Game Predictions & Player Projections - SEA vs STL

Game Predictions & Player Projections - SEA vs STL


Game Predictions & Player Projections - SEA vs STL

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Prediction: SEA 24, STL 20 (Line: SEA by 7)

UPDATE: The Seahawks traded away Percy Harvin to the New York Jets for a “mid-round” conditiuonal draft pick.

The 3-2 Seahawks are in third place in the NFC West and come off their shocking loss to the Cowboys in Seattle. The 1-4 Rams are on a three game losing streak and last beat the Seahawks two years ago. These meetings have always tended to be low scoring. The last eight meetings all totaled fewer than 37 points.

The Seahawks won 14-9 in St. Louis last year.

Seattle Seahawks

1 GB 36-16 10 NYG —–
2 @SD 21-30 11 @KC —–
3 DEN 26-20 12 ARI —–
4 BYE —– 13 @SF —–
5 @WAS 27-17 14 @PHI —–
6 DAL 23-30 15 SF —–
7 @STL —– 16 @ARI —–
8 @CAR —– 17 STL —–
9 OAK —–  
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vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: Nothing is more focusing than getting rolled in your own stadium when you are the reigning Super Bowl champs and are supposed to be unbeatable there. The Cowboys did not get that memo though and the Seahawks now drop behind both the Cardinals and 49ers in the division. This is the first matchup inside the NFC West for the Seahawks this year and there is plenty of time to catch up but the Seahawks already have had more injuries to contend with and now they’re just guilty of not preparing enough.

QUARTERBACK : Russell Wilson was on a nice roll with two scores in every game but against the Cowboys he failed to throw for any touchdowns and only completed 14 of 28 passes for 126 yards. He did run in a score for the second week in a row. Wilson will want to get back on track this week. He passed for 139 yards and two touchdowns in St. Louis last year.

RUNNING BACK : For the first time this year, Marshawn Lynch failed to score a touchdown and his stats like the rest of the team were low (10-61). But Lynch only has one game over 100 rushing yards and typically catches four passes or so to help him top the century mark in total yardage. Lynch only gained 23 yards on eight runs in St. Louis last year. He later ran for 97 yards and a score on 23 carries at home.

WIDE RECEIVER : This unit is below average and only totals four touchdowns on the season. Percy Harvin had his three touchdowns all called back in the Washington game but against the Cowboys he caught three passes for a net of zero yards. Despite getting up to nine targets per week, he remains a non-factor. Doug Baldwin is consistent at around 50 yards per game but over all this is a lack luster group that simply cannot compete when the Seahawks fall behind and need to pass.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Zach Miller is expected back from his ankle injury this week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Rams allow two or more touchdowns to every quarterback this season. The yardage is rarely high – nor is Wilson’s – but the scoring is all done via the pass. There have been three runners to top 80 yards in a game with the Rams but only DeMarco Murray scored a touchdown on them. Lynch is an every week starter but none of the other Seahawks are – even in St. Louis.

Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 10 12 25 30 10 30
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 8 9 17 6 25 32

St. Louis Rams

1 MIN 6-34 10 @ARI —–
2 @TB 19-17 11 DEN —–
3 DAL 31-34 12 @SD —–
4 BYE —– 13 OAK —–
5 @PHI 28-34 14 @WAS —–
6 SF 17-31 15 ARI —–
7 SEA —– 16 NYG —–
8 @KC —– 17 @SEA —–
9 @SF —–  
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vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Rams started out hot last week but then cooled when the 49ers outscored them 31-3. The defense allowed over 30 points in each of the last three games and now has to face a humbled Seahawks team that should be extra motivated to win this week. With three straight road games waiting on the other side, the Rams losing streak is only going to get bigger.

QUARTERBACK : Austin Davis received a nice compliment from announcer Jon Gruden who likened him to a young Drew Brees. But them he went on to only throw for 236 yards and one score with a season worst five sacks. He’s had five starts and failed to score more than once in three of them. Davis is a fantasy factor only when he faces weaker secondaries.

RUNNING BACK : A new development! Tre Mason was inactive in all games this year as a healthy scratch but was allowed five runs against the 49ers that netted him 40 yards and almost got him a touchdown if Brian Quick did not get into the way. Mason certainly has the pedigree over all the other running backs but lacked the blocking and receiving skills to get onto the field. This will remain a rotation backfield but Mason has earned more reps this week. Zac Stacy was good for around 90 total yards for a few games but then fell to only 34 versus the 49ers and is dropping from favor. Benny Cunningham gets less work than the other backs but leads them with a score in both of the most recent games.

Mason is a decent pickup right now just to see where this goes. But the Rams are a poor rushing team that will use a committee approach in any case.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brian Quick was held to only one catch for ten yards versus the 49ers and falls from his normal 60+ yard pace per week. Kenny Britt showed up with 60+ yard efforts against the Eagles and Cowboys but otherwise has been a non-factor as is Austin Pettis, Chris Givens and Tavon Austin. This unit combines for decent to good stats but individually are too unreliable for fantasy consideration.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value though Lance Kendricks caught his second touchdown in the last three weeks and yet never gained more than 29 yards. Jared Cook was much better with four receptions for 74 yards but he’s usually around 50 yards per week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Rams get lucky with the Seahawks possibly without a starting corner and middle linebacker. But Sherman should match on Brian Quick and ruin his game. Kenny Britt’s outlook is brighter since CB Byron Maxwell has a high ankle sprain and may be out as well. The addition of Tre Mason only muddies the waters for the STL backfield and Stacy is no longer a safe start even just for moderate yardage. There is no safe start on this team though Kenny Britt may be facing a replacement corner back. None of these players have been fantasy difference makers. Best bet is Jared Cook going against a defense that allowed seven touchdowns to tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points STL 11 20 6 8 15 25
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 18 14 13 28 16 6

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