Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs. NO

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs. NO


Game Predictions & Player Projections - DAL vs. NO

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Prediction: DAL 20, NO 22 (Line: NO by OFF)

UPDATE: Drew Brees is probable to play and had limited practices all week as did Brandin Cooks. Both are expected to play.

For the first half the Cowboys looked like they would end up 3-0 but the Falcons reversed the script and the Boys are now looking as badly as was feared. The Saints drop to 0-3 and already trail in the NFC South 0-2. So far the Saints offense has played mediocre no matter how good or bad the opponent has been. Both teams are struggling and the Cowboys are on the road. A coin flip game but DC Rob Ryan will enjoy not facing Tony Romo and Dez Bryant.

The Cowboys won 38-17 when the Saints visited last year.

Dallas Cowboys

1 NYG 27-26 10 @TB ——
2 @PHI 20-10 11 @MIA ——
3 ATL 28-39 12 CAR ——
4 @NO —— 13 @WAS ——
5 NE —— 14 @GB ——
6 BYE —— 15 NYJ ——
7 @NYG —— 16 @BUF ——
8 SEA —— 17 WAS ——
9 PHI ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Lance Dunbar 10 8-50
RB Darren McFadden 30 3-20
RB Alfred Morris 50
WR Cole Beasley 5-40
WR Terrance Williams 2-30
TE Jason Witten 8-60,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: It looked like maybe the Cowboys were going to get away without a passing offense but the Falcons made all the adjustments and then just bull dozed their way to a win in Dallas last week. The schedule does not improve either since the Patriots come to Dallas in Week 5 and in Week 8 after the bye the Seahawks come calling. This week will show whether or not the Side B Cowboys have a chance without their stars.

QUARTERBACK : The Cowboys signed Matt Cassel for position depth but there is no plan to move away from Brandon Weeden. He threw for 232 yards on the Falcons but had no scores and one interception. He completed 22 of 26 passes but but 12 went to running backs and eight more went to Jason Witten. The lack of downfield success is not going to make this offense competitive when the rushing game is slowed.

RUNNING BACK : Joseph Randle was on fire in the first half of the loss to the Falcons. He ran for three touchdowns and ended with 87 yards on 14 carries but did very little in the second half. Darren McFadden ran six times for 35 yards and a score but had no receptions and he too was ineffective after halftime. Lance Dunbar became Weeden’s best friend with ten catches for 100 yards and almost all of that was in the second half. A three man committee still and one that defenses figured out and shut down.

WIDE RECEIVER : With Weeden at the helm, Terrence Williams had no catches on two targets. Cole Beasley ended with four catches for 49 yards which is about where he ends up every week regardless. Devin Street had his first catch of the year and his only catch of the year. Everything that Weeden threw was short and he only tossed eight targets to all wideouts combined.

TIGHT END : Jason Witten maintained his same level of production with six catches for 65 yards last week. But he only scored in week one and has been stuck right around that 60 yard mark every week. With eight targets, he was the second best receiver for Weeden behind only Dunbar.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Saints have been weak in the secondary but only in away games. The rushing defense is about average though better at home and they have given up just one touchdown to a running back. There is no element of the passing game worth a consideration here other than Witten who goes against a defense that gave up a monster game to Greg Olsen last week. The three-headed backfield still has Randle as the best play but he will be on the road this week and he’s been mostly mediocre aside from the first half of last week.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 20 1 29 4 13 29
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 31 18 10 31 29 15

New Orleans Saints

1 @ARI 19-31 10 @WAS ——
2 TB 19-26 11 BYE ——
3 @CAR 22-27 12 @HOU ——
4 DAL —— 13 CAR ——
5 @PHI —— 14 @TB ——
6 ATL —— 15 DET ——
7 @IND —— 16 JAC ——
8 NYG —— 17 @ATL ——
9 TEN ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 270,1
RB Mark Ingram 80,1 2-10
RB C.J. Spiller 10 5-30
WR Brandon Coleman 3-30
WR Brandin Cooks 8-90,1
TE Coby Fleener 3-20
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Saints were better than expected when they lost in Carolina since Drew Brees did not play. But Luke McCown still threw for 310 yards and the running backs were no worse than they have been. It would be easy enough to explain away the previous road losses but Week 2 at home they lost to the Buccaneers. That throws everything into doubt since there still has not been any visible improvement to the offense that clearly misses Jimmy Graham’s impact.

QUARTERBACK : Drew Brees should play this week barring any setbacks. He’s only thrown one touchdown in each game that he played but the yardage has been solid. His sprained rotator cuff was only slightly sprained and he said himself he expected to play this week.

RUNNING BACK : This is a disappointment and a step down from last year. Mark Ingram scored twice this year but has yet to run for more than 53 yards and his freakish eight catches in Week 1 have not been repeated. C. J. Spiller has been back for two games now but only totals four runs for 11 yards and three catches for 41 yards as a complete nonfactor. The entire offense is sluggish and neither the rushing nor passing offense has been able to support each other. Ingram remains a fantasy starter but never more than as an RB2 or RB3.

WIDE RECEIVER : Major disappointment. For a offense that traded away their primary receiver in Jimmy Graham, no one has stepped up to fill the void. Brandin Cooks has yet to score and is averaging only five catches for about 60 yards per game. Marques Colston has not scored and tops out at 69 yards. The undrafted rookie Brandon Coleman opened the season with a touchdown but has been very quiet since. Both the Cardinals and Panthers have solid pass defenses but nothing changed with the Bucs were the visitors.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The new Cowboys without offensive stars will play a different game and that affects their defense. Last week they gave up 141 yards and three touchdowns to Devonta Freeman. Matt Ryan threw for a healthy 285 yards and two scores using nothing more than Julio Jones but no such star receiver exists here. But this is the Cowboys first trip away from home with their new reality. Brees is worth a start at home and at least Cooks merits a WR3 role with some upside that could be significant if Brees is truly healthy. Ingram is the only running back to consider and should be no worse than a RB2 level with a chance for a very good game.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 27 7 17 30 20 20
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 6 21 14 3 24 23

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