Game Predictions & Player Projections - NE vs GB

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NE vs GB


Game Predictions & Player Projections - NE vs GB

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Prediction: NE 24, GB 31 (Line: GB by 3)

UPDATE: Brandon LaFell is listed as questionable and was limited in practices this week but is still expected to play.

Who knows, this might portend the Super Bowl. The 9-2 Patriots are on a seven game winning streak but are just 3-2 in road games. The 8-3 Packers are 5-0 at home. This is more important to the Packers who lead their division by just one game than the Patriots who have a three game lead in the AFC East and have realistically already won it.

New England Patriots

1 @MIA 20-33 10 BYE —–
2 @MIN 30-7 11 @IND 42-20
3 OAK 16-9 12 DET 34-9
4 @KC 14-41 13 @GB —–
5 CIN 43-17 14 @SD —–
6 @BUF 37-22 15 MIA —–
7 NYJ 27-25 16 @NYJ —–
8 CHI 51-23 17 BUF —–
9 DEN 43-21  
News | Statistics | Roster
NE @ GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady 310,3
RB LeGarrette Blount 40
WR Julian Edelman 5-50
WR Chris Hogan 6-60
WR Nate Washington 3-30
TE Martellus Bennett 4-40
TE Rob Gronkowski 7-100,1
PK Stephen Gostkowski 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The interesting part of the Patriots seven game winning streak is that it only contained two road games though they won handily in both including the waxing of the Colts. But the final five games contain three away venues and this one should be the toughest remaining game on the schedule. Winning this is nice but not necessary because the rest will at least see the Pats favored for a reason.

QUARTERBACK : Tom Brady scored in every game this year and has managed multiple scores in in the last seven – all coinciding with the winning streak. But Brady’s performance in road games has been among the least productive starts for him this year. Aside from the one win over rival Buffalo, Brady has not thrown for only five touchdowns over the four other venues along with less yardage. Even in the win over the Colts, he only had 257 yards and two scores while Silas Gray ran for four touchdowns. This week will be interesting to see what the road Brady is like.

RUNNING BACK : Because nothing lasts forever in New England or even one week. Jonas Gray came off his 199 yard, four touchdown game over the Colts and accidentally overslept one practice. He was benched and LeGarrette Blount proceeded to run for 78 yards and two scores versus the Lions. Shane Vereen remains the third down back but his rushing yardage no longer tops 20 yards per week. He gets four or five catches most weeks but has only minimal value as he doesn’t run in any scores.

I well assume Blount remains the runner in the group but this is the Pats and we can never be sure until it is too late.

WIDE RECEIVER : Julian Edelman showed up in the win over the Broncos but that has been his only game of note and his only touchdown since week two. Danny Amendola has declined so much that he had no catches last week. Brandon LaFell comes off a very healthy nine catches for 98 yards over the Lions and remains a moderate play each week for around 60 yards or so with upside for a touchdown or a 100 yard game.

TIGHT END : Rob Gronkowski failed to score last week but still turned in 78 yards on five catches and was on a three game scoring streak. He’s already totaled nine touchdowns on the season with healthy yardage in most games. Tim Wright scored twice on the Lions which continues his trend of either catching a pass and scoring in that game or being blanked with no catches which has happened twice in the last month or so. Wright is a risk that pays you very well with a score or you get nothing.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Packers play much better at home where only one team managed to throw for more than one touchdown but the yardage has been solid to good for teams looking to throw. The run defense is very good at home and have allowed just one rushing score in a home game this year and that was back in week two. Brady, Gronkowski and LaFell are must starts each week and the fuzzy backfield will o have a much tougher time. Vereen is never more than a flex play for some yards and with a reduced chance for a touchdown run, Blount is less attractive. Or is it Gray? No Blount for sure. Or Gray.

Gaining Fantasy Points NE 5 8 21 1 1 7
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 20 12 22 14 12 9

Green Bay Packers

1 @SEA 16-36 10 CHI 55-14
2 NYJ 31-24 11 PHI 53-20
3 @DET 7-19 12 @MIN 24-21
4 @CHI 38-17 13 NE —–
5 MIN 42-10 14 ATL —–
6 @MIA 27-24 15 @BUF —–
7 CAR 38-17 16 @TB —–
8 @NO 23-44 17 DET —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 20 270,3
RB Eddie Lacy 100,1 4-40,1
WR Davante Adams 2-30,1
WR Randall Cobb 5-60
WR James Jones 7-60,1
WR Jordy Nelson 7-100,1
TE Jared Cook 3-30
TE Andrew Quarless 2-40
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers have a one game lead on the Lions and are in the running for the #2 bye so far, This is a challenging week but at least matchups with the Bucs and Falcons should go well and the division may come down to the season finale when the Lions show up looking to avenge their loss to the visiting Packers. This is not a must win per se for the Packers but it is definitely a measuring stick to show what January might mean for the Packers.

QUARTERBACK : Aaron Rodgers has already thrown 30 touchdowns this year and topped 300 yards five times. In his five home games so far, he has never failed to pass for less than three touchdowns. 18 of his scores come from the five home stands and 12 were the product of six road venues. Rodgers likes his home games.

RUNNING BACK : Eddie Lacy is on a very nice roll where he’s scoring in every game if not twice and has a receiving touchdown in each of the last three games. Lacy totals nine scores on the year and breaks 100 total yards in every home game. James Starks role as relief has been on the decline as well and Starks only managed one carry in the win over the Vikings while Lacy had 27 touches.

WIDE RECEIVER : This is actually an interesting change. Both Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson have been almost unstoppable this season. Nelson scored nine touchdowns and Cobb racked up ten scores. Nelson has five 100 yard games while Cobb totals four. But against the Viking who committed both safeties to stopping both starting wideouts . And it almost worked. Cobb ended with only 58 yards on four receptions. But Eddie Lacy had a career best game with two touchdowns and 138 yards. Richard Rogers caught a one-yard touchdown for his only catch on the day.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Occasional touchdown but minimal yardage.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Pats have allowed two or three passing touchdowns in every recent road game. Darrelle Revis should match on Randall Cobb and he has been outstanding this year. That leaves Nelson as the better bet for a score in this game. The Patriots have also been weak against the run and allowed 11 touchdowns to the position and three 100 yard efforts. Rodgers, Lacy, Cobb and Nelson should always be started regardless and at home this should be yet another very healthy game other than Cobb should see depressed stats unless they use Revis on Nelson instead.

Gaining Fantasy Points GB 3 20 2 23 8 2
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 14 21 2 21 15 2

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