Fantasy Rookie Reviews: Quarterbacks

Fantasy Rookie Reviews: Quarterbacks

Uncategorized

Fantasy Rookie Reviews: Quarterbacks

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Remember that one time three years ago when rookie quarterbacks actually mattered for a change? Since Andrew Luck, RG3 and Russell Wilson burst onto the scene in 2012 we’ve had but one 20-TD rookie season from a quarterback—Derek Carr sneaking across the line with 21 for Oakland last year.

Despite these recent foibles, NFL teams used the first two picks of the 2015 Draft on potential franchise quarterbacks. Fantasy owners don’t seem to be drinking the same Kool-Aid, given where Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota are falling in most dynasty drafts. Nonetheless, a rundown of the fantasy prospects for this year’s rookie quarterbacks class is in order.

JAMEIS WINSTON, BUCCANEERS 1.1 (FLORIDA STATE)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 13 467 305 65.3 3907 25 18 57 65 3
2013 14 384 257 66.9 4057 40 10 88 219 4

After wading through enough off-the-field red flags to lead a parade, the Buccaneers got comfortable with Winston as the face of their franchise and made him the first overall pick. He should open the season as Tampa Bay’s starter, with Mike Glennon his only impediment to playing time, and the Bucs have a solid group of receivers anchored by last year’s first-round pick Mike Evans. The Bucs also lack a solid ground game, which should put even more of the offensive onus on Winston. A modest upgrade to the production of Glennon and Josh McCown is to be expected, though that still leaves Winston shy of fantasy starter status. Those in leagues that dock points for interceptions may want to avoid Winston entirely, as his penchant for picks was the biggest on-field quibble scouts have with his game.

>>  Someone has to lose.  Don’t let it be you.  Click here and join The Huddle today!  <<

Join The Huddle

MARCUS MARIOTA, TITANS 1.2 (OREGON)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 15 445 304 68.3 4454 42 4 135 770 15
2013 13 386 245 63.5 3665 31 4 96 715 9
2012 13 336 230 68.5 2677 32 6 106 752 5

The Titans rejected offers from other interested parties and made Mariota the second overall selection behind Winston, ostensibly to replace incumbent Zach Mettenberger. That means Mariota will have to quickly digest what has been projected to be a steep learning curve in making the transition from spread offense to the pro game, picking up nuances like calling plays in the huddle and taking snaps from under center. On the bright side, Mariota will have an athletic group of pass catchers that includes holdovers Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter and fellow draft pick Dorial Green-Beckham. Plus you should be able to bank on some rushing stats from Mariota, as all Tennessee’s backfield brings to the table is Bishop Sankey, Shonn Greene and fifth-rounder David Cobb. If Mariota can put up Colin Kaepernick-Cam Newton rushing numbers—something along the lines of 500-600 yards and four or five TDs—all he would need to do is match Tennessee’s pedestrian passing numbers from a year ago to push for every-week fantasy starter status.

BRETT HUNDLEY, PACKERS 5.11 (UCLA)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 13 392 271 69.1 3155 22 5 159 644 10
2013 13 369 248 67.2 3071 24 9 160 748 11
2012 14 479 319 66.6 3745 29 11 160 355 9

Widely considered the third-best quarterback in this draft class, Hundley lasted until the fifth round and will get to train under Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay—a path to success that has worked for the likes of Matt Hasselbeck, Mark Brunell and others. Hundley has all the physical tools to be an NFL quarterback; it’s issues like accuracy and progressions that gave scouts pause. Worst-case he’s talented insurance for a Packers team that has struggled mightily when Rodgers has been injured; best-case he develops into a starter-level quarterback who nets Green Bay a tidy ROI—or allows the Pack to once again transition seamlessly from one franchise quarterback to another.

BRYCE PETTY, JETS 4.4 (BAYLOR)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 12 428 270 63.1 3855 29 7 84 101 6
2013 13 403 250 62.0 4200 32 3 94 209 14
2012 6 10 7 70.0 97 1 0 10 13 1
2011 6 4 3 75.0 43 0 0 4 15 0

While no other rookie signal caller is likely to see significant playing time this season, Petty has the clearest path to the field as New York’s new management is not beholden to Geno Smith. Petty faces the same learning curve as Mariota, but he has NFL-caliber size, arm and intangibles so he’s worthy of later dynasty consideration.

GARRETT GRAYSON, SAINTS 3.11 (COLORADO STATE)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 13 420 270 64.3 4006 32 7 57 -46 0
2013 14 478 297 62.1 3696 23 11 69 119 2
2012 6 138 78 56.5 946 7 3 39 13 1
2011 4 77 43 55.8 542 2 6 47 193 1

The first quarterback off the board after Winston and Mariota went 1-2, Grayson is a functional quarterback with good mobility who gets to study under Drew Brees and Sean Payton. If the Saints are transitioning to a run-heavy offense Grayson might be their quarterback of the future, which is hardly a ringing fantasy endorsement.

SEAN MANNION, RAMS 3.25 (OREGON STATE)

Year Gms Att Comp % PaYds PaTDs Int Rush RuYds RuTDs
2014 12 453 282 62.3 3164 15 8 48 -306 1
2013 13 603 400 66.3 4662 37 15 34 -223 0
2012 9 309 200 64.7 2446 15 13 18 -85 0
2011 12 473 305 64.5 3328 16 18 32 -190 1

Mannion isn’t going to carry a team, but he has the size (6-6, 229) NFL teams love and is capable of doing enough to warrant a “game manager” label. With development he could be the guy handing off to Todd Gurley at some point down the road, though that doesn’t project to much in the way of fantasy reward.

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

THE LATEST

More Huddle
Home