Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks

Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks

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Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks

2014 Passing Fantasy Points Allowed
Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
IND 31.1 @CLE 22.1
CHI 31.0 CLE 22.1
@PHI 30.6 @DET 21.9
@OAK 29.9 @CIN 21.5
@PIT 28.8 GB 21.0
WAS 28.8 @ATL 20.8
TB 28.1 CIN 20.7
BAL 27.5 @KC 20.0
NYJ 27.2 OAK 20.0
@WAS 26.8 @CAR 19.9
MIN 26.6 KC 19.8
SF 26.5 @MIN 19.6
@GB 26.4 @BAL 18.8
SD 26.3 BUF 18.6
@NYG 26.2 @BUF 18.5
NO 26.0 @SEA 18.4
TEN 25.9 @SD 18.3
CAR 25.8 @IND 18.2
JAC 25.8 SEA 17.2
ATL 25.7 STL 16.8

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR

The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen – facing each defense either home or away.

To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.

Three different views are given below – Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule – “draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks”.

A Bye week is considered a “bad” week though everyone has one. It really only matters if it falls in the first six weeks.

This analysis awards and 0.05 points per pass yard. Touchdowns are worth four points.


Best Schedules:

Tampa Bay – The first pick in the NFL draft also gets to inherit the softest passing schedule in the league with half of his games against bottom 20 venues. The reality though is that the Buccaneers are still a fledgling offense installing a new scheme this year with a rookie quarterback. Great schedule still not enough to merit too much confidence here.

Matt Ryan – This is encouraging since Ryan already comes off a four year stretch of solid stats and now manages to only face two defensive venues that ranked in the 20 toughest last year. One more decent year out of Roddy White and a healthy season from Julio Jones could produce even better stats for 2015.

Eli Manning – He enjoyed a bounce back season in 2015 with 4410 yards and 30 touchdowns and that almost entirely came from just one player – Odell Beckham Jr. who really did not explode until the second half of the year. Now Manning gets a second season with Beckham – and a full 16 games – plus Victor Cruz will return and all that with an advantageous schedule.

Worst Schedules:

Peyton Manning – More than half his games come against top 20 defenses but Manning has always been bigger than his schedule. A bigger concern will be the plans to have him throw less to save his arm for the post season plus a new found running game with C.J. Anderson.

Ben Roethlisberger – He always has one of the worst passing schedules in the league thanks to playing in the AFC North and yet he still perseveres with a a good year that includes at least a few great games. The schedule may not be a friend but it has never so no reason to downgrade Big Ben.

Philip Rivers – Trade rumors swirled and his longevity in San Diego is in serious question. But the Chargers starter is going to face a tougher slate of games this year and even starts out on a tougher note. He’s always flirted with being in the range of fantasy starters but this year may be just another of him being nothing more than a solid backup to own.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  SOS Good Bad
TB 5 8 3
ATL 4 6 2
DAL 4 7 3
NO 4 7 3
NYG 4 7 3
CAR 1 5 4
IND 1 5 4
JAC 1 5 4
MIA 1 5 4
NE 1 5 4
NYJ 1 5 4
BUF 0 3 3
TEN 0 4 4
PHI -1 4 5
WAS -1 4 5
ARI -1 6 7
SEA -2 4 6
HOU -2 5 7
OAK -2 5 7
SF -2 5 7
STL -2 5 7
BAL -3 4 7
DET -3 4 7
KC -3 4 7
GB -4 3 7
MIN -4 3 7
CHI -4 4 8
CLE -4 4 8
CIN -5 3 8
SD -5 3 8
PIT -6 3 9
DEN -6 4 10
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  SOS Good Bad
NYG 3 4 1
SF 3 4 1
ATL 2 2 0
NO 2 3 1
SEA 2 3 1
TB 2 3 1
DAL 1 2 1
IND 1 2 1
PHI 1 2 1
PIT 1 2 1
ARI 1 3 2
BUF 0 1 1
JAC 0 1 1
BAL 0 2 2
KC 0 2 2
MIA 0 2 2
STL 0 2 2
DEN 0 3 3
CAR -1 1 2
MIN -1 1 2
WAS -1 1 2
HOU -1 2 3
CLE -2 1 3
DET -2 1 3
GB -2 1 3
NE -2 1 3
NYJ -2 1 3
OAK -2 1 3
SD -2 1 3
TEN -2 1 3
CIN -2 2 4
CHI -5 0 5
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  SOS Good Bad
BUF 2 2 0
JAC 2 2 0
TB 2 2 0
DET 1 1 0
GB 1 1 0
MIN 1 1 0
NE 1 1 0
NO 1 1 0
NYJ 1 1 0
ARI 1 2 1
CAR 1 2 1
DAL 1 2 1
CIN 0 0 0
IND 0 0 0
TEN 0 0 0
ATL 0 1 1
CHI 0 1 1
MIA 0 1 1
NYG 0 1 1
OAK 0 1 1
PHI 0 1 1
SD 0 1 1
STL 0 1 1
WAS 0 1 1
HOU -1 0 1
CLE -1 1 2
DEN -1 1 2
KC -1 1 2
BAL -2 0 2
PIT -2 0 2
SEA -3 0 3
SF -3 0 3

Week – By – Week

tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI NO @CHI SF STL @DET @PIT BAL @CLE BYE @SEA CIN @SF @STL MIN @PHI GB
ATL PHI @NYG @DAL HOU WAS @NO @TEN TB @SF BYE IND MIN @TB @CAR @JAC CAR
BAL @DEN @OAK CIN @PIT CLE @SF @ARI SD BYE JAC STL @CLE @MIA SEA KC PIT
BUF IND NE @MIA NYG @TEN CIN @JAC BYE MIA @NYJ @NE @KC HOU @PHI @WAS DAL
CAR @JAC HOU NO @TB BYE @SEA PHI IND GB @TEN WAS @DAL @NO ATL @NYG @ATL
CHI GB ARI @SEA OAK @KC @DET BYE MIN @SD @STL DEN @GB SF WAS @MIN @TB
CIN @OAK SD @BAL KC SEA @BUF BYE @PIT CLE HOU @ARI STL @CLE PIT @SF @DEN
CLE @NYJ TEN OAK @SD @BAL DEN @STL ARI @CIN @PIT BYE BAL CIN SF @SEA @KC
DAL NYG @PHI ATL @NO NE BYE @NYG SEA PHI @TB @MIA CAR @WAS @GB NYJ @BUF
DEN BAL @KC @DET MIN @OAK @CLE BYE GB @IND KC @CHI NE @SD OAK @PIT CIN
DET @SD @MIN DEN @SEA ARI CHI MIN @KC BYE @GB OAK PHI GB @STL @NO SF
GB @CHI SEA KC @SF STL SD BYE @DEN @CAR DET @MIN CHI @DET DAL @OAK @ARI
HOU KC @CAR TB @ATL IND @JAC @MIA TEN BYE @CIN NYJ NO @BUF NE @IND @TEN
IND @BUF NYJ @TEN JAC @HOU NE NO @CAR DEN BYE @ATL TB @PIT @JAC HOU @MIA
JAC CAR MIA @NE @IND @TB HOU BUF BYE @NYJ @BAL TEN SD @TEN IND ATL @NO
KC @HOU DEN @GB @CIN CHI @MIN PIT DET BYE @DEN @SD BUF @OAK SD @BAL CLE
MIA @WAS @JAC BUF NYJ BYE @TEN HOU @NE @BUF @PHI DAL @NYJ BAL NYG @SD IND
MIN @SF DET SD @DEN BYE KC @DET @CHI STL @OAK GB @ATL SEA @ARI CHI NYG
NE PIT @BUF JAC BYE @DAL @IND NYJ MIA WAS @NYG BUF @DEN PHI @HOU TEN @NYJ
NO @ARI TB @CAR DAL @PHI ATL @IND NYG TEN @WAS BYE @HOU CAR @TB DET JAC
NYG @DAL ATL WAS @BUF SF @PHI DAL @NO @TB NE BYE @WAS NYJ @MIA CAR @MIN
NYJ CLE @IND PHI @MIA BYE WAS @NE @OAK JAC BUF @HOU MIA @NYG TEN @DAL NE
OAK CIN BAL @CLE @CHI DEN BYE @SD NYJ @PIT MIN @DET @TEN KC @DEN GB SD
PHI @ATL DAL @NYJ @WAS NO NYG @CAR BYE @DAL MIA TB @DET @NE BUF ARI WAS
PIT @NE SF @STL BAL @SD ARI @KC CIN OAK CLE BYE @SEA IND @CIN DEN @BAL
SD DET @CIN @MIN CLE PIT @GB OAK @BAL CHI BYE KC @JAC DEN @KC MIA @OAK
SEA @STL @GB CHI DET @CIN CAR @SF @DAL BYE ARI SF PIT @MIN @BAL CLE STL
SF MIN @PIT @ARI GB @NYG BAL SEA @STL ATL BYE @SEA ARI @CHI @CLE CIN @DET
STL SEA @WAS PIT @ARI @GB BYE CLE SF @MIN CHI @BAL @CIN ARI DET TB @SEA
TB TEN @NO @HOU CAR JAC BYE @WAS @ATL NYG DAL @PHI @IND ATL NO @STL CHI
TEN @TB @CLE IND BYE BUF MIA ATL @HOU @NO CAR @JAC OAK JAC @NYJ @NE HOU
WAS MIA STL @NYG PHI @ATL @NYJ TB BYE @NE NO @CAR NYG DAL @CHI BUF @PHI

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR



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