Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs NE

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs NE


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs NE

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Prediction: CHI 24, NE 30 (Line: NE by 6.5)

The 3-4 Bears are 3-1 in road games and travel to face the 5-2 Patriots who are undefeated at home. The Bears stumbled badly last week and need to get back on track but the Patriots had problems themselves they’ve only recently corrected. Patriots win this but the Bears do have a habit of suddenly playing very well on the road. Maybe it has to do with getting away from the wives.

Chicago Bears

1 BUF 20-23 10 @GB —–
2 @SF 28-20 11 MIN —–
3 @NYJ 27-19 12 TB —–
4 GB 17-38 13 @DET —–
5 @CAR 24-31 14 DAL —–
6 @ATL 27-13 15 NO —–
7 MIA 14-27 16 DET —–
8 @NE —– 17 @MIN —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI @ NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 260,2
WR Alshon Jeffery 3-40
WR Eddie Royal 4-50,1
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Bit of dissension in the locker room after the loss to the Dolphins in one of those games where a team turns inexplicably bad and apparently never gets off the bus. The defense has been a problem all year thanks to lost players and injuries. The rushing game is solid as ever with Matt Forte. So it comes down to how well Jay Cutler can find Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall. When that doesn’t happen, not only do they lose but it affects the more vocal players in the locker room. Losing three of the last four games have the Bears already teetering on a lost season.

QUARTERBACK : Jay Cutler comes off his worst game of the year when he only managed 190 yards and one score against the Dolphins and most of that came later in the game. Over the last three losses, Cutler threw for five touchdowns and five interceptions and he’s getting sacked more as the season progresses. Cutler needs to get back on track but this week will be a challenge and then the bye comes to stew over whatever position they are in next week.

RUNNING BACK : It may be dark in all other facets of the team but at least Matt Forte is more than pulling his own weight. He;s scored five times in the last three weeks and topped 100 total yards for four straight weeks. What he lacks in rushing totals for the day he more than makes up as a receiver. In just the last three weeks, Forte hauled in 28 passes for 242 yards.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brandon Marshall was grumbling after the loss to the Dolphins but he had a team high ten targets that became six receptions for 48 yards. Marshall scored just once since week two and produced more than 50 yards in just one of the last six games. Alshon Jeffery has been more productive in most games but even he just ended the game with only nine yards on two catches. Until these two wideouts become productive again, the offense is stalling. Mark Trestman’s scheme was working to great effect last year but is no longer as effective or productive.

TIGHT END : Even Martellus Bennett started the year red hot and has since cooled to a standard of around 50 yards each week with no scores.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Patriots are allowing one or two passing touchdowns in home games but the yardage has yet to top 250 and Cutler has been struggling lately. Revis will naturally match on Alshon Jeffery but the Bears could move him around and Revis doesn’t have to stay put though he generally does. The Patriots have been softer against tight ends in recent games with Scott Chandler and Travis Kelce both topping 90 yards on them. No wide receiver has gained more than 81 yards on the Pats this year. Forte is a must start of course but Cutler, Marshall, Jeffery and Bennett are all moderate starts that have both risk and upside to them.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 8 9 26 10 27 9
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 5 25 2 17 20 7

New England Patriots

1 @MIA 20-33 10 BYE —–
2 @MIN 30-7 11 @IND —–
3 OAK 16-9 12 DET —–
4 @KC 14-41 13 @GB —–
5 CIN 43-17 14 @SD —–
6 @BUF 37-22 15 MIA —–
7 NYJ 27-25 16 @NYJ —–
8 CHI —– 17 BUF —–
9 DEN —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NE vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady 300,3
WR Julian Edelman 6-70
WR Chris Hogan 5-60
TE Martellus Bennett 5-60,1
TE Rob Gronkowski 6-80,1
TE Clay Harbor 6-40
PK Stephen Gostkowski 3 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Patriots offense seems to be back in gear but struggled a bit in the win over the Jets after posting 43 and 37 points in the previous two games. The big matchup comes next week when the Broncos come to town but the Bears are dangerous enough on the road to merit keeping the focus on this week. This should be a good warm up week for the passing game that is going to come into play quickly versus the Broncos the following week.

QUARTERBACK : After four straight weeks of single touchdowns and marginal yardage, Tom Brady is back to throwing multiple touchdowns every week along with healthy yardage. After four scores and 361 yards in Buffalo, Brady laid down 261 yards and three touchdowns on the Jets. The Patriots receiving corps is finally producing consistently.

RUNNING BACK : Losing Stevan Ridley for the rest of the season did not make any changes to the backfield as was hoped. Shane Vereen ran 11 times for 43 yards but his damage was still done as a receiver when he scored twice on his five catches for 71 yards against the Jets. Brandon Bolden went from a few carries per week to zero. James White was a healthy scratch and Jonas Gray ran three times for 12 yards. Obviously this can change every week and likely will depending on what the defense allows. But for now – only Vereen has any value in this backfield. I’ll project for only Vereen.

WIDE RECEIVER : Danny Amendola scored last Thursday but it was on his only catch in the game and that made just two receptions total over the last four weeks. Brandon LaFell was held to 55 yards on four catches but scored against both the Chiefs and Bills. So far his pattern is very consistent – minor role in home games but then shows up with scores and good yardage in road games. Julian Edelman continues to disappoint with just one score all year and rarely more than 50 yards in any games for the last month. As it has evolved, the only obvious fantasy play here is either Edelman knowing you are just going to get very moderate yardage or LaFell who has been excellent but only in road games.

TIGHT END : Rob Gronkowski followed up his 100 yard effort in Kansas City with 94 yards in Buffalo and then 68 yards versus the Jets. While his stats are among the best for tight ends, he’s far from being the same difference maker he was in years past. Tim Wright was on a two game scoring streak but just when you thought he was reliable he never had any targets last Thursday.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bears secondary is allowing multiple scores to decent offenses along with healthy yardage. They are good against the run though and have yet to allow more than 61 rushing yards to any runner. What the Pats accomplish will primarily be via the pass. Expect three scores from Brady this week and they should more favor the wideouts. Brady, Vereen, Gronkowski, Lafell and Edelman are all viable starts this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points NE 17 21 28 6 1 6
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 25 10 16 20 29 24

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