Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI vs WAS

Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI vs WAS


Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI vs WAS

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Prediction: PHI 27, WAS 17 (Line: PHI by 9)

This is a replay of week three when the Eagles won 37-34 in Washington. The 9-5 Eagles are on a two game losing streak and are just 3-3 on the road. But the 3-11 Redskins are on a six game losing stretch and are just 2-4 at home. This is a Saturday game.

Philadelphia Eagles

1 JAC 34-17 10 CAR 45-21
2 @IND 30-27 11 @GB 20-53
3 WAS 37-34 12 TEN 43-24
4 @SF 21-26 13 @DAL 33-10
5 STL 34-28 14 SEA 14-24
6 NYG 27-0 15 DAL 27-38
7 BYE —– 16 @WAS —–
8 @ARI 20-24 17 @NYG —–
9 @HOU 31-21  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB DeMarco Murray 70 1-10
WR Jordan Matthews 4-70,1
WR Rueben Randle 5-60
TE Brent Celek 1-10
TE Zach Ertz 2-10
PK Cody Parkey 2 FG 3 XP
PK Caleb Sturgis 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: It was going well until these last two home games where Mark Sanchez suddenly no longer looked like the answer and the Eagles struggled to stop the Cowboys who they had stomped only two weeks prior. The final two games are on the road which actually works better for the Eagles and against teams they have already beaten. The Eagles now need some help to reach the playoffs since there are five other teams with 10-4 or better records plus the NFC South which barely counts anymore.

QUARTERBACK : Nick Foles is coming back from his collarbone injury but has already been ruled out of this game. These last two losses by Mark Sanchez have really undermined his stock. He threw for only 96 yards against the Seahawks and then 252 yards and no scores on the Cowboys with two interceptions.

Back in week three, Foles threw for
325 yards and three touchdowns on the Redskins.

RUNNING BACK : LeSean McCoy was held to only 22 yards on 20 carries back in week there but has been far more productive in the second half of the season. His only problem lately is that Chris Polk and Darren Sproles have no fantasy value, almost no production but were given three rushing touchdowns last week. McCoy has totaled at least 100 total yards in each of his last four road games.

WIDE RECEIVER : Jeremy Maclin ended with eight catches for 154 yards and one score on the Redskins last time while Jordan Matthews took in eight catches for 59 yards and two touchdowns – his first in the NFL. But under Sanchez, Maclin is still getting plenty of love while Matthews has all but disappeared in the last two weeks. With Sanchez around, Matthews has declined every week until his zero catches last Sunday.

TIGHT END : The tight ends have been sparsely used by Sanchez and even back in week three, Brent Celek had no catches and Zach Ertz only managed two catches for 14 yards. Ertz did catch a touchdown two weeks ago against the Seahawks but never gets more than 30 yards in games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Redskins are in a sharp decline and that extends to their defense that has allowed 24+ points in each of the last three games. Almost every opponent throws for two scores and healthy yardage if not up to five touchdowns. That stems in part from a decent rushing defense that has allowed only one rushing touchdown to a running back in Washington this year. McCoy has seen a decline in receptions this year and with Sanchez there caught one pass over the last three games which will hurt his stock here. Consider Sanchez, Maclin and even Matthews as considerations this week. Matthews is a far bigger risk but the only soft defense that the Eagles faced with Sanchez was when Matthews went 6-77 against the Titans. McCoy can be started but should be good for just moderate yardage.

Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 13 14 6 11 2 1
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 3 28 29 15 30

Washington Redskins

1 @HOU 6-17 10 BYE —–
2 JAC 41-10 11 TB 7-27
3 @PHI 34-37 12 @SF 13-17
4 NYG 14-45 13 @IND 27-49
5 SEA 17-27 14 STL 0-24
6 @ARI 20-30 15 @NYG 13-24
7 TEN 19-17 16 PHI —–
8 @DAL 20-17 17 DAL —–
9 @MIN 26-29  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Pierre Thomas 10 6-40
WR Pierre Garcon 5-70,1
WR DeSean Jackson 5-90,1
TE Vernon Davis 2-20
TE Jordan Reed 5-50

Pregame Notes: The Redskins are stumbling to the end of the season but at least it is reported that HC Jay Gruden will return to coach the team in 2015 and avoid yet another year of complete upheaval, new coaches, new players and new playbooks. What will happen at quarterback will be interesting but for now the Skins just need a win and yet haven’t had the means since Kirk Cousins left. What is alarming is the lack of effort in the last two weeks but at least these will be at home against familiar opponents.

QUARTERBACK : Back in week three, Kirk Cousins threw for 427 yards and three scores in Philadelphia but that won’t likely happen with Robert Griffin back under center. Colt McCoy is inactive this week with a re-injured neck and Griffin should finish out the year with a chance to show something to suggest he is worth keeping. In New York against the Giants last week, Griffin threw for 236 yards and one score with seven sacks.

RUNNING BACK : Alfred Morris ran for 77 yards on 23 carries in Philadelphia this year but has seen a decline in recent weeks with never more than 67 rush yards and a reduction in receptions including none just last week. Roy Helu ran for a one-yard touchdown in the last meeting with the Eagles though it was his only carry and he’s been out since week 13.

Chris Thompson is getting some work now and even scored on a catch last week. It was first first action of the season totaled 34 yards so I will hold him from the projections.

WIDE RECEIVER : That first meeting was a shootout thanks to Kirk Cousins. DeSean Jackson reeled in five passes for 117 yards and one score. Pierre Garcon ended with a season best 11 catches for 138 yards and one score. He’s never been remotely close to that since. His best game with Sanchez was the nine catches for 95 yards versus the Rams but he was held to only four catches for 36 yards with Griffin back last week. Jackson played last week after suffering a bone bruise to his shin but was held to only 15 yards on three catches.

TIGHT END : Back in week three, Jordan Reed did not play but Niles Paul caught six passes for 68 yards. Since Sanchez took over the tight ends are getting little action in recent games though Reed did have a season best 123 yards on nine catches in Indianapolis a few weeks ago. He’s been stuck at three catches for about 20 yards in recent weeks.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Morris ran well enough in Philly and the Eagles on the road have given up eight touchdowns to opposing running backs. The yardage won’t be huge but there is a shot for one score here by Morris and a moderate day overall. McCoy is the unknown since he’s played so little but at least the Eagles sport one of the worst secondaries so that even Griffin should be able to take some advantage. Assuming DeSean Jackson will be healthier this week, he is a must start against his old team and Pierre Garcon is a low end consideration if only because he did so well in the last meeting.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 17 9 24 14 26 27
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 31 25 31 9 7 28

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