Game Predictions & Player Projections - DEN vs STL

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DEN vs STL


Game Predictions & Player Projections - DEN vs STL

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Prediction: DEN 31, STL 17(Line: DEN by 9.5)

UPDATE: Montee Ball went through full practices all week and should take an equal share of the load if not more than C.J. Anderson. HE’s still a risk in his first game back. Austin Davis was benched and Shaun Hill will take over as the starter in St. Louis.

The 7-2 Broncos are only 2-2 in road games and the 3-6 Rams are just 1-3 at home. This is a big win on paper but the Rams have a tendency to suddenly play really well. The lone win at home was against the Seahawks. But the Denver Machine should pass through here without many problems.

Denver Broncos

1 IND 31-24 10 @OAK 41-17
2 KC 24-17 11 @STL —–
3 @SEA 20-26 12 MIA —–
4 BYE —– 13 @KC —–
5 ARI 41-20 14 BUF —–
6 @NYJ 31-17 15 @SD —–
7 SF 42-17 16 @CIN —–
8 SD 35-21 17 OAK —–
9 @NE 21-43  
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Pregame Notes: The Broncos remain in the lead in the AFC West but the Chiefs are only one game back. The Broncos already beat both the 6-3 Chiefs and 5-4 Chargers though road meetings with both are still yet to play.The Broncos are second only to the Colts in total scoring and the remainder of the schedule should prove easier than the first half. The only downside is four more road trips against just three home games.

QUARTERBACK : With seven games to play, Peyton Manning already threw for 29 touchdowns and almost 3000 yards. It is a pace that ends with 52 touchdowns and 5176 yards. Manning has thrown at least two scores in every game and averages three. Venue doesn’t really matter since the last two road games combined for 778 yards and seven touchdowns.

RUNNING BACK : Ronnie Hillman will miss the next two weeks or more because of a foot sprain and C.J. Anderson stepped up in the win over the Raiders when he gained 163 total yards and caught one touchdown. But Montee Ball is also expected to return this week after missing five games because of a groin injury. Ball has slimmed down and is running quicker in practices. This would be a golden opportunity for Anderson were Ball to remain out but at this point the safest assumption is that Anderson takes the primary role this week and Ball fills in where needed. That can and probably will change in week 12, but for his first action since week five Ball will likely take it easier.

Once Hillman is back as well, the backfield may become very risky to read from week to week.

WIDE RECEIVER : Wes Welker is all but gone from the game plan but Demaryius Thomas continues his six game streak with 100+ yards. He’s scored six times this year though not at all in the last three games. Over the last six games he is merely averaging 144 yards per game. Emmanuel Sanders is slightly less productive than Thomas but scored six times over the last four weeks and already topped 100 yards in five games. Both Thomas and Sanders are must start wideouts regardless of matchup.

TIGHT END : Julius Thomas owners had to suffer through two games where he did not score but he came back into the game plan and posted three more touchdowns over the last two weeks. Thomas leads the NFL with 12 touchdowns and scored two or more in four different games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Rams have not only allowed at least two passing scores to every visitor, but the last two opponents (SF and SEA) both threw for over 300 yards. The Rams have only allowed two scores to a tight end all year and may hold down Julius Thomas but there is no reason to bench any of your normal Broncos players, much less here.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 2 18 1 4 23 16
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 23 7 25 9 22 32

St. Louis Rams

1 MIN 6-34 10 @ARI 14-31
2 @TB 19-17 11 DEN —–
3 DAL 31-34 12 @SD —–
4 BYE —– 13 OAK —–
5 @PHI 28-34 14 @WAS —–
6 SF 17-31 15 ARI —–
7 SEA 28-26 16 NYG —–
8 @KC 7-34 17 @SEA —–
9 @SF 13-10  
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Pregame Notes: The Rams have pulled off a few nice wins but they came against divisional rivals of the Seahawks and 49ers. Otherwise not that good and the continuing problem is the offensive scoring which hasn’t topped 14 points for the last three games. Tre Mason has added a small spark to the running game – a small one – but otherwise this offense has really not improved or progressed.

QUARTERBACK : HC Jeff Fisher said he will stick with Austin Davis as the starter despite his play for the last three weeks. Davis was held to single pass touchdowns in those games and threw a total of five touchdowns. He was sacked 14 times but all three games were on the road against good teams. That won’t change this week but the schedule gets better after this game.

RUNNING BACK : Zac Stacy is out of the game plan and has not seen the field in two games. Tre Mason is the new primary rusher but has not broken 85 yards yet and scored just once. Benny Cunningham offers relief and hawked a touchdown last week but has far too little yardage to merit any fantasy consideration. Mason has a shot at a few soft defenses before the season is over but that does not include the Broncos.

WIDE RECEIVER : Hard to hold too much against Austin when he is saddled with one of the worst wideout units in the NFL. Brian Quick was lost for the season and yet is still the leading scorer for wide receivers. Kenny Britt scored twice this year but hasn’t gained more than 55 yards for the last five games. Tavon Austin continues his role as monumental first round flop.

TIGHT END : Jared Cook comes off his first touchdown of the year and he ended with 84 yards on his two catches but he’s only averaged 47 yards per game and Lance Kendricks caught four touchdowns while rarely getting more than one or two passes in any game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Every opponent threw for at least two scores on the visiting Broncos if only because there was plenty of trash time to take advantage. But that makes predicting who might catch them even more challenging. The Broncos have been soft against tight ends but the Rams little use theirs and a score is far more likely Kendricks and yardage would be Cook. Davis is a low end play this week hoping for trash time and yards but anyone else is a major risk to be a dud.

Gaining Fantasy Points STL 28 22 29 10 27 21
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 26 9 20 30 12 2

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