Game Predictions & Player Projections - KC vs OAK

Game Predictions & Player Projections - KC vs OAK


Game Predictions & Player Projections - KC vs OAK

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Prediction: KC 27, OAK 7 (Line: KC by 7)

The Chiefs swept the Raiders last year, winning 24-7 in Kansas City and later 56-31 in Oakland. So far playing the 0-10 Raiders has been a ticket to an instant win. The Chiefs are on a five game winning streak.

Kansas City Chiefs

1 TEN 10-26 10 @BUF 17-13
2 @DEN 17-24 11 SEA 24-20
3 @MIA 34-15 12 @OAK —–
4 NE 41-14 13 DEN —–
5 @SF 17-22 14 @ARI —–
6 BYE —– 15 OAK —–
7 @SD 23-20 16 @PIT —–
8 STL 34-7 17 SD —–
9 NYJ 24-10  
News | Statistics | Roster
KC @ OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 180,1
RB Jamaal Charles 90,2 3-20
WR Jeremy Maclin 5-70,1
WR Mike Williams 3-40
TE Travis Kelce 4-40,1
PK Cairo Santos 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs are on a hot streak and are tied with the suddenly mortal Broncos who beat them in week two. There is a good chance the Chiefs don’t push themselves too hard this week knowing that they can win this game and that the visiting Broncos loom on the other side for what could be the title to the AFC West. Nothing wrong with the Chiefs defense that has held the past eight opponents under 23 points. That’s plenty good enough to extract a win this week.

QUARTERBACK : Alex Smith has been less productive during the current winning streak mainly because he hasn’t needed to win games – just hand off to Jamaal Charles and try not to fumble the ball. Smith threw a score in just one of the last four games and his yardage has been under 200 in most games this year.

Smith passes for 287 yards and five touchdowns in Oakland last year. He only managed 128 yards and no scores in the home meeting.

RUNNING BACK : The Chiefs not only beat the Seahawks last week, but Jamaal Charles turned in his best game of the year with 159 yards and two scores on 20 carries. Charles scored in six of the last seven games and already has ten total touchdowns on the year. Three of his last four home games featured multiple touchdowns.

Charles not only scored once on his eight carries for 20 yards in Oakland last season, he added a mere eight catches for 195 yards and four more touchdowns. He scored on a catch in the home meeting with the Raiders as well.

WIDE RECEIVER : Week 12 and not one touchdown to this group all year. Not one 100 yard game. Aside from Dwayne Bowe’s moderate yardage each week, there is really no fantasy or NFL value here.

No receiver had more than 58 yards in a game with the Raiders in 2013.

TIGHT END : Travis Kelce has just one score in the last five games and he’s no longer gaining more than around 50 yards in any game. His four receiving scores dwarf all other receivers overall but he’s hardly an every week contributor to the Chiefs.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This game all comes down to how well the Raiders can stop Jamaal Charles and the answer is sure to be – “not very well”. The Raiders have already allowed a dozen touchdowns to running backs not nearly as good as Charles and five backs have rushed for around 80 or more yards on them. No different than any week – start Charles and the rest are marginal plays at best. This could be a spot for a Kelce touchdown though that is a risk to rely on.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 28 2 32 7 21 22
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 14 27 11 16 30 17

Oakland Raiders

1 @NYJ 14-19 10 DEN 17-41
2 HOU 14-30 11 @SD 6-13
3 @NE 9-16 12 KC —–
4 MIA 14-38 13 @STL —–
5 BYE —– 14 SF —–
6 SD 28-31 15 @KC —–
7 ARI 13-24 16 BUF —–
8 @CLE 13-23 17 @DEN —–
9 @SEA 24-30  
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Carr 190,1
RB Roy Helu 20 3-20
WR Michael Crabtree 4-60,1
WR Andre Holmes 4-50
TE Mychal Rivera 5-40,1
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 XP

Pregame Notes: Nothing has changed to show the Raiders are trying anything new to secure that elusive first win. The offense occasionally looks better because teams take them lightly and allow them to score more than they should. But the bottom line all along is that the offense just cannot generate many points with a rushing effort that has been pathetic all year and a passing offense that is mediocre only on a good day.

QUARTERBACK : Derek Carr currently totals 13 touchdowns against nine interceptions but he’s rarely able to throw over 200 yards and his multiple touchdown games have come in his toughest matchups – a sure sign that all he is doing is collecting free scores and yardage during late game trash time.

RUNNING BACK : This all smacks of a backfield that will be 100% different next year. Not necessarily any better since this is Oakland. But different. Darren McFadden is the primary runner who never gets 15 carries in any game because the Raiders are behind and need to throw. McFadden scored only twice this year and just once in the last eight games. His best rushing total is only 59 yards but at least he has four short catches in most games. Maurice Jones-Drew is one of the saddest ending of a career in recent memory when the one-time stud still gets four or five carries but has totaled only 70 yards on 33 carries this year for a whopping 2.1 YPC. This is just a bad team and this is the worst of it.

WIDE RECEIVER : James Jones failed to top 40 yards in four of the last five games and has not scored since week six. Denarius Moore keeps his job despite catching exactly one meaningless pass each week. Andre Holmes spent a month at midseason with four scores and decent yardage but has since become a true Raider and hasn’t gained more than 28 yards in the last three games or scored. There is no reliable fantasy value here.

TIGHT END : Mychal Rivera’s three game hot streak cooled but 40 yards on three catches is still better than average for a Raider tight end and he’s been the only remotely productive player for the last month.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chiefs have allowed at least one score to every opposing quarterback but the yardage rarely adds up to much and over half end up with less than 210 yards. The Chiefs have not allowed a rushing touchdown at all this year in case you had fantasies about MJD suddenly coming to life. Honestly, there is no fantasy start here. Mychal Rivera is the best of the bunch but even he falls below consideration in this matchup.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 27 29 22 19 30 32
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 4 4 9 12 17 8

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