Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs PHI

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs PHI


Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs PHI

table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Prediction: DAL 17, PHI 30 (Line: PHI by 3)

This is likely the deciding game for the NFC East with the 9-4 Eagles owning a head-to-head tiebreaker over the 9-4 Cowboys. These teams just played two weeks ago with the Eagles crushing the Cowboys in Dallas 33-10. But the Cowboys are the only team with an unbeaten 6-0 road record.

Dallas Cowboys

1 SF 17-28 10 @JAC 31-17
2 @TEN 26-10 11 BYE —–
3 @STL 34-31 12 @NYG 31-28
4 NO 38-17 13 PHI 10-33
5 HOU 20-17 14 @CHI 41-28
6 @SEA 30-23 15 @PHI —–
7 NYG 31-21 16 IND —–
8 WAS 17-20 17 @WAS —–
9 ARI 17-29  
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL @ PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 230,2
RB Alfred Morris 70 3-30
WR Cole Beasley 4-40
WR Dez Bryant 6-80,1
WR Terrance Williams 2-30
TE Jason Witten 2-20
PK Dan Bailey 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Either the Cowboys win this and remove the nickname “December Chokers” or it is a disappointing end to an otherwise upbeat year. Facing the Colts will be tough but the season finale in Washington should be a win.This is a big week – there is still a chance the Cowboys could miss the playoffs. And after being owned at home by these Eagles, losing again to them undoes a lot of progress that it seemed the Cowboys had made.

QUARTERBACK : Tony Romo has been light on yardage all year thanks to the vastly improved rushing offense but he’s thrown multiple touchdowns in nearly every game and scored three times or more in five of the last nine. But his one bad game was two weeks ago when he only passed for 199 yards and two interceptions against the Eagles. He was also sacked four times.

RUNNING BACK : DeMarco Murray ran for only 73 yards on 20 carries versus the Eagles but did score once and had six catches for 40 yards. Last week in Chicago was his season high 32 carries for 179 yards and one score along with nine receptions for 49 yards. Murray has been the most consistent and productive part of the offense even in a bad game. With three games left to play, Murray already has 320 carries and 53 catches. That’s 60 more carries than any other player.

WIDE RECEIVER : The stats were down in the previous meeting with the Eagles and Dez Bryant ended a four game scoring streak when he only managed four catches for 73 yards. Even in Chicago last week he did not score on his six catches for 82 yards. Terrance Williams is a complete non-factor for the last month while Cole Beasley scored three times in the last three weeks though not versus the Eagles when he caught four passes for 41 yards. The passing offense lives and dies with Bryant who already has ten touchdowns on the year. But Bryant’s two big yardage efforts have both come against weak secondaries of the Jaguars and Giants.

TIGHT END : Jason Witten turned in his worst effort of the year when he only caught one pass for eight yards in the loss to the Eagles. He’s been mostly stuck around 30 yards in most games and three of his four touchdowns were in road games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is hard to measure since the Eagles played so much better than usual in Dallas and the Cowboys were far worse than normal. The Eagles have allowed multiple touchdowns to every opponent but two – the Cowboys and Giants were both blanked by them. The Eagles rushing defense has been very good at home where no runner has gained more than the 86 yards by Marshawn Lynch just last week in a game that the Eagles may have been less prepared for knowing this week mattered the most. It would seem only reasonable that the Cowboys will play better and they are, for whatever reason, a great road team this year. Murray always does well but Romo and Bryant have obvious risk this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 16 3 17 13 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 31 22 29 4 6 26

Philadelphia Eagles

1 JAC 34-17 10 CAR 45-21
2 @IND 30-27 11 @GB 20-53
3 WAS 37-34 12 TEN 43-24
4 @SF 21-26 13 @DAL 33-10
5 STL 34-28 14 SEA 14-24
6 NYG 27-0 15 DAL —–
7 BYE —– 16 @WAS —–
8 @ARI 20-24 17 @NYG —–
9 @HOU 31-21  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB DeMarco Murray 80 7-40,1
RB Darren Sproles 20 3-10
WR Jordan Matthews 5-60,1
WR Rueben Randle 6-80
TE Brent Celek 3-20
TE Zach Ertz 4-30
PK Cody Parkey 3 FG 3 XP
PK Caleb Sturgis 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Eagles have a chance to take the NFC East outright if they can beat the Cowboys again but what is troublesome is that the losses have been to the teams that are mostly likely going to be there in the playoffs. The glow of beating the Cowboys did not last long after dropping a ten point loss to the visiting Seahawks last week. With only the Redskins and Giants left to play – and they’ve already beaten both – it all comes down to this big game. Home games have meant big points in all but the Seattle game.

QUARTERBACK : Mark Sanchez was held to only 217 yards and one score in Dallas but he also ran in one touchdown and the Eagles rushed the ball so well that the pass wasn’t that important – he only threw 29 passes. He was on a 300+ yard streak for the three games prior to that and was held to only 96 yards and two scores in the loss to the Seahawks.

RUNNING BACK : Darren Sproles is a nonfactor and only produced 32 total yards in the Dallas game but he has scored a short touchdown in each of the last three home games. Never more than around 40 total yards in each, but a score in each of the last three home games. LeSean McCoy had a season best 159 yards on 25 carries with one score in the win in Dallas. He scored in both of the previous home games as well and has been rushing far better in the second half of the season.

WIDE RECEIVER : Jeremy Maclin racked up 108 yards on eight catches in Dallas while Jordan Matthews scored once on his four receptions for 51 yards. Oddly four of Maclin’s five best games came on the road. Matthews generally is more productive at home and has seven touchdowns on the year compared to ten scores by Maclin. No other receiver really matters here and Riley Cooper has just one touchdown all year.

TIGHT END : Sanchez has not used his tight ends much though Zach Ertz scored last week. He had zero catches in Dallas though and Brent Celek only finished with a single reception for seven yards.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Which Cowboys show up here? They have allowed the last four quarterbacks to score multiple times (including Sanchez’s rushing score). The rushing defense was very good until McCoy left town with the most rush yards that the Cowboys have given up all year. No reason to change what has worked. Sanchez and Matthews are moderate plays with some upside here and McCoy and Maclin are must starts.

Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 11 18 6 12 3 1
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 19 17 8 32 1 18

table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Recent News

More Huddle