Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs NO

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs NO


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs NO

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Prediction: CIN 20, NO 31 (Line: NO by 7)

The 5-3-1 Bengals have only won two of their last five games and are just 1-2 on the road. The 4-5 Saints are actually all alone on top of the NFC South and 3-1 at home. The Bengals are coming off a beatdown of epic proportions but the Saints just let the 49ers squeak past. That has to favor the Saints who are far better at home.

Cincinnati Bengals

1 @BAL 23-16 10 CLE 3-24
2 ATL 24-10 11 @NO —–
3 TEN 33-7 12 @HOU —–
4 BYE —– 13 @TB —–
5 @NE 17-43 14 PIT —–
6 CAR 37-37 15 @CLE —–
7 @IND 0-27 16 DEN —–
8 BAL 27-24 17 @PIT —–
9 JAC 33-23  
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Jared Crick
QB Andy Dalton 220,1
RB Jeremy Hill 70,1 2-10
WR A.J. Green 6-100,1
WR Brandon LaFell 6-70,1
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Just when the Bengals seem to be back on track, they drop a game to the visiting Browns that was so bad that it boggles the mind given that the Browns never win on the road and the Bengals never lose at home. The problem was that the Bengals were forced to pass and Andy Dalton ended up with one of his worst games ever. The rushing offense has been solid this year even without Giovani Bernard. But the passing stats are down and not improving.

QUARTERBACK : Andy Dalton was held to just 10 completions on 33 passes for 86 yards and three interceptions versus the Browns. It was a trash game of gigantic proportions for Dalton but he’s struggled in many games this year. Dalton throw scores in just one of the last four games that he played and has four efforts that ended up with fewer than 210 yards. What is even more concerning is that his bad start to the year came when he only played in three road games and six home games. Now he has only two remaining home games and they go against the Steelers and Broncos. Dalton faces a far tougher track for the rest of the year.

RUNNING BACK : Giovani Bernard missed the last two games with a hip pointer and is not a lock to play in this game. Jeremy Hill blew up for 154 yards and two scores on the visiting Jaguars but then was held to 55 yards on 12 runs by the Browns because they abandoned the run much too early. Hill is a strong runner up the middle and already scored five times. Once Bernard returns, Hill should see at least more use than before since he’s been so effective. But the remaining schedule is not kind to anyone running.

WIDE RECEIVER : A.J. Green was held to only 23 yards by the Browns but he either scored of gained 100 yards or both in his other four starts. With a toughening schedule that should depress the rushing effort, Green stands to benefit the most with more passing. Mohamed Sanu is already the most productive receiver but scored just once in the last month and tends more to make possession catches over the middle. No other wideouts matter for the Bengals but Green and Sanu make a nice tandem if Dalton will use them and throw decent passes.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value and no touchdowns this year. HC Marvin Lewis said that Tyler Eifert may end up missing the rest of the season because of his elbow injury he sustained in the season opener.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Saints allowed only four passing scores over their four home games and Dalton threw a touchdown in just one of his last four games. The Saints are weakest against the wideouts which bodes well for Green and while they have played the run tough for yardage this year, they’ve allowed nine touchdowns to the position. Dalton is too risky to consider for a fantasy start but both Hill and Green should start and have upside for yardage and a score.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 30 11 26 26 17 26
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 22 18 27 1 25 22

New Orleans Saints

1 @ATL 34-37 10 SF 24-27
2 @CLE 24-26 11 CIN —–
3 MIN 20-9 12 BAL —–
4 @DAL 17-38 13 @PIT —–
5 TB 37-31 14 CAR —–
6 BYE —– 15 @CHI —–
7 @DET 23-24 16 ATL —–
8 GB 44-23 17 @TB —–
9 @CAR 29-10  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 320,3
RB Travaris Cadet 10 3-20
RB Mark Ingram 120,1 2-10
WR Brandin Cooks 7-100,1
PK Kai Forbath 3 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The plus side to losing to the Lions is that in the NFC South it doesn’t really matter this year. But that loss ended a nice streak with solid wins over the Packers and Panthers. The next three games go against the AFC North but two are at home. After that the schedule is very kind with home games against the Panthers and Falcons and road trips against the weak teams of Chicago and Tampa Bay.

QUARTERBACK : Aside from recent turnover problems, Drew Brees has been consistently throwing multiple scores and 300 yards nearly every week and usually three touchdowns when at home. He threw three interceptions and lost two fumbles over the last two games but in fantasy terms remains solid every week with never a down game.

RUNNING BACK : Khiry Robinson remains out indefinitely with an arm injury and Pierre Thomas continues to nurse his shoulder and ribs. But Mark Ingram comes off his third straight 100 yard rushing effort and shows what he can do once the Saints commit to just one back. Ingram’s timing is impeccable as a looming free agent and he’s one of the very rare backs who sees over 20 carries every week. Tarvaris Cadet offers minimal relief and a few catches but remains below fantasy consideration.

WIDE RECEIVER : Marques Colston opened the year on a high note but has since gone cold with less than 50 yards in each of the last three weeks and his lone score came back in week two. Even Kenny Stills has been more productive than Colston in recent weeks though he too has just one score on the year and is too inconsistent to merit a fantasy start. Brandin Cooks offers up a nice trend this week with his last three home games all offering nice value. He scored against both the Packers and 49ers with over 90 yards in each and even in week five caught nine passes for 56 yards when the Bucs visited. Cooks at home is the only fantasy play from these wideouts.

TIGHT END : Jimmy Graham is back on track with scores in each of the last three games and an average of around eight receptions for 70 yards in each. Graham and Ingram are the only players who show up in every game no matter where it is played recently.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bengals have only played in three road games so far and given up 290+ yards in each one along with one or two scores. That fits nicely into what Brees is doing anyway. Notable too is that the Bengals rushing defense has really deteriorated over the recent weeks. Over their last seven games, they have allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs and plenty of yardage. Expect yet another nice showing here by Ingram with one score and possibly two. For a team that started the year as a contender, the Bengals defense has really declined.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 1 20 2 14 28
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 12 28 5 29 23 9

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