisberger decides to audible.

WIDE RECEIVER : Antonio Brown’s monster season continues despite every defense knowing that he will be getting a dozen or so passes and gaining at least 84 yards in every game. Brown holds five passing touchdowns of the eight total by the Steelers. He has three games over 100 yards. No other wideout matters here and Markus Wheaton is taking his big opportunity and turning in 35 yard games nearly every week. Bottom line – Brown remains the biggest weapon of the Steelers and has been uncoverable each week. Twice this year he toasted Joe Haden for 110+ yards.

TIGHT END : Heath Miller has too many little games to merit a fantasy start but scored once and had 85 yards when the Buccaneers visited. Otherwise – no fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Ben Roethlisberger is sacked more often lately and now J. J. Watts comes to town and possibly Jadeveon Clowney may also return from his torn meniscus. The Texans have allowed multiple scores in each of the last four games and fairly healthy yardage. They also gave up four rushing scores and allowed Jennings and Murray to both top 100 yards on them. Brown is always a starter but so should Bell. None of the others offers more reward than risk.

Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 26 9 11 18 14 18
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 21 17 28 16 8 9

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