Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs DEN

Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs DEN


Game Predictions & Player Projections - IND vs DEN

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Prediction: IND 24, DEN 34 (Line: DEN by 7)

This is a replay of the season opener when the Broncos won 31-24 in Denver. The Broncos are 8-0 at home this year while the Colts are 5-3 on the road. The forecast for the game is only partly cloudy with temperatures around 36 degrees at kickoff. The game is somewhat cold but not wet or windy.

Indianapolis Colts

1 @DEN 24-31 10 BYE —–
2 PHI 27-30 11 NE  20-42
3 @JAC 44-17 12 JAC 23-3
4 TEN 41-17 13 WAS 49-27
5 BAL 20-13 14 @CLE 25-24
6 @HOU 33-28 15 HOU 17-10
7 CIN 27-0 16 @DAL 7-42
8 @PIT 34-51 17 @TEN 27-10
9 @NYG 40-24  
News | Statistics | Roster
IND @ DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 20 340,3
RB Dan Herron 30 6-30
RB Zurlon Tipton 30
TE Dwayne Allen 5-50,1
TE Coby Fleener 3-30
WR T.Y. Hilton 5-50
WR Hakeem Nicks 4-60,1
WR Reggie Wayne 3-40
WR Donte Moncrief 3-60,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Colts had little problem taking down the Bengals last week 26-10 but they already shut them out earlier in the year and the Bengals were missing A.J. Green with almost no signs of offense outside of Jeremy Hill. This week the Colts are on the road but facing a far tougher matchup without a decent rushing attack. The Colts are obviously used to playing in a nice, comfy dome and while they are outside it should not be much of a factor if at all. The passing game will be the focus and the conditions shouldn’t impact it.

QUARTERBACK : Andrew Luck finished the season as the #1 fantasy quarterback in most all league scoring rules and he opened the year with 370 yards and two scores in Denver. He also ran in one score. Luck has been very solid at 300+ yard games when faced with a shootout or against a weak secondary. Aside from the couple of meaningless late season games, he has been good for multiple touchdowns in almost every game. Luck passed for 376 yards and one score just last week versus the Bengals.

RUNNING BACK : So much for Trent Richardson. He did suffer from illness last week but was active and dressed for the game but never played. He’s been a nonfactor for the last six weeks anyway and is now replaced by Zurlon Tipton who ran for 40 yards on 11 carries last week. Dan Herron ran 12 times for 56 yards and one score as the “Ahmad Bradshaw” of the offense and turned in a season best ten catches for 85 yards last week. Without Bradshaw around, this unit can only dream of being average.

WIDE RECEIVER : T.Y. Hilton barely played since week 14 in part because of a hamstring strain but ended with six catches for 103 yards against the Bengals but it is bothersome that he dropped three of his 14 targets in that game. He was held to 41 yards on five receptions in the first meeting with the Broncos. Reggie Wayne ended with 98 yards on nine catches in that game but has not scored in eight games and only once managed more than 31 yards in the last seven weeks while he looks very much his age. Wayne only managed one catch for 12 yards last week.

Hakeem Nicks scored in the season opened with five receptions for 36 yards and he’s been turning in sub-50 yard efforts nearly every game this year. Donte Moncrief will be a new weapon from the season opener and he scored once last week but he’s either going to catch a long pass or be a nonfactor.

TIGHT END : Dwayne Allen opened the year with four catches for 64 yards and one score in Denver but missed the last couple of regular season games with a sore knee. He played nearly all the snaps last week though and ended with three catches for 30 yards. Coby Fleener only had three catches for 21 yards in the opener and just one catch last week with Allen back. Fleener tends to turn in far more production when Allen is out.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Broncos have been very good at home but mainly because of visitors like ARI, KC, SF, BUF and OAK. There is no reason why Luck should end up with fewer than 300 passing yards and a couple of scores again though Hilton should end up with Aqib Talib on most plays and the Broncos held him down in the season opener already. Hard to expect much from the rushing effort here since no runner ever gained more than 79 yards in Denver and only three ran in a score. The most successful receivers are likely Allen and possibly Fleener, Hicks and Moncrief. This looks like plenty of passing yards and two to three scores but they will be spread out.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 1 18 7 3 3 16
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 26 12 9 29 13 4

Denver Broncos

1 IND 31-24 10 @OAK 41-17
2 KC 24-17 11 @STL 7-22
3 @SEA 20-26 12 MIA 39-36
4 BYE —– 13 @KC 29-16
5 ARI 41-20 14 BUF 24-17
6 @NYJ 31-17 15 @SD 22-10
7 SF 42-17 16 @CIN 28-37
8 SD 35-21 17 OAK 47-14
9 @NE 21-43  
News | Statistics | Roster
DEN vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning 280,2
RB C.J. Anderson 80,2 4-20
RB Ronnie Hillman 20 4-30
TE Julius Thomas 4-30,1
WR Demaryius Thomas 5-80,1
WR Emmanuel Sanders 6-70
WR Wes Welker 3-30
PK Connor Barth 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Broncos are in roughly the same space as last year though they lost the #1 seed benefit. The team looks very strong and the defense is better this year than last. The rushing effort looks in good hands with C.J. Anderson and the only weak link looks like… Peyton Manning. This playoff game should answer some questions but the Peyton of the last month is nothing like the one of September. Or October. Or November.

QUARTERBACK : While Peyton Manning threw for 269 yards and three touchdowns in the season opener, he’s only managed three touchdowns from the last four games combined. He’s thrown two sub-200 yard games in the recent past and turned in two games without any scores. Manning threw for four interceptions in the loss in Cincy in week 16 in a game they needed. He’s as smart as any quarterback alive but his age may be showing up here later in the year after a torrid start to the season.

RUNNING BACK : Back in the season opener, the Broncos ran for 94 yards and one score between Montee Ball and C.J. Anderson. Ball is long gone and Anderson has since taken over with four rushing scores in the last two games. But Ronnie Hillman finally returned in week 17 and he ran for 56 yards on 15 carries in the blowout win over the Raiders. Hillman should remain involved but Anderson has been far more effective and the Broncos are not likely to be running out a 33 point lead like last week. Hillman did play much more than garbage time in week 17 but it was just the Raiders and it is reasonable that the Broncos were taking it easier with Anderson who had over 21 touches in the five previous games.

WIDE RECEIVER : Demaryius Thomas only caught four passes for 48 yards in the opener but has been one of the elite wideouts ever since. He ended the regular season with nine games over 100 yards and totaled11 touchdowns. Emmanuel Sanders only recorded six catches for 77 yards on the Colts before but also quickly became a force in the offense with nine scores and seven 100 yard games. Only Wes Welker failed to bring much to the table.

TIGHT END : Julius Thomas once again started the season red-hot and scored nine times in just the first five games but has been of little help since week six aside from one meeting with the Raiders. Otherwise Thomas never had more than 33 yards in any game and scored just once since week six. He’s nursed a bad ankle for the second half of the season. He started the year with three touchdowns and three scores on the Colts.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Broncos are rested and will be prepared to face the visiting Colts again. Despite the problems with Manning not scoring as much, this is a home game and he’ll be plenty rested. The Colts are below average against the run making Anderson a very strong play this week though Hillman’s role is not certain. The Colts secondary is very good and while they did allow 14 touchdowns to wideouts in road games, only two managed over 100 yards against them. Demaryius Thomas and Sanders are still worth fantasy starts and Julius Thomas holds a lot of promise against a team he hurt before and that is one of the weakest against his position.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 3 12 2 11 15 17
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 17 23 5 27 5 27

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