Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 11

Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 11


Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 11

Counting down the fantasy numbers of note entering the 11th week of the NFL season.

389 – Rushing yards and four touchdowns for Denard Robinson since he assumed the Jaguars’ lead backfield role in Week 7. During that four-week span, only DeMarco Murray (448) and Mark Ingram (408) have rushed for more yards, only Marshawn Lynch (6) and Jamaal Charles (5) have accumulated more ground TDs and only Lynch (80.1), Charles (73) and Arian Foster (70.7) have accumulated more standard-scoring fantasy points among RBs than Robinson’s 65.9. To be fair, Robinson’s carries and rushing yardage have decreased each game during that month-long span, with the latest being a 15-carry, 60-yard outing in Sunday’s 31-17 loss to the Cowboys in London, but Robinson did account for both of the Jags’ TDs in the contest, keeping him near the top of the lists of fantasy’s most surprising and productive performers in 2014.

123.4 – League-leading red zone quarterback rating this season for Peyton Manning, who is 45-of-62 for 320 yards and 18 touchdowns with no interceptions inside the opposition’s 20-yard line. Manning’s 45 completions, 320 yards and 18 TDs are all tops among quarterbacks with at least 25 red-zone attempts and his 72.6 completion percentage trails only Matt Ryan’s 73.1. Even more impressive, though, is Manning’s red-zone rating (129.4) when targeting his top three pass-catchers, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders and Julius Thomas. All three rank among the top six in red-zone receptions —  Julius Thomas is tops with 13, Demaryius Thomas is second with 12 and Sanders is sixth with 10 — and that adds up to a 35-of-44, 244-yard, 16-TD red-zone resume for Manning. No wonder the 38-year-old ranks second among all QBs with an average of 29 fantasy points per game.

57 – Fantasy points over the last five games for Ravens’ WR Torrey Smith, who has caught 16 passes for 270 yards and five TDs since Week 6. Meanwhile, fellow wideout Steve Smith Sr. has 32.5 fantasy points over that same span, logging 19 receptions for 265 yards and a single scoring grab despite being targeted eight more times (35-27). As many fantasy GMs might suspect, that’s a 180-degree reversal of fortune from the first five games when Smith Sr. (30-463-3) outscored Torrey Smith (11-176-1) 64.3-23.6 in fantasy on a 20-target advantage (49-29).

28 – League-high targets among tight ends over the last three weeks for Raiders’ TE Mychal Rivera, who has reeled in 21 for 185 yards and three TDs following his 6-64-1 outing Sunday against the visiting Broncos. Among TEs, only Jimmy Graham has more receptions during that span and only Graham (218-4) and Rob Gronkowski (254-8) have more receiving yards and scoring catches than the second-year player, who was a 2013 sixth-round selection out of Tennessee. Rivera has 34 catches among his 51 targets for 286 yards and three TDs on the season to rank 18th among all TEs with 47 standard-scoring fantasy points, but Graham (26), Jason Witten (22) and Charles Clay (20) have been the only other TEs targeted at least 20 times during that span.

22 – Total touches for the Lions’ Reggie Bush since the start of Week 5. Yeah, that’s been it for the RB, who had only four rushes for 20 yards and a 5-yard reception in Sunday’s win over the Dolphins. Bush has been dealing with an ailing ankle for most of the season, and he’s missed two of Detroit’s last five games. And in the three games he has played in since Oct. 5, Bush hasn’t had more than nine touches, 43 total yards or found his way into end zone. Meanwhile, Joique Bell (68 touches for 306 yards and two TDs) and even Theo Riddick (24-165-3) have emerged as more dependable fantasy options than Bush (22-100-0) out of the Detroit backfield and should be treated as such in league rosters and lineups.

13 – Receptions for Cardinals’ wide receiver Michael Floyd in the six games since the team’s Week 4 bye. Floyd, who led Arizona with 1,041 receiving yards last season, has been targeted only 30 times in that six-game span and he’s caught 13 of those for 148 yards and two TDs. Believe it or not, those figures rank fifth (targets and receptions), fourth (yards) and tied for first (touchdowns) on the team. Larry Fitzgerald has 44 targets and 34 catches over those six games and is followed by rookie WR John Brown (41-20), RB Andre Ellington (40-28) and TE John Carlson (31-14) before you get to Floyd (30-11).

12 – Turnovers this season for the Saints’ Drew Brees, who has thrown 10 interceptions and lost two fumbles following his three-giveaway day (2 interceptions, fumble) in Sunday’s overtime loss to the 49ers. The 12 turnovers are tied for the fifth most among quarterbacks, with only rookie Blake Bortles (15), Jay Cutler (15), Cam Netwon (13) and Nick Foles (13) having turned it over more. Counting only interceptions, only Bortles, with 14, has thrown more. In short, it’s not exactly good QB company. Brees, who does rank fifth among fantasy QBs with 222 points, is on pace for 21 turnovers, which would be the third highest single-season total of his career, trailing only his 24 in 2010 and 22 in 2007. Not coincidentally, ’07 and ’10 have been Brees’ two lowest-scoring fantasy seasons among his eight in New Orleans. Also in both seasons, the Saints failed to win a playoff game.

4 – 300-yard passing games for the Seahawks’ Russell Wilson in 46 career starts, including five postseason games. That’s also exactly as many career 100-yard rushing games Wilson has on his resume following his 107-yard performance against the Giants on Sunday. Wilson, completed 10-of-17 passes for 172 yards in Sunday’s game – his third straight and 22nd career contest with fewer than 200 yards passing. Wilson, though, still ranked sixth among all fantasy quarterbacks coming out of Sunday’s games with 210 points, thanks largely to his 500 rushing yards this season – which were 202 more than the next closest QB (Colin Kaepernick) and were the 15th most, overall, in the league. Wilson, though, may be too fantasy rushing-dependent as, through Sunday, he ranked 22nd among QBs in completions (162), 23rd in attempts (259), 24th in passing yards (1,841) and 20th in TD passes (11), trailing the likes of Austin Davis (180 completions), Ryan Fitzpatrick (1,960 yards) and Derek Carr (13 TD tosses) in the various categories.

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