Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 13

Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 13


Targets, Touches & TDs: Week 13

Counting down the fantasy numbers of note entering the 13th week of the NFL season.

473 – League-leading yards from scrimmage over the last three weeks for Broncos’ RB C.J. Anderson, who had 195 yards on 31 touches Sunday in Denver’s 39-36 win over the visiting Dolphins. Only Jamaal Charles (418) and WR Mike Evans (381) have been within 100 yards of Anderson since the 2013 undrafted rookie assumed lead-back duties following Ronnie Hillman’s foot injury midway through a Week 10 win in Oakland. Anderson has rushed for 286 yards – ranking fourth in the league during that span – and a TD on 49 carries and added 187 yards and a score on 16 receptions.  Both the reception and receiving-yards totals are tops among RBs, and puts him atop the fantasy RB PPR ranks with 75.3 points for the three-game stretch. Each successive Denver starting RB, from Montee Ball to Hillman to Anderson, has been progressively more productive fantasy-wise since Ball’s deeply disappointing pre-injury start so most definitely jump on the next Bronco back in waiting, rookie Juwan Thompson, should an injury befall Anderson.

160.9 – Combined PPR fantasy points over the last four games for rookie WRs Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry. Beckham ranks fourth among all wideouts with 94.2 points on 31 catches for 503 yards and two scores during that span, while Landry is 12th with 66.7 (24-195-4). Only the Bucs’ Evans (505) has more receiving yards than Beckham during the stretch, while only Evans (6) and Dez Bryant (6) have more scoring grabs than Landry. The two rookies, in case you’ve forgotten, were teammates last season at LSU, catching a combined 134 passes for 2,310 yards and 18 TDs. Their primary QB was Zach Mettenberger, who has been on his own impressive fantasy run of late, throwing for 263 or more yards and two TD passes in three of his last four starts for the Titans. Beckham, the 12th overall pick in the draft last May, was the third WR selected, while Landry, the 63rd overall pick, was the 12th wideout chosen. Mettenberger, meanwhile, was drafted in the sixth round as the 178th overall pick and the 10th QB selected.

37 – Targets over the last seven games for Cardinals’ WR Michael Floyd, who has 15 catches for 202 yards during that span. Floyd – who has had two receptions or fewer in five of those contests, including his no-catch outing Sunday in Seattle – had 11 receptions on 22 targets after the first three games of the season. Meanwhile, wideout Jaron Brown – the lesser known of the team’s rookie Browns – has seen his workload increase over that same seven-game span, catching 11 of his 16 targets for 94 yards. Floyd has salvaged some fantasy value by reeling in  all four of his TD receptions during the last two months, but Brown has slowly been closing the gap, playing 40 snaps to Floyd’s 45 Sunday and logging more targets (6-2) and receptions (3-0).

21 – Turnovers lost by Eagles quarterbacks this season, the highest signal-caller total for any team in the league. Nick Foles (10) and Mark Sanchez (6) have combined for 16 interceptions – matching the Jaguars (Blake Bortles 15 & Chad Henne 1) for tops in the league – and five lost fumbles. By comparison, those 21 turnovers already are seven more than Philly QBs Michael Vick (5), Matt Barkley (5) and Foles (4) gave away all last season, and it’s a big reason why Sanchez (22.04 fantasy points per outing) and Foles (20.87) have barely been borderline fantasy starters this season. Overall, Philly has 27 giveaways – tops in the NFL – and somehow still is tied for the league’s second-best record at 8-3. None of the other 10 teams atop the giveaway list is above .500.

13 – Touchdown passes this season for the Lions’ Matthew Stafford, which is tied for 18th among quarterbacks. Rookie Derek Carr, Alex Smith and Russell Wilson have all thrown one more TD than Stafford, while Tom Brady (26), Andrew Luck (29), Aaron Rodgers (30) and Peyton Manning (34) – all fellow top-seven QB fantasy draft picks – have more than doubled Stafford’s total. As a result, Stafford ranks a rather-disappointing 15th among fantasy QBs. From 2011-13, Stafford notched 20 300-yard passing games and had 15 contests with three-or-more TD passes, but so far this season he’s had two of the former and none of the latter. So why the marked decline? Calvin Johnson’s ankle injury, which sidelined him for three games and limited him in two others, certainly hasn’t helped, but there’s obviously more to it than that. The Lions are running more – 37.6 of the team’s plays have been runs this year, compared to 35.9 from 2011-13 – and Stafford’s attempts (42.2-37.7 per game) and completions (25.6-22.2) have dipped correspondingly. At the same time, Stafford has been sacked on 33 or 7.4 percent of his dropbacks – more than double last season’s 3.5-percent rate and easily ranking ahead of the 5.2 and 3.8 percentages in 2011 and ’12, respectively. Adding it all up, Stafford certainly is no longer an every-week QB1 consideration.

10 – Seahawks pass-catchers with 10 or more or more targets this season. That list ranges from Doug Baldwin’s 66 targets to Bryan Walters’ 10) and includes six WRs (Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Percy Harvin, Paul Richardson, Ricardo Lockette and Walters), two TEs (Luke Willson and Cooper Helfet) and two RBs (Marshawn Lynch and  Robert Turbin). Baldwin, who leads the team with 46 catches and 491 yards, fails, however, to crack the league’s top 50 in targets, ranking in a tie for 52nd with fellow wideouts Jarvis Landry, A.J. Green and Greg Jennings heading into Monday’s games. Throw in the fact that the Seahawks are bringing up the rear in the league with 314 total pass attempts – 13 behind the Chiefs – and it’s easy to see why fantasy GMs should be thinking twice before starting any Seattle pass-catcher.

7 – Rushing touchdowns for the Browns’ Isaiah Crowell, which is pacing all rookies this season following his two rushing scores and season-high 88 yards Sunday in Atlanta. Only the Bengals’ Jeremy Hill (6) and Andre Williams (5) have as many as five ground TDs, while the Niners’ Carlos Hyde (4) and the Ravens’ Lorenzo Taliaferro have four apiece. Crowell, also is averaging an impressive 4.96 yards-per-carry, which is tops among all first-year backs with at least 50 rushing attempts. Meanwhile, his 496 rushing yards rank fourth, trailing Hill (643), the Vikings’ Jerick McKinnon (536) and teammate Terrance West (470). Not bad at all, though, for an undrafted rookie who played last season at FCS Alabama State.

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