Game Predictions & Player Projections - CAR vs NO

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CAR vs NO


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CAR vs NO

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Prediction: CAR 13, NO 31 (Line: NO by 10)

UPDATE: Jordan Cameron was held out of practices but returned for limited work and is expected to play. DeAngelo Williams is already listed as out.

This is a rematch of week nine when the Saints came to Carolina and won 29-10.

Carolina Panthers

1 @TB 20-14 10 @PHI 21-45
2 DET 24-7 11 ATL 17-19
3 PIT 19-37 12 BYE —–
4 @BAL 10-38 13 @MIN 13-31
5 CHI 31-24 14 @NO —–
6 @CIN 37-37 15 TB —–
7 @GB 17-38 16 CLE —–
8 SEA 9-13 17 @ATL —–
9 NO 10-29  
News | Statistics | Roster
CAR @ NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Cam Newton 40 180,1
RB Jonathan Stewart 60 3-20
WR Kelvin Benjamin 5-50
WR Philly Brown 1-20
TE Greg Olsen 5-60
PK Graham Gano 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Panthers are on a six game losing streak and gave up two touchdowns to blocked punts last week just to make sure it would remain folly. The offense has gone stale and the fortunes of the team are easy to read – how well can the opponent cover Kelvin Benjamin because if anything will happen, it will go through him. Against the Saints last time… Benjamin only managed two catches for 18 yards. Game. Set. Match.

QUARTERBACK : Cam Newton passed for only 151 yards in the last meeting with the Saints and that was with only 10 completions on 28 passes plus he lost a fumble and threw an interception. He did run in a score for only the second time all year. If Newton does better in this road game, it is because the Saints don’t care.

RUNNING BACK : DeAngelo Williams has a fractured bone in his right middle finger and may not play. His 20 or 30 yards gained would have to go elsewhere. He turned in 20 yards in the previous Saints game with injuries. Jonathan Stewart ran for 46 yard on eight carries in that game but it was at home and he had no receptions. Stewart turned in a season best 85 yards in Minnesota last week but this is the worst set of running backs in the league and now are on the road against the team that held them to only 66 rush yards in Carolina.

WIDE RECEIVER : As noted, Kelvin Benjamin was held to only two catches for 18 yards in the last meeting with the Saints and that was with a team high ten targets – double any other wideout. Jerricho Cotchery led the crew with 59 yards on just two catches. Aside from Philly Brown occasionally scoring on a short yardage throw, the passing game goes to Benjamin first, last and most of the middle.

TIGHT END : Greg Olsen is the only consistently productive Panther but even he had one of his worst games of the year when he turned in 30 yards on three catches versus the Saints in week nine.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is a divisional game and that could play into who wins the title. That means the Saints won’t take them lightly. With Kelvin Benjamin already handled, that takes away any fantasy play here other than Greg Olsen in a really large league that plays two tight ends.

Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 12 32 22 9 21 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 26 26 30 2 28 18

New Orleans Saints

1 @ATL 34-37 10 SF 24-27
2 @CLE 24-26 11 CIN 10-27
3 MIN 20-9 12 BAL 27-34
4 @DAL 17-38 13 @PIT 35-32
5 TB 37-31 14 CAR —–
6 BYE —– 15 @CHI —–
7 @DET 23-24 16 ATL —–
8 GB 44-23 17 @TB —–
9 @CAR 29-10  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 300,3
RB Mark Ingram 80,1 2-10,1
TE Coby Fleener 3-40
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 2 XP
PK Josh Scobee 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Saints are tied with the Falcons who actually own the head to head with the three point win in the season opener. But they come to town on week 16 and the rest of the schedule – Panthers, Bears and Buccaneers could all be wins. Losing two home games to the Bengals and Ravens doesn’t spell good things for January so much, but winning in Pittsburgh makes a difference and a soft remaining schedule should at least allow the Saints to wear a helmet in January.

QUARTERBACK : Drew Brees comes off a season best five touchdowns in Pittsburgh but he only threw for 297 yards and one score in the previous meeting with the Panthers. Brees did run in a touchdown for the only time this year. But Brees has been better at home where he regularly turns in higher yardage at multiple scores.

RUNNING BACK : Mark Ingram ran for 100 yards and two scores on 30 carries in Carolina but he hasn’t scored since. He’s been constant at 100 total yards in all but one of the last six games. Khiry Robinson is expected to return but he’ll be eased back into playing after missing the last six games with an arm injury.

WIDE RECEIVER : The wideouts did not do much in the last meeting with the Panthers. Kenny Stills was the lead receiver with 72 yards on five catches. Marques Colston only managed three receptions for 36 yards. But Brandin Cooks has been lost since that game and Still is taking a bigger role as indicated by his 162 yards and one score in Pittsburgh. The production of this group has also been higher in most road games where all four 100 yard efforts occurred.

TIGHT END : Jimmy Graham was held catchless – he had no targets – last week in Pittsburgh and Benjamin Watson scored on his only catch. The Steelers lost by committing too much against Graham who ended with seven catches for 83 yards and a touchdown in the previous meeting with the Panthers. Graham was held to no catches back in week seven as well. It happens.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Panthers have never allowed less than two passing scores in a road game and three teams threw for over 300 yards on them. The rushing defense is really bad once the Panthers hit the road as well with nine touchdowns allowed to running backs in just six road ventures. The Saints are at home and need this win they already proved they could get. Brees, Ingram and Graham must start and both Stills and Colston are worth considering.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 1 12 2 15 29
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 24 22 28 12 21 27

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