Free Agent Forecast: Week 14

Free Agent Forecast: Week 14


Free Agent Forecast: Week 14

Rockstar Rock Star Free Agent
Injury Injury Replacement
Grab & Stash Grab & Stash
1 Week Plug & Play 1 Week Plug & Play
Dumpster Dive Dumpster Dive
Free Agent Auction
Bid (FAAB) Scale

$ $0 – $5
$$ $6 – $15
$$$ $16 – $25
$$$$ $26 – $40
$$$$$ $41+
Based on $100 cap,
12-team league.

Given the diverse scoring systems and sizes of fantasy leagues, producing a weekly list of free agents that satisfies the masses can be challenging. For the most part, the column will hone in on players who are available in at least 35% of all fantasy leagues. If you play in a small league (8 teams), chances are there may be better players to pick up than you see listed here. If you play in a large league (16 teams), the majority of the players highlighted may already be on a squad; however, expect to find hidden gems, as well.


Johnny Manziel, Browns
Grab & StashThe Browns will name a starting quarterback on Wednesday but you have to think Manziel will get the nod. It’s hard to gauge a quarterback’s fantasy impact when he hasn’t started all season but Manziel is worth adding if you’re shaky at the position. The Browns have a stud receiver in Josh Gordon and a No. 1 caliber tight end if Jordan Cameron returns from his concussion. Plus, Manziel provides owners with the added bonus of weekly rushing yards/touchdowns. Manziel is certainly on the radar in two-quarterback leagues now that he’s the starter.
Availability: Owned in ~ 8% of leagues.
FAAB: $$
Forecast: Manziel will be a high-end QB2 due to his rushing numbers.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Texans
1 Week Plug & PlayFitzpatrick blasted Tennessee for 358 yards and six touchdowns on Sunday. While that certainly isn’t the norm for Fitzpatrick – he was benched for Ryan Mallett – the veteran gunslinger does have another solid matchup this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars allow 254 yards passing per game. With fantasy playoffs beginning a majority of owners aren’t picking up starting quarterbacks off the waiver wire. However, if you play in a two-quarterback league or need a streamer this week, Fitzpatrick is worth consideration.
Availability: Owned in ~ 12% of leagues.
Forecast: Fitzpatrick will throw for 250+ yards and two scores.

On the Radar: Shaun Hill (5%), Colt McCoy (8%)

Running Backs

Daniel Herron, Colts
Rock StarHerron ran for 88 yards and a touchdown on eight carries against Washington. He also lost a fumble, which caused him to spend some time on the bench. However, in the games since Ahmad Bradshaw went down with an injury, Herron has been far more productive than Trent Richardson. Over that span, Herron has 20 carries for 153 yards and a touchdown. He’s also caught seven passes. Now Herron has lost two fumbles in two games, so he’ll have to hang onto the football in order to stay on the field. If he can do that, Herron will be the Colts running back to own during fantasy playoffs.
Availability: Owned in ~ 62% of leagues.
FAAB: $$-$$$
Forecast: Herron will be an RB2/flex during fantasy playoffs if he doesn’t fumble.

Marion Grice, Cardinals
Injury ReplacementAndre Ellington is suffering from a hip pointer and his status for this Sunday is uncertain. If Ellington can’t go against Kansas City, some combination of Grice, Michael Bush and Stepfan Taylor will pick up the slack. Bush was just signed last week. Grice got a majority of the touches when Ellington went down against Atlanta but was ineffective. We lean Grice as the pickup, followed by Bush. However, don’t overpay to add any of the Arizona running backs. It likely won’t be worth it.
Availability: Owned in ~ 2% of leagues.
Forecast: The Cardinals will use a committee if Ellington is out against Kansas City.

Pierre Thomas, Saints
1 Week Plug & PlayGrab & StashThomas has regained his role as the passing down back in the Saints offense. Mark Ingram is clearly still the main option in the Saints backfield but Thomas is now healthy again and the next man up after Ingram. The Panthers are just awful at defending running backs in all areas. If you play in a PPR league and are searching for a flex option this week Thomas has a chance to surprise with a few receptions and a score.
Availability: Owned in ~ 65% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Thomas will score double-digit points in PPR leagues this week.

Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
1 Week Plug & PlayGrab & StashDeAngelo Williams fractured a bone in his finger. His status for Sunday’s game against the Saints is up in the air. Stewart has outplayed Williams this year and is coming off a 12-carry, 85-yard performance versus Minnesota. It’s hard to trust either running back when both are in the lineup but if Williams is out, Stewart will be on the flex radar going up against a Saints rush defense that allows over 122 yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry.
Availability: Owned in ~ 55% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Stewart is a flex option if Williams is out or limited this week.

Andre Williams, Giants
Grab & StashRashad Jennings injured his ankle on Sunday. He’s questionable to play in Week 14 against Tennessee. Either way, Williams should be picked up for the rest of the season. Williams gets some goal line carries even when Jennings is healthy. He also averaged 16 carries per game earlier this season when Jennings was injured. If you have the roster room, Williams is a strong add as insurance for the playoffs. Keep in mind that Tennessee ranks last in the NFL at defending the run should Jennings not play.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Williams is insurance for the playoffs and an RB2/flex option if Jennings sits versus Tennessee.

On the Radar: Anthony Dixon (22%), Doug Martin (54%), Theo Riddick (30%), Marcel Reece (4%), Juwan Thompson (12%)

Wide Receivers

Kenny Stills, Saints
Rock StarStills has really stepped up since rookie Brandin Cooks was lost for the season. Over his last two games, Stills has caught 13 passes for 250 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets. Stills was primarily a deep threat earlier in the year but now he’s running more shorter routes as well with Cooks out of the lineup. The second-year receiver is still available in some leagues. If Stills is out there, he should be the top waiver priority this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 65% of leagues.
FAAB: $$$-$$$$
Forecast: Stills is a WR3 for the rest of the season.

Stedman Bailey, Rams
Rock StarBailey has emerged since Shaun Hill took over as the Rams starting quarterback. Bailey has 12 receptions for 189 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets in his last two games. Bailey had five catches for 100 yards Sunday in the first quarter against the Raiders but St. Louis jumped to such a big lead, the Rams didn’t throw the ball a lot in the second half. Bailey has emerged as the Rams No. 1 receiver and is now worth rostering for fantasy playoffs.
Availability: Owned in ~ 3%% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Bailey is a WR4/flex option.

Harry Douglas, Falcons
Injury ReplacementDouglas is usually productive when he gets to start for Julio Jones or Roddy White. He proved that again on Sunday when Douglas caught nine passes for 116 yards with White out nursing an injured ankle. White is expected back for Monday night’s game with the Packers. However, if his ankle keeps him out another week, don’t hesitate to insert Douglas into your starting lineup.
Availability: Owned in ~ 15% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Douglas is a WR3/flex option if White doesn’t play this week.

Donte Moncrief, Colts
1 Week Plug & PlayGrab & StashMoncrief has been slowly emerging in the Colts offense. On Sunday he broke out against Washington for 134 yards and two touchdowns on just three receptions. Moncrief has now established himself as the No. 3 receiver in the Colts high-powered offense. That’s the good news. The bad news is he’ll still have to fight for targets with all the other weapons Andrew Luck has at his disposal. Moncrief has enough fantasy upside though to grab for your playoff run if you’re looking to take a flier on a receiver. He could have another strong performance this week with Browns stud corner Joe Haden likely following either T.Y. Hilton or Reggie Wayne all game long.
Availability: Owned in ~ 8% of leagues.
FAAB: $$
Forecast: Moncrief is a flex option this week with Haden shadowing one of the Colts top two receivers.

Davante Adams, Packers
Grab & StashAdams is similar to Moncrief in many ways. He’s a talented rookie in an explosive offense who has a bright future. Against New England, Adams caught six passes for 121 yards on a team-high 11 targets. Adams will probably be a hot waiver wire addition this week but keep in mind his big game was gameplan specific. The Patriots have great outside corners, so Aaron Rodgers exploited their nickel backs on Adams. In Adams’ previous three games, he had a total of four receptions for 33 yards. If it’s between adding Moncrief or Adams, we prefer Moncrief. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb just eat up too many targets on a weekly basis.
Availability: Owned in ~ 32% of leagues.
Forecast: Adams is a high risk/high reward WR4.

On the Radar: Philly Brown (1%), Marqise Lee (8%), Robert Woods (15%)

Tight Ends

Jordan Reed, Redskins
Rock StarReed exploded for nine receptions and 123 yards on 11 targets against Indianapolis. The Colts struggle at defending the tight end but Reed’s arrow is pointing up now that Colt McCoy is under center. McCoy has shown a much better command of Jay Gruden’s offense in two starts than Robert Griffin did. Reed has always had talent but has struggled to stay healthy. The tight end position isn’t loaded with many great starting options right now and Reed is available in roughly half of fantasy leagues. He’s a smart addition for the playoffs if you’re hurting at tight end.
Availability: Owned in ~ 50% of leagues.
FAAB: $$
Forecast: Reed is back in the weekly TE1 conversation.

On the Radar: Kyle Rudolph (65%)


Connor Barth, Broncos
Rock StarIn his first start with the Broncos, Barth connected on 5-of-5 field goal attempts. All of his attempts came within 40 yards, as the Broncos offense uncharacteristically struggled in the red zone. While that won’t happen every week, Barth is now a Top 10 fantasy option while kicking for the Broncos high-scoring offense.
Availability: Owned in ~ 50% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Barth will be a Top 10 kicker during fantasy playoffs.

Dan Carpenter, Bills
1 Week Plug & PlayCarpenter has been a strong fantasy start since Week 8. Over that span, he’s converted 13-of-15 field goal attempts and scored double-digit fantasy points four times. Carpenter is primed for another strong outing Sunday when Buffalo travels to Denver. The Broncos rank in the middle-of-the-pack when it comes to allowing fantasy points to opposing kickers. Carpenter is averaging just over 10 fantasy points over his last five games. Look for him to hit that average on Sunday.
Availability: Owned in ~ 38% of leagues.
Forecast: Carpenter will score double-digit fantasy points this week.

On the Radar: Matt Bryant (60%), Shaun Suisham (42%)

Defense/Specials Teams

Minnesota Vikings
1 Week Plug & PlayThe Vikings defense smothered Cam Newton and the Panthers on Sunday. Minnesota scored two defensive touchdowns, recorded four sacks and one interception. It was a dominant performance that could be repeated this week when the Jets coming limping into Minnesota. The Vikings have pressured the quarterback all year with 42 sacks, so expect Geno Smith, Mike Vick – or whoever else lines up under center – to be running for cover all afternoon.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: The Vikings are a Top 10 fantasy defense for the first round of the playoffs.

On the Radar: No one

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