Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs DET

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs DET


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs DET

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Prediction: CHI 20, DET 30 (Line: DET by 7)

The 5-6 Bears are on a two game winning streak thanks to home games against the Vikings and Buccaneers. The 7-4 Lions are on a two game losing streak thanks to road games against the Patriots and Cardinals. This week puts it all back on the normal track. This is the early game on Thanksgiving.

The Lions won 40-32 when the Bears visited last year.

Chicago Bears

1 BUF 20-23 10 @GB 14-55
2 @SF 28-20 11 MIN 21-13
3 @NYJ 27-19 12 TB 21-13
4 GB 17-38 13 @DET —–
5 @CAR 24-31 14 DAL —–
6 @ATL 27-13 15 NO —–
7 MIA 14-27 16 DET —–
8 @NE 23-51 17 @MIN —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI @ DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 240,2
WR Alshon Jeffery 6-60,1
WR Eddie Royal 2-30
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: On the plus side, the Bears rebounded from giving up 50+ points for two straight weeks and won their games but both were at home against lesser teams. This week will be the toughest matchup of the year and the worse remaining venue. Three straight home games from weeks 14 to 16 should help fantasy playoffs so long as the weather remains good.

QUARTERBACK : At best, Jay Cutler has shown amazing inconsistency and comes off his worst game of the year when he passed for just 130 yards and one score on the Buccaneers. His production goes all over the map and it isn’t always related to the quality of the defense or the venue of the game. Cutler passed for 227 yards and three touchdowns in New England but only 190 yards and one score at home against the Fins. About the only trend he has is that he hasn’t been bad or good for two straight weeks since midseason. He’s coming off a bad game which might suggest he would be good this week but has to face the Lions in Detroit.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte remains an elite back who typically gains well over 100 total yards thanks to catching five or six passes per week. He’s scored eight touchdowns this year and three came via a reception. Even in games versus good defenses, Forte maintains decent fantasy value because he’s had as many as 12 catches for 105 yards in a game before.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brandon Marshall is still nursing a sore ankle and he ended the win over the Bucs with just three catches for 32 yards. But Marshall leads the Bears with eight receiving touchdowns and he topped 100 yards twice though he’s just as likely to remain below 50 yards in a game as he does exceeding that mark. Alshon Jeffery has even greater variation in his production where he has three games over 100 yards but he’s been as bad as just nine yards on two catches. Marshall is very consistent with 10 targets per week but Jeffery’s usage varies significantly week to week.

TIGHT END : Martellus Bennett always has the potential for a good game but only scored once in the last seven games and fell below 50 yards in each of the last three games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Lions defense is top notch and even more so when at home. No quarterback has thrown for more than two scores on the Lions and they’ve allowed only 14 passing scores over the 11 games played. Cutler has been very inconsistent but should throw at least one score here but could end up with healthy yardage and two scores. It is a risk when using Cutler but on the road, he tends to the lower production mostly. The Lions at home have been outstanding against the run and allowed just one touchdown to a visiting rusher and no one gained more than 50 rushing yards there. Consider Cutler, Marshall and Jeffery as risky plays with upside. Forte is a must start but only because he catches so many passes.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 9 13 18 9 31 9
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 2 13 4 20 7 12

Detroit Lions

1 NYG 35-14 10 MIA 20-16
2 @CAR 7-24 11 @ARI 6-14
3 GB 19-7 12 @NE 9-34
4 @NYJ 24-17 13 CHI —–
5 BUF 14-17 14 TB —–
6 @MIN 17-3 15 MIN —–
7 NO 24-23 16 @CHI —–
8 @ATL 22-21 17 @GB —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Stats | Roster
DET vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 300,2
WR Jeremy Kerley 2-30
WR Golden Tate 8-100,1
TE Eric Ebron 4-40
TE Timothy Wright 1-10,1
PK Matt Prater 3 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Losing in Arizona sand that the Lions would have problems in the playoffs and getting decimated in New England says maybe they do not even belong in the playoffs this year. The next three games presents a really sweet stretch of home games against the Bears, Bucs and Vikings before winding up the season with two road games. That should help turn around the fantasy fortunes of the Lions who all struggled against the better defenses of the Patriots and Cardinals.

QUARTERBACK : Matthew Stafford has been off all year but at least he threw for two scores in most of his games. Never three so far but usually two. And in these last two weeks, he’s failed to score at all and was held to a season worst 183 yards in Arizona before rebounding with 264 in New England – albeit on 46 passes thrown. Stafford has been better at home and scored twice in the last two matchups in Detroit.

RUNNING BACK : Reggie Bush missed last week with a bad ankle but may be able to play on Thursday. The reality is that it would not matter much anyway since he’s scored just once all year and hasn’t managed even a moderately good game since week three. Bush has become a nonfactor in the offense even when healthy. Theo Riddick takes his place when needed and turns in the same mediocre stats. Joique Bell was handled by the Patriots with just 46 total yards but he’s been good for up to 80 yards when at home thanks to his role as a receiver. Bell scored three times this year but not in the last five weeks.

WIDE RECEIVER : Calvin Johnson was held out of practice to rest his ankle but is expected to play this week. He’s been a bitter disappointment this year with only one score in the last seven games and four of his last five starts ended with fewer than 60 yards and no touchdown. Golden Tate has become the best receiver for the Lions with seven games over 90 yards and three touchdowns. His last three home games resulted in 100+ yards every time.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Just one touchdown all year and not one game over 35 yards.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bears bring in one of the worst defenses in the league and even more so on the road where their last two games surrendered a total of 11 touchdowns between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. Stafford no longer belongs in their company but this is a definite week to consider Stafford and he he fails to have a decent game here, then there are deep problems with the Lions. The Bears are decent against the run and no rusher has topped 100 yards on them. Consider Bell as a moderate play for some yardage and then Stafford, Marshall and Jeffery as all starts. The Bears are very weak against the tight end but the Lions all three of theirs equally as little.

Gaining Fantasy Points DET 19 16 11 30 26 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 31 9 20 31 31 26

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