Game Predictions & Player Projections - WAS vs MIN

Game Predictions & Player Projections - WAS vs MIN


Game Predictions & Player Projections - WAS vs MIN

table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Prediction: WAS 24, MIN 20 (Line: MIN by 3)

UPDATE: Robert Griffin III is good to go this week and will start. That helps all the projections and now swings the game in the favor of the Redskins.

The 3-5 Redskins are only 1-3 on the road but come off a defeat of the Cowboys in Dallas. The 3-5 Vikings also pulled off an upset in their road game in Tampa Bay last week but are only 1-2 at home. Have to wonder if the Redskins won’t come out a little flat after that big win last week.

The Vikings won 34-27 when the Redskins visited last year.

Washington Redskins

1 @HOU 6-17 10 BYE —–
2 JAC 41-10 11 TB —–
3 @PHI 34-37 12 @SF —–
4 NYG 14-45 13 @IND —–
5 SEA 17-27 14 STL —–
6 @ARI 20-30 15 @NYG —–
7 TEN 19-17 16 PHI —–
8 @DAL 20-17 17 DAL —–
9 @MIN —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Pierre Garcon 6-70
WR DeSean Jackson 6-90,1
WR Andre Roberts 4-30
TE Vernon Davis 3-30
TE Jordan Reed 4-50,1

Pregame Notes: We’ll never know what Kirk Cousins might have done in Dallas but Colt McCoy certainly made his mark in his only start in the last three years. Beating the Cowboys doesn’t really prove anything other than it is great to be alive and rooting for the Redskins for at least one week. THe offense is still mired at the 20 point mark and unable to generate anything more while the defense is not nearly as good as it seemed on Monday night. The return of Robert Griffin III will help tremendously and could happen as early as this week.

QUARTERBACK : I’ll project for Colt McCoy again but HC Jay Gruden keeps saying that Robert Griffin’s ankle is getting better and that he is really close to playing. Holding him out one more week would actually buy him two with the bye included but if he is healthy then there is no reason to wait. I’ll update as warranted.

Griffin passed for 281 yards and three touchdowns in Minnesota last year.

RUNNING BACK : Alfred Morris comes off one of his best games of the year when he ran 18 times for 73 yards and one touchdown in Dallas. That was his first score in four games and best yardage since week three. Roy Helu takes five runs and a few catches each week but that only hurts what Morris could have done. Morris has yet to top 100 total yards in any game.

Morris gained 139 yards on 26 carries in Minnesota last season.

WIDE RECEIVER : DeSean Jackson comes off his fourth 100+ yard effort of the year and his first where he did not score a touchdown as well. Jackson rarely has more than five carries in any game but he’s been outstanding with one or two long completions nearly every week. Pierre Garcon likely cannot wait for Griffin to show back up. Playing with RG3 last year, Garcon ended with 113 catches. In his one game with Griffin this year, he caught ten passes for 77 yards in Houston. Since Cousins took over, Garcon has been rather quiet and is averaging little over three catches per week for the last five games.

Griffin’s return doesn’t mean Garcon is suddenly back on a 113 catch pace again because the Skins have Jackson and Jordan Reed unlike last year. But it certainly cannot hurt.

Garcon led receivers with 119 yards and a score on seven catches against the Vikings last year.

TIGHT END : Three weeks back and Jordan Reed still has not score but he is averaging over 60 yards per game as a tight end and around six catches in each. His fortunes likely improve with Griffin as well.

Both Reed (6-62, TD) and Logan Paulsen (2-3, TD) scored against the Vikes in 2013.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikes are good against the pass and at home have been even better with only five passing scores allowed over three games. McCoy will likely have a lesser game because the Vikes are weak against the run and Morris should at least manage decent yardage here if not a touchdown as well. Jackson and Morris are the two obvious starts and Garcon could end up with decent stats as well but his risk is much higher. Reed should continue his moderate ways here against a defense that has been very good against tight ends in the three home games so far.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 14 12 10 11 21 27
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 2 25 9 7 6 24

Minnesota Vikings

1 @STL 34-6 10 BYE —–
2 NE 7-30 11 @CHI —–
3 @NO 9-20 12 GB —–
4 ATL 41-28 13 CAR —–
5 @GB 10-42 14 NYJ —–
6 DET 3-17 15 @DET —–
7 @BUF 16-17 16 @MIA —–
8 @TB 19-13 17 CHI —–
9 WAS —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Teddy Bridgewater 230,1
RB Jerick McKinnon 90,1 3-20
WR Cordarrelle Patterson 20 5-60,1
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The win in Tampa Bay ended a three game losing streak but the problems with the offense are hardly fixed and if anything it was just nice to get Teddy Bridgewater a win. This and the week 14 matchup with the visiting Jets are the remaining games where the Vikes are sure to be favored. They catch the Skins at a good time coming off an emotional win and on the road again.

QUARTERBACK : Teddy Bridgewater is making progress. He’s thrown for a touchdown in each of the last two games and had no turnovers along with just one sack. He is also decreasing his rushing yardage and staying in the pocket more every game. He remains well below fantasy relevance but is making minor strides.

Christian Ponder passed for 174 yards and two scores versus the Skins last year.

RUNNING BACK : Jerick McKinnon is settling down to the primary back role and while he has yet to score a touchdown, he’s broken 100 rush yards twice including the 135 yards he had in the home game against the Falcons. Matt Asiata is just a relief player now and McKinnon is getting 15 to 20 touches every week.

Adrian Peterson was held to 75 yards on 20 runs versus the Skins last year but scored twice.

WIDE RECEIVER : Cordarrelle Patterson shed his walking boot after suffering a bruised left ankle in Sunday’s win over Tampa Bay but he played through it and ended with a season best six catches for 86 yards. That was his first time with more than 40 yards since Bridgewater became the starter and he received 12 targets instead of his more usual four. This offense desperately needs a receiver to step up and Patterson’s pedigree and cost says he should be that guy. Greg Jennings scored last week for the first time since the season opener but he’s been mostly stuck at sub-40 yard efforts for the last month of Bridgewater starting.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Redskins regularly allow two or more passing touchdowns but that would be a first for Bridgewater. This is where the best chance lies to win this game though and the rookie is getting better with his receivers. The Skins have only allowed one touchdown to a runner this year but in road games twice they allowed over 100 rushing yards. Consider McKinnon worth starting this week but Jennings and Patterson are too risky to rely on even if there is upside this week. Bridgewater is improving but you would need to be desperate to rely on any element of the passing game.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 32 23 29 24 18 7
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 4 21 18 21 27

table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Recent News

More Huddle