Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs NYG

Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs NYG


Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs NYG

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Prediction: IND 31, NYG 20 (Line: IND by 3.5)

UPDATE: Trent Richardson is off the injury report and ready to play again. Reggie Wayne also had a full practice on Friday and is expected to play on Monday night. Rashad Jennings remains out but is planning on playing next week.

Looking back just one game this seems to be more even. But the Colts clearly had a trap game of sorts and did not play anything like they had (nor did the Steelers). The Giants have yet to beat anyone with a winning record and are on a two game losing streak coming off a bye. The Colts have not been a great road team but the Giants are still trying to figure out their offense. This is the Monday night game and that typically prompts more scoring.

Indianapolis Colts

1 @DEN 24-31 10 BYE —–
2 PHI 27-30 11 NE  —–
3 @JAC 44-17 12 JAC —–
4 TEN 41-17 13 WAS —–
5 BAL 20-13 14 @CLE —–
6 @HOU 33-28 15 HOU —–
7 CIN 27-0 16 @DAL —–
8 @PIT 34-51 17 @TEN —–
9 @NYG —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
IND @ NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 20 310,3
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 50 4-40,1
RB Frank Gore 60,1 1-10
WR T.Y. Hilton 8-110
WR Donte Moncrief 2-30
TE Dwayne Allen 2-20,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The same defense that shut out the Bengals followed that up allowing 51 points to the Steelers but the game was lost from the start and nothing the Colts could do would stem the tide. They were on a five game winning streak and ripe for a let down game. This week the Giants present a very “winnable” game that will allow them to reach their bye with a 6-3 mark. Facing three straight home games after the bye should set the Colts up to coast for the divisional title though potential first week byes will keep them playing.

QUARTERBACK : Andrew Luck may have lost the Steeler game but in fantasy terms – so what? He threw a season best 400 yards and three scores for a total of 22 touchdowns over the first eight games. He’s on a pace for 5462 yards. Better yet – his best games have almost all been on the road.

RUNNING BACK : Trent Richardson was out with a hamstring strain last week though he did suit up. He should be good enough to play on Sunday but may not be 100%. He was running well right up to the injury but Ahmad Bradshaw will split carries with him at the least if not again be the primary for this week. Bradshaw is a scoring machine with eight touchdowns on the year though only two were via a run. Bradshaw missed scoring in only one of the last seven games. I’ll project for both runners but Richardson is still a risky start unless he gets in full practices this week.

WIDE RECEIVER : Reggie Wayne was out last week because of an elbow injury but he may end up as a game time decision for this Monday night game. The rookie Donte Moncrief stepped up in his place and caught seven passes for 113 yards and one score in Pittsburgh. Hakeem Nicks continues to disappoint even with Wayne out and has lost all fantasy value. T.Y Hilton comes off his second game over 150 yards and fourth 100 yard game of the year. He’s only scored twice but each was on the road. As the other receivers assert themselves, Hilton is getting more action over the middle with lesser coverage. Nicks was no real help but Wayne and then Moncrief is making a difference.

The question this week is if the Colts are nice and let Nicks score on his old team. If Nicks can matter for any game, it has to be this one.

TIGHT END : It is unfortunate that Dwayne Allen rarely catches more than three or four passes for moderate yardage every week because he’s scored six touchdowns this year and five over the last six weeks. Coby Fleener scored three times with even lower yardage. Allen is as reliable for a score as any tight end but not much else comes with it.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Giants are allowing a couple of passing scores and mid 200 yards to opponents as a starting point and their weakness against the run complicates projections because teams can choose which way they want to win. The Giants have already allowed seven touchdowns to the position but hare better at home and the Colts are likely to split up the work if Richardson returns this week. No need to worry about Luck, Hilton, Allen or Bradshaw. Depending on what happens with Wayne, even Moncrief could be a sneaky play this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 1 5 6 3 2 8
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 18 30 6 20 18 21

New York Giants

1 @DET 14-35 10 @SEA —–
2 ARI 14-25 11 SF —–
3 HOU 30-17 12 DAL —–
4 @WAS 45-14 13 @JAC —–
5 ATL 30-20 14 @TEN —–
6 @PHI 0-27 15 WAS —–
7 @DAL 21-31 16 @STL —–
8 BYE —– 17 PHI —–
9 IND —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 260,2
RB Bobby Rainey 60,1 3-20
RB Shane Vereen 30 5-60,1
RB Andre Williams 60
WR Odell Beckham 4-50
WR Hakeem Nicks 4-60,1
TE Larry Donnell 7-80,1
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Losing Victor Cruz may prove a death knell for a team that did not need much pushing in that direction. The schedule is brutal from here on out and for the next month the Giants will likely be overwhelmed by their opponents. Eventually most of the injured should return and late games against the Jaguars, Titans and Skins hold promise but not enough to envision a .500 season.

QUARTERBACK : Eli Manning was able to bounce back from losing Victor Cruz – at least in fantasy terms. He threw for 248 yards and three scores in Dallas prior to the bye week. That came after being blanked for the first time this year when he only managed 151 yards and no touchdowns in Philadelphia. Now that defenses have a better idea what Manning wants to do without Cruz, he’ll need to be that much better just to stay competitive.

RUNNING BACK : Rashad Jennings is still not certain to return from his MCL sprain in week five. Andre Williams filled in as the starter for the last two games but never ran for more than 59 yards in either despite getting 17 and 18 carries against the Eagles and Cowboys respectively. Those both were road games in fairness and the only truly good game all year was when Jennings tore up the visiting Texans back in week three. Until Jennings is cleared and practices, I’ll assume that Williams gets one more start. Jennings is only now starting to run in a straight line.

WIDE RECEIVER : There is only one post-Cruz game to consider so far but the early returns are that the Giants may be able to compensate for the loss of the best wideout at least partially. Odell Beckham stepped into the big shoes and while he scored his first two NFL touchdowns in the loss to the Cowboys, he was held to only 34 yards on four receptions and one run for 13 yards. Rueben Randle turned in six catches for 74 yards which is slightly better than normal but the Giants were in desperation mode anyway. Preston Parker remains the little used #3 in this unit. Beckham has skills to be sure but he’s being thrown into the first after missing so much time in camp and the regular season because of his hamstring.

TIGHT END : As suspected, the loss of Cruz resulted in a few more passes being thrown Larry Donnell’s way. He ended the loss in Dallas with seven catches for 90 yards but lost two fumbles. Apparently Tom Coughlin no longer cares since he’s running short of players anyway. Donnell was used more because the Cowboys were a bit weaker on the position anyway so this week will be interesting to see if consistent use of Donnell happens.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Assuming the same Colts from last week do not reappear, expect Manning to have just a moderate game with his two scores but relying on a rushing score will depend on if the Colts get an early lead and force the Giants to abandon the run. Larry Donnell is in a nice spot for a meaningful game since five tight ends have already topped 70 yards against them and Donnell is playing like he is part of the solution for missing Cruz. Aside from Donnell, the rest of the normal fantasy starters here have moderate value in what should become a shootout. Both Randle and Benkham are desperation plays but have some upside.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 18 26 25 6 27 21
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 17 17 10 27 5 23

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