Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs CHI

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs CHI


Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs CHI

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Prediction: NO 27, CHI 24 (Line: NO by 2)

Here is another messy game that could take off in many different directions. The 5-8 Saints remain in a tie for first place in the NFC South but are only 2-4 on the road. The 5-8 Bears are at the bottom of their division where 5-8 is supposed to land you and are just 2-4 at home. Both teams come off crushing home losses where they allowed 41 points to their opponent. This is the Monday night game.

The Saints won 26-18 in Chicago last season.

New Orleans Saints

1 @ATL 34-37 10 SF 24-27
2 @CLE 24-26 11 CIN 10-27
3 MIN 20-9 12 BAL 27-34
4 @DAL 17-38 13 @PIT 35-32
5 TB 37-31 14 CAR 10-41
6 BYE —– 15 @CHI —–
7 @DET 23-24 16 ATL —–
8 GB 44-23 17 @TB —–
9 @CAR 29-10  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 290,3
RB Mark Ingram 70 1-10
TE Coby Fleener 3-50,1
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 2 XP
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG

Pregame Notes: The win in Pittsburgh was inspiring and seemed to suggest the Saints were turning around but then hosting the Panthers who they had already beaten in Carolina and then losing 10-41 seemed to undo everything. The final two games of the season are certainly winnable because they feature more of the NFC South but this week is the key. How well the Saints can rebound will control their fate and facing the Bears without Brandon Marshall is a nice addition to the game.

QUARTERBACK : Drew Brees only threw for 235 yards and one score last week for a fantasy playoff killer but he totaled eight touchdowns over the previous two weeks. His last away game had five touchdowns in Pittsburgh. The Bears rank #32 against quarterbacks. That is all you need to know.

RUNNING BACK : Mark Ingram has been oddly effective in road games where he topped 100 yards in the last two but he has not scored since nine. His production is very sensitive to the defensive effort. Pierre Thomas continues to offer a handful of carries and catches per week and while Ingram’s workload rises and falls with individual games, Thomas still gets his ten touches regardless. Only Ingram is supplying reliable fantasy value and even that has been subject to a couple of bad games.

WIDE RECEIVER : The Saints cut Joe Morgan this week because they wanted to cut someone, anyone after last week’s loss and Morgan ended up walking the gauntlet with his box of personal items. Marques Colston still ended with 72 yards on five catches in the loss while Kenny Stills (3-23) no longer does his impression of Brandin Cooks. Stills and Colston is as good as it gets for wide receivers.

TIGHT END : Jimmy Graham’s struggles continued last week with only three catches for 25 yards and that was after no catches in the week 13 matchup with the Steelers. Graham still catches scores with nine on the year but his yardage has really tanked this year and really since the first month of the season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Everyone throws a score on the Bears and they allowed ten touchdowns just to Aaron Rodgers in their two matchups. This is one of the worst secondaries in the league and it only gets worse. By comparison the rushing defense has been much better and Ingram has only been moderately good. Brees, Colston, Stills and even Graham are must starts – Graham faces a defense that has already allowed 11 touchdowns to the position.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 2 12 2 18 31
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 32 18 24 31 31 23

Chicago Bears

1 BUF 20-23 10 @GB 14-55
2 @SF 28-20 11 MIN 21-13
3 @NYJ 27-19 12 TB 21-13
4 GB 17-38 13 @DET 17-34
5 @CAR 24-31 14 DAL 28-41
6 @ATL 27-13 15 NO —–
7 MIA 14-27 16 DET —–
8 @NE 23-51 17 @MIN —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI vs NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 300,2
WR Alshon Jeffery 9-120,1
WR Eddie Royal 3-40
WR Marquess Wilson 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Bears lost Brandon Marshall for a big hole in the offense but the defense is where the problem has been all year and why they cannot compete in most games. The remaining schedule has the Saints and then Lions showing up before finally finishing up in Minnesota. For now, the biggest directive is to win games and look better in the attempt because all the magic that the offense seemed to gain last year when Marc Trestman’s offense was new has left and now Jay Cutler has to show that he is the one to continue to lead this scheme and make it work.

QUARTERBACK : While Jay Cutler has taken heat for losing games and turning over the ball, at least in fantasy terms he remains a decent start with a score every week if not two or three even if it all comes in trash time at the end of games. He’s thrown for over 300 yards in four games including last week versus the Cowboys. Cutler really needs a solid finish to the season if only to quiet the critics.

RUNNING BACK : Still one of the elite backs though less productive in recent weeks. Catching at least five passes per week helps to support his fantasy value like just last week when he only ran for 26 yards and one score but added eight receptions for 74 yards. Matt Forte usually totals well over 100 yards each week and already scored nine times over the last nine games.

WIDE RECEIVER : Alshon Jeffery already is on a four game scoring streak and has eight touchdowns on the year. With Marshall out, Jeffery should see at least incrementally more targets since the pair would normally consume about 20 passes every week. Marquess Wilson takes over the #2 spot and the 6-4 speedster actually has some similarities to Marshall. Josh Morgan will become the #3 who never does anything. Wilson was only a seventh round pick but is worth keeping an eye on this week because the Bears need to replace a lot of catches for the next three games.

TIGHT END : Martellus Bennett started the year hot with four scores in the first three weeks but then cooled until two weeks ago. After posting eight catches for 109 yards in Detroit, he blew up on the Cowboys for 12 receptions and 84 yards with one touchdown. The loss of Marshall may end up a major blessing for Bennett who already has the confidence of Cutler.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is all dependent on which Bears and which Saints show up. But the Saints pass defense has been bad the entire season and worse yet on the road. where everyone scores on them and twice they allowed 400 passing yards. Notable too is that they have been weak against running backs and more so on the road when they gave up seven touchdowns and 254 total yards to Le’Veon Bell two weeks ago. Cutler is still worth considering here and Forte, Bennett and Jeffery all need to be starters. Wilson is too raw but worth watching.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 9 14 18 6 32 20
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 29 29 25 10 28 17

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