Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs TEN

Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs TEN


Game Predictions & Player Projections - HOU vs TEN

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Prediction: HOU 23, TEN 16 (Line: HOU by 2)

Update: Zach Mettenberger will start at quarterback for the Titans. A late-round rookie making his first start doesn’t exactly set the fantasy heart aflutter. We’ve upped the INTs and cut a TD from the Titans’ QB stat line. Mettenberger’s big arm bodes well for Justin Hunter holding his fantasy value, though. Also, Shonn Greene returns to the lineup to alter fantasy futures two and a half yards at a time.

The 3-4 Texans are on a three game losing streak and head to face the 2-5 Titans. These teams usually play close games and the Titans won 16-10 when the Texans visited in 2013. It was the final game of the year. The Texans won 30-24 when the Titans visited in week two of last year.

Houston Texans

1 WAS 17-6 10 BYE —–
2 @OAK 30-14 11 @CLE —–
3 @NYG 17-30 12 CIN —–
4 BUF 23-17 13 TEN —–
5 @DAL 17-20 14 @JAC —–
6 IND 28-33 15 @IND —–
7 @PIT 23-30 16 BAL —–
8 @TEN —– 17 JAC —–
9 PHI —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Lamar Miller 70,1 2-20
WR DeAndre Hopkins 6-80
WR Cecil Shorts 3-40
PK Nick Novak 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Texans had the Steelers on the ropes before some bad luck ruined it all in just three minutes. The last three losses were all by a touchdown or less and the Texans are competitive in every game. The schedule settles down from here on out with only a few tough spots. If Jadeveon Clowney can return from his knee injury this week, it should make that Houston defense more than J.J. Watt and ten associated friends.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Fitzpatrick remains just a game manager good for the lower 200’s in passing yardage and throws about one touchdown each week. He’s not winning games for them but he is not losing them either.

The Texans passed for only 229 yards and no scores in Tennessee last year.

RUNNING BACK : Arian Foster continues his strong play with his fifth 100 yard effort of the season and he turned in a receiving score in the loss to the Steelers to total six scores on the season. So long as he is healthy, Foster is just like Murray churning out the big rushing efforts every week and receiving only minimal relief from Alfred Blue.

Foster ran for 79 yards and one score in the only game he played with the Bills last season.

WIDE RECEIVER : This remains a two man show with Andre Johnson getting the most targets. Johnson is consistent with 70+ yards per week but he still has not topped 100 yards or scored more than once. DeAndre Hopkins turned in two games with more than 100 yards and scored three times but has not scored since week four and while he had 108 yards in Pittsburgh last week, he was held to only one catch for 12 yards by Colts the previous week. Johnson churns out roughly the same thing every week. Hopkins is very sensitive to how good the secondary is.

Johnson was held to 49 yards in Tennessee last year and Hopkins only managed 35 yards on four catches.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Titans are roughly average on defense and while they held five opponents to no more than one score and 200 passing yards, they also allowed 393 yards and four scores to Andrew Luck and 291 yards and three touchdowns to Brian Hoyer. While they are weak against tight ends, no team uses that position less than the Texans do. Wide receivers do well too though and five have already exceeded 100 yards against them. Foster is a must start every week but both Johnson and Hopkins make for a moderate start against the Titans secondary.

Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 28 14 22 32 15 3
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 14 13 20 28 26 15

Tennessee Titans

1 @KC 26-10 10 @BAL —–
2 DAL 10-26 11 PIT —–
3 @CIN 7-33 12 @PHI —–
4 @IND 17-41 13 @HOU —–
5 CLE 28-29 14 NYG —–
6 JAC 16-14 15 NYJ —–
7 @WAS 17-19 16 @JAC —–
8 HOU —– 17 IND —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
TEN vs HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Zach Mettenberger 240,1
RB Bishop Sankey 60 2-10
WR Harry Douglas 4-40
WR Justin Hunter 3-70,1
WR Kendall Wright 6-60
TE Delanie Walker 5-70
PK Ryan Succop 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Titans will be going onto their bye next week so all injured players have a shot at returning in week 10. That doesn’t mean that Jake Locker or Jadeveon Clowney won’t play this week but both need to be cleared. The offense is the persistent problem and more the rushing game than the passing. But once the bye is over the schedule becomes much worse and they’ll need Locker back if they are going to do more than merely be “competitive”.

QUARTERBACK : Jake Locker’s thumb is on the mend and he may return as early as this week. HC Ken Whisenhunt expressed optimism but I’ll track this closely and update later if warranted. Both of Locker’s starts had more yardage than any by Charlie Whitehurst. Locker is marginally better but he’s never been a savior and his calling card is more about being an injury waiting to happen.

RUNNING BACK : Though he’s had a big opportunity as the lead back for the last two weeks, Bishop Sankey only managed 61 yards on 19 carries versus the Jaguars and then 56 yards on 16 runs in Washington. He’s been held out of the the passing game and HC Bill O’Brien has been disappointed with what Sankey has accomplished thus far. A nice showing before the bye week would go a long way to keeping Sankey on the field once they return in week ten.

WIDE RECEIVER : The passing stats have been lackluster all year and the wide receivers are among the most unproductive in the NFL. Kendall Wright scored four times but only averaged 42 yards per game. Justin Hunter was as good as 99 yards and a score versus the Browns but that followed his one catch for 12 yards game against the Colts. There is no fantasy value here aside from minimal yardage from Wright.

TIGHT END : Delanie Walker started out hot but in the last three games he did not score or gain more than 60 yards. For a team starved of talent, Walker should be getting more looks than he has.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Texans five up multiple touchdowns to every opposing quarterback for the last five games and the yardage can be substantial but the Titans are hardly a team that passes first, often or all that well. The Texans are weaker against the run and that is where Sankey as least has an opportunity. Sankey has just not picked up the offense well enough to spawn much optimism here. He could have a monster game. But he could be a flop and that would not be their first time. Sankey is a moderate start with some upside but none of the other fantasy plays are worth considering other than Johnson from his consistency.


Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 23 28 30 14 26 19
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 20 22 27 10 12 14

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