Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers with Reception Points

Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers with Reception Points

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Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers with Reception Points

2014 Passing Fantasy Points Allowed
Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
CHI 61.2 @JAC 46.9
BAL 60.7 @KC 46.8
IND 59.4 @SF 46.4
WAS 58.8 NE 46.4
@PHI 58.8 @NE 46.3
@STL 57.2 PHI 46.0
@ARI 56.5 @BUF 45.8
TB 55.3 GB 45.2
CAR 54.9 DEN 45.1
@WAS 54.4 CIN 44.7
@DEN 54.3 OAK 44.4
MIN 54.2 STL 44.3
DAL 53.4 @CAR 43.9
@PIT 53.1 KC 43.0
NO 52.9 BUF 42.3
@TB 52.7 @SD 41.8
@NYJ 52.7 @SEA 41.6
NYJ 52.6 @MIN 39.2
@GB 52.6 @IND 38.3
ATL 52.3 SEA 35.9

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR

The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen – facing each defense either home or away.

To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.

Three different views are given below – Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule – “draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks”.

This analysis considers both tight ends and wide receivers awarded 0.1 points per received yard and six point touchdowns along with one point per reception.


Best Schedules:

Buccaneers – This is encouraging for both Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson after the season ended on a down note over the final six weeks. The problem will be introducing a rookie quarterback into the league which should depress what a veteran quarterback could accomplish with these two wideouts. But with half their games against easier venues – and all three in fantasy playoffs – Evans and Jackson are still worth a risk despite their quarterback situation.

Saints – Same as with no reception points, this lighter schedule has to benefit Brandin Cooks as he and Marques Colston become the primary receivers in the absence of Jimmy Graham.

Giants – Odell Beckham Jr. was a major surprise when he excelled in the second half of 2014 and an easier schedule this year only serves to keep him rated highly. Victor Cruz may not be completely over his torn patellar tendon but he gets a lighter matchup in at least half his games and no longer has to worry about being the biggest concern for opposing secondaries. Beckham and Cruz both have a better outlook thanks to the schedule.

Worst Schedules:

Lions – The passing stats were down last year and mostly because Calvin Johnson played with a high ankle sprain much of the season. Johnson will look to get back to form that saw him with 1492 yards and 12 scores only the season before but he’ll be facing a tougher stretch of games this time around. Opening the year @SD, @MIN, DEN and @SEA won’t make it any easier.

Steelers – They always have a tough schedule in Pittsburgh thanks to the AFC North and this year won’t be any better. That still won’t keep Antonio Brown from turning in another great season but Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton gain no favors from most of their weekly matchups.

Jets – A continued shaky situation at quarterback is already enough to downgrade the Jets wideouts who ranked among the most unproductive in the NFL last year. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker both show what a difference a quarterback makes. Marshall gets a bad quarterback and a bad schedule. That should match his attitude by the end of the year.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  SOS Good Bad
TB 6 8 2
NO 5 8 3
NYG 4 8 4
PHI 2 6 4
DAL 2 7 5
JAC 1 5 4
STL 1 5 4
ATL 1 6 5
SF 1 6 5
MIA 1 7 6
SEA 0 4 4
CAR 0 5 5
TEN 0 5 5
ARI 0 6 6
NE -1 4 5
BUF -1 5 6
OAK -1 5 6
WAS -1 5 6
KC -2 3 5
IND -2 4 6
BAL -3 3 6
CIN -3 3 6
MIN -3 3 6
CLE -3 4 7
GB -3 4 7
HOU -3 4 7
CHI -3 5 8
SD -4 3 7
NYJ -5 1 6
PIT -5 3 8
DET -5 4 9
DEN -6 3 9
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  SOS Good Bad
PHI 4 4 0
SEA 4 4 0
NO 4 5 1
SF 3 4 1
NYG 2 3 1
ARI 1 2 1
DEN 1 2 1
STL 1 3 2
ATL 0 1 1
SD 0 1 1
TB 0 1 1
BAL 0 2 2
DAL 0 2 2
JAC 0 2 2
KC 0 2 2
PIT 0 2 2
TEN 0 2 2
BUF -1 1 2
IND -1 1 2
WAS -1 1 2
CAR -1 2 3
HOU -1 2 3
MIA -1 2 3
CLE -2 1 3
MIN -2 1 3
NYJ -2 1 3
OAK -2 1 3
CIN -3 0 3
NE -3 0 3
DET -3 1 4
CHI -4 0 4
GB -4 0 4
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  SOS Good Bad
BUF 3 3 0
TB 3 3 0
GB 2 2 0
JAC 2 2 0
MIN 2 2 0
CAR 1 1 0
DET 1 1 0
NE 1 1 0
NO 1 1 0
ARI 1 2 1
CHI 1 2 1
DAL 1 2 1
KC 0 0 0
CIN 0 1 1
MIA 0 1 1
NYG 0 1 1
OAK 0 1 1
PHI 0 1 1
SD 0 1 1
STL 0 1 1
TEN 0 1 1
WAS 0 1 1
IND -1 0 1
NYJ -1 0 1
PIT -1 0 1
SEA -1 0 1
SF -1 0 1
ATL -1 1 2
DEN -1 1 2
BAL -2 0 2
CLE -2 0 2
HOU -2 0 2

Week – By – Week

tm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI NO @CHI SF STL @DET @PIT BAL @CLE BYE @SEA CIN @SF @STL MIN @PHI GB
ATL PHI @NYG @DAL HOU WAS @NO @TEN TB @SF BYE IND MIN @TB @CAR @JAC CAR
BAL @DEN @OAK CIN @PIT CLE @SF @ARI SD BYE JAC STL @CLE @MIA SEA KC PIT
BUF IND NE @MIA NYG @TEN CIN @JAC BYE MIA @NYJ @NE @KC HOU @PHI @WAS DAL
CAR @JAC HOU NO @TB BYE @SEA PHI IND GB @TEN WAS @DAL @NO ATL @NYG @ATL
CHI GB ARI @SEA OAK @KC @DET BYE MIN @SD @STL DEN @GB SF WAS @MIN @TB
CIN @OAK SD @BAL KC SEA @BUF BYE @PIT CLE HOU @ARI STL @CLE PIT @SF @DEN
CLE @NYJ TEN OAK @SD @BAL DEN @STL ARI @CIN @PIT BYE BAL CIN SF @SEA @KC
DAL NYG @PHI ATL @NO NE BYE @NYG SEA PHI @TB @MIA CAR @WAS @GB NYJ @BUF
DEN BAL @KC @DET MIN @OAK @CLE BYE GB @IND KC @CHI NE @SD OAK @PIT CIN
DET @SD @MIN DEN @SEA ARI CHI MIN @KC BYE @GB OAK PHI GB @STL @NO SF
GB @CHI SEA KC @SF STL SD BYE @DEN @CAR DET @MIN CHI @DET DAL @OAK @ARI
HOU KC @CAR TB @ATL IND @JAC @MIA TEN BYE @CIN NYJ NO @BUF NE @IND @TEN
IND @BUF NYJ @TEN JAC @HOU NE NO @CAR DEN BYE @ATL TB @PIT @JAC HOU @MIA
JAC CAR MIA @NE @IND @TB HOU BUF BYE @NYJ @BAL TEN SD @TEN IND ATL @NO
KC @HOU DEN @GB @CIN CHI @MIN PIT DET BYE @DEN @SD BUF @OAK SD @BAL CLE
MIA @WAS @JAC BUF NYJ BYE @TEN HOU @NE @BUF @PHI DAL @NYJ BAL NYG @SD IND
MIN @SF DET SD @DEN BYE KC @DET @CHI STL @OAK GB @ATL SEA @ARI CHI NYG
NE PIT @BUF JAC BYE @DAL @IND NYJ MIA WAS @NYG BUF @DEN PHI @HOU TEN @NYJ
NO @ARI TB @CAR DAL @PHI ATL @IND NYG TEN @WAS BYE @HOU CAR @TB DET JAC
NYG @DAL ATL WAS @BUF SF @PHI DAL @NO @TB NE BYE @WAS NYJ @MIA CAR @MIN
NYJ CLE @IND PHI @MIA BYE WAS @NE @OAK JAC BUF @HOU MIA @NYG TEN @DAL NE
OAK CIN BAL @CLE @CHI DEN BYE @SD NYJ @PIT MIN @DET @TEN KC @DEN GB SD
PHI @ATL DAL @NYJ @WAS NO NYG @CAR BYE @DAL MIA TB @DET @NE BUF ARI WAS
PIT @NE SF @STL BAL @SD ARI @KC CIN OAK CLE BYE @SEA IND @CIN DEN @BAL
SD DET @CIN @MIN CLE PIT @GB OAK @BAL CHI BYE KC @JAC DEN @KC MIA @OAK
SEA @STL @GB CHI DET @CIN CAR @SF @DAL BYE ARI SF PIT @MIN @BAL CLE STL
SF MIN @PIT @ARI GB @NYG BAL SEA @STL ATL BYE @SEA ARI @CHI @CLE CIN @DET
STL SEA @WAS PIT @ARI @GB BYE CLE SF @MIN CHI @BAL @CIN ARI DET TB @SEA
TB TEN @NO @HOU CAR JAC BYE @WAS @ATL NYG DAL @PHI @IND ATL NO @STL CHI
TEN @TB @CLE IND BYE BUF MIA ATL @HOU @NO CAR @JAC OAK JAC @NYJ @NE HOU
WAS MIA STL @NYG PHI @ATL @NYJ TB BYE @NE NO @CAR NYG DAL @CHI BUF @PHI

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR



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