Game Predictions & Player Projections - JAC vs IND

Game Predictions & Player Projections - JAC vs IND


Game Predictions & Player Projections - JAC vs IND

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Prediction: JAC 14, IND 31 (Line: IND by 13.5)

The Colts won 44-17 in Jacksonville this year during week three. The Jaguars have only won once this year and never on the road. The Colts remain atop the AFC South by one game over the Texans. Having just lost last week to the Patriots, the Colts are not likely to allow this to become a trap game.

Jacksonville Jaguars

1 @PHI 17-34 10 DAL 17-31
2 @WAS 10-41 11 BYE —–
3 IND 17-44 12 @IND —–
4 @SD 14-33 13 NYG —–
5 PIT 9-17 14 HOU —–
6 @TEN 14-16 15 @BAL —–
7 CLE 24-6 16 TEN —–
8 MIA 13-27 17 @HOU —–
9 @CIN 23-33  
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC @ IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Blake Bortles 240,1
RB Jonas Gray 50,1
RB Chris Ivory 40
RB Bernard Pierce 20
RB Denard Robinson 80,1 2-10
WR Allen Hurns 6-80
TE Julius Thomas 3-20

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars just lost their best receiver in Allen Robinson and the season continues to just swirl down the draft with an offense that remains punchless and a defense that only does well when the opponents play down to their level – which is becoming more frequent. This is a very young team in a constant state of rebuilding. Nothing in the future schedule suggests that the team is going to improve this year.

QUARTERBACK : Blake Bortles continues on his learning curve without much progress so far. He’s only thrown eight touchdowns in eight games against 14 interceptions and comes off his second game with no passing score. Bortles passed for 233 yards and two touchdowns on the Colts in week three but tossed two interceptions.

RUNNING BACK : While little else is working well on the Jaguars offense, at least Denard Robinson continues to shine with a two touchdown effort against the Cowboys when he was limited to 70 total yards. Robinson had topped 100 total yards for the three previous games when he was the starter.

All combined, the Jaguars would rush for 75 yards on 18 carries against the Colts with Robinson accounting for 33 yards on eight runs.

WIDE RECEIVER : Allen Robinson was placed on injured reserve with a broken foot and Cecil Shorts is likely to take his starting position. Shorts has topped 100 yards twice this year but has not scored in the last six games and five other games saw him with under 42 yards each time. Allen Hurns lest the Cowboys game with a concussion but is expected to be back this week. Robinson was the only consistently productive wideout and even he was only good for moderate yardage each week.

Hurns caught a 63-yard touchdown and Cecil Shorts ended with a score on his five catches for 35 yards back in week three. Allen Robinson would lead the team with seven receptions for 79 yards.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Clay Harbor scored in week six but has failed to gain more than 35 yards in any game for the last month. Marcedes Lewis has been activated from the injured reserve/designated to return but his role here is unknown as he’ll want to ease back into playing.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Colts have only allowed four passing scores at home this year and the Jaguars passing game doesn’t get warmed up until the fourth quarter anyway. The main difference between now and week three is that the Jags are all in with Denard Robinson as the fulltime back and the Colts have been weaker against the run anyway. If Bortles manages one score it will be a success and Robinson is the only Jaguar that has enough upside to merit a fantasy start this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 24 25 15 22 32 25
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 21 28 10 30 8 14

Indianapolis Colts

1 @DEN 24-31 10 BYE —–
2 PHI 27-30 11 NE  20-42
3 @JAC 44-17 12 JAC —–
4 TEN 41-17 13 WAS —–
5 BAL 20-13 14 @CLE —–
6 @HOU 33-28 15 HOU —–
7 CIN 27-0 16 @DAL —–
8 @PIT 34-51 17 @TEN —–
9 @NYG 40-24  
News | Statistics | Roster
IND vs JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 300,3
RB Frank Gore 90 1-10
WR T.Y. Hilton 8-100,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: Losing to the Patriots was bad enough but also losing Ahmad Bradshaw puts a significant ding in the fender for the Colts who suddenly have the same mediocre backfield as last year. Bradshaw was responsible for eight touchdowns as opposed to only two by Richardson and more important he was a trusted outlet as a receiver and scored six of his touchdowns via receptions. Dwayne Allen is out as well but he will be back. These next two games are at home against very bad teams and that gives the Colts some time to figure out what they want to do and who they may want to add.

QUARTERBACK : Andrew Luck has been the #1 fantasy quarterback all year and he has been a lock for 300+ yards and multiple scores every week. But he’ll have to adjust to a world without Bradshaw while once again pretending that Trent Richardson is worth all those touches. Luck passed for 370 yards and four touchdowns in Jacksonville.

RUNNING BACK : Now that Ahmad Bradshaw is on injured reserve with a broken leg, Trent Richardson has to show that he’s better than last year when he could never be relied on for much more than 50 total yards a game. Richardson has only rushed for more than 60 yards twice this year and both fell short of 80 yards and were at home. Richardson gets to face the visiting Jaguars and Redskins and he better figure out how to improve quickly over the next two weeks.

Richardson turned in 80 total yards in Jacksonville while Bradshaw accounted for 83 total yards and one receiving touchdown.

WIDE RECEIVER : Last week only Reggie Wayne (5-91) was able to produce against the Patriots while T.Y. Hilton (3-24) and Hakeem Nicks (2-15, TD) were mostly shut down. But Hilton had been on a seven week stretch with 80+ yards and or a touchdown. Hilton could see a slight bump in targets with Bradshaw no longer around. Nicks is a nonfactor every week and Wayne is still inconsistent.

Hilton ended with 80 yards on five catches in Jacksonville while Nicks scored on his four receptions for 50 yards. Wayne gained 62 yards on four catches.

TIGHT END : Dwayne Allen twisted his ankle and is expected to miss this game but he could be back as early as next week. Coby Fleener stepped up last week to a career best seven catches for 144 yards in the loss to the Patriots. Fleener instantly becomes fantasy relevant since the Colts score with a tight end in almost every game.

Both Fleener (4-49, TD) and Allen (4-43, TD) had a decent game in the last meeting with the Jaguars.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: As always the question is how motivated will the Jaguars opponent be? The Colts had a huge win back in week three and could still likely post as thorough of a beat down if they wanted. Luck, Richardson, Hilton and Wayne are all strong starts this week anyway since the Jaguars come in weak in every area. The Colts should avoid mailing this one in after a bad beat by the Pats.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 1 10 7 2 2 13
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 20 29 16 23 31 32

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