Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs JAC

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs JAC


Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs JAC

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Prediction: DAL 24, JAC 17 (Line: DAL by 7.5)

UPDATE: Tony Romo is expected to play after putting in a full day of practice on Friday. I will replace Brandon Weeden with Romo but I still like the same moderate stats to happen since no reason for Romo to air it out more than he needs.

This is another London game with the 6-3 Cowboys bringing their two game losing streak and the 1-8 Jaguars just hoping to be competitive. These London games are harder to call. The Lions barely beat the Falcons there two weeks ago. But the Dolphins had no problems with the Raiders back in week four. At least this one is starting at 1 P.M. EST instead of early Sunday morning.

Dallas Cowboys

1 SF 17-28 10 @JAC —–
2 @TEN 26-10 11 BYE —–
3 @STL 34-31 12 @NYG —–
4 NO 38-17 13 PHI —–
5 HOU 20-17 14 @CHI —–
6 @SEA 30-23 15 @PHI —–
7 NYG 31-21 16 IND —–
8 WAS 17-20 17 @WAS —–
9 ARI 17-29  
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 240,1
RB Darren McFadden 50 4-30
WR Dez Bryant 6-80,1
WR Terrance Williams 4-50
TE Jason Witten 5-50
PK Dan Bailey 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: It was all going so well. Not only losing two games in a row but two home games really sets the Cowboys back after spending the first half of the year looking like 2014’s Cinderella team. The team mojo already seemed on the wane against the Skins and then when Tony Romo was injured it seemed to break the glass slipper. The key to this season hasn’t been the last nine weeks. It will be much more about week 12 and beyond when the Cowboys are facing four road games and the two home games go against the Eagles and Colts. This week should be a win and then the bye happens. And then the real season begins and the Cowboys have to fight a traditional December collapse with three road games to the cold north east.

QUARTERBACK : Jerry Jones immediately came out saying the he thought Tony Romo will play in London. HC Jason Garrett is “optimistic” that Romo can play. But fractures to two transverse process in his back won’t heal quickly and will cause him pain. Facing the 1-8 Jaguars should mean Romo gets a day of rest and the bye immediately after means two more full weeks to heal up before hitting that bad part of the schedule.

I am projecting for Branden Weeden to start again but Romo’s status won’t be know until later if not at gametime. Even if he plays, there is no assurance he isn’t pulled at the first time the Cowboys feel the game is won.

RUNNING BACK : DeMarco Murray is going to have to live with the NFL record for opening a season with eight straight 100 yard games when he only managed 79 yards on 19 carries in the loss to the Cardinals. Murray remains one of the safest plays in the league though and facing the Jaguars anywhere on the planet isn’t going to change that.

One notable – Joseph Randle has clashed with team mates recently and reportedly a team vote said most want him to be released. that hasn’t happened and may not but it certainly makes holding Randle as a lottery ticket for when Murray is hurt seem like less of a good investment. Lance Dunbar had as many carries as Randle last week plus added two catches.

WIDE RECEIVER : Dez Bryant certainly misses Romo and while he scored against the Cardinals, he only caught two passes for 15 yards. After opening the season with four straight scoring games, Bryant’s fantasy value has waned. He totals six scores on the year but his yardage has declined. He’s topped 100 yards only twice all year and over half his games never produced more than 65 yards. Terrance Williams scored just once in the last four weeks and had just 18 yards in that win over the Giants. The passing stats have been off while Murray ran wild and they are not improving with Weeden under center..

TIGHT END : Jason Witten is the only receiver to see an uptick in recent weeks. He scored once on his five catches for 70 yards versus the Skins and then added six receptions for 62 yards against the Cardinals. Witten only scored twice this year and Gavin Escobar has been more likely to reel in the touchdown.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is a London game so it may follow the expected path or it may surprise. The Jags allow multiple passing scores to road opponents and healthy yardage so even Weeden should be okay. Murray should be a lock to get back to his 100 yard ways against a team that just gave up 154 yards and two scores to Jeremy Hill. Both Witten and Bryant could have nice showings here depending on the quarterback. Murray is a lock to do well and Bryant’s recent unhappiness seems to scream to be force fed against a weak secondary. Facing the Jaguars away from Jacksonville has been rather profitable this year.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 20 4 16 15 9 20
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 16 28 17 20 31 32

Jacksonville Jaguars

1 @PHI 17-34 10 DAL —–
2 @WAS 10-41 11 BYE —–
3 IND 17-44 12 @IND —–
4 @SD 14-33 13 NYG —–
5 PIT 9-17 14 HOU —–
6 @TEN 14-16 15 @BAL —–
7 CLE 24-6 16 TEN —–
8 MIA 13-27 17 @HOU —–
9 @CIN 23-33  
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Blake Bortles 30 200,1
RB Chris Ivory 40,1
RB Denard Robinson 80,1 2-10
WR Allen Hurns 4-50
WR Allen Robinson 7-70
TE Julius Thomas 3-40,1

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars stumble along still looking for the elusive second win and that’s almost certain to happen when at home – say the Texans or the Titans at the end of the season. Opponents are not rolling up as big of scores on them in recent weeks but mostly because they are playing down to the Jags level knowing that they can win. Discovering a rushing game recently may help but the defense just isn’t good enough to allow the Jags to remain competitive.

QUARTERBACK : Blake Bortles continues to go through his learning curve and did finally throw for more than one touchdown last week for the first time since week three when Chad Henne was injured. The yardage remains very average though and Bortles totals eight scores over seven games against 13 interceptions. He has yet to play in a game without an interception.

RUNNING BACK : It took until week seven, but once Denard Robinson was given the chance to start he has not slowed down. Opening with 127 yards and a score on the Browns, he ran 18 times for 108 yards against the visiting Dolphins and even in Cincinnati ended with 94 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries. Toby Gerhart is just the relief back now but the Jaguars still rarely use their backs as receivers much and that limits their value. But at least Robinson finally has some value and the Jaguars have settled on their backfield.

WIDE RECEIVER : The frustrating part of this four-man crew is not that they are unproductive. They have combined eight touchdowns and three 100 yard games. Predicting which one will blow up is impossible other than none of them have two good games in a row. Alan Hurns comes off seven catches for 112 yards and two scores in Cincinnati but that was his first decent game since week three. Allen Robinson scored in the last two home games with around 70 yards in each but then was held to just 35 yards last week. Cecil Shorts played in six games and topped 100 yards once while never topping 41 yards in any other game. The reality is that none of them are consistent or reliable.

TIGHT END : Three tight ends have one touchdown each. Clay Harbor has minimal yardage and only one good game but comes off a zero catch effort last week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Again, this is a London game that can end up differently than if they were played in the States. There’s no reason to expect Bortles to produce more than one touchdown and where that would end up is a roll of the dice. The only startable play here is Robinson who will face a defense that has been a bit more accommodating to runners in recent weeks. The Cowboys defense is showing holes lately but nothing the Jaguars have done suggest they can exploit them.

Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 24 27 15 23 31 25
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 10 10 4 31 3 24

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