Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. MIA

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. MIA


Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. MIA

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Prediction: NYJ 24, MIA 16 (Line: NYJ by 2.5)

UPDATE: Eric Decker is questionable this week because of his knee and was able to have limited practice the last two days. He will be a game time decision so I am leaving him out of the projections. Chris Ivory and Darrelle Revis are both expected to play on Sunday. Jordan Cameron is listed as questionable again and was limited in practices but he was questionable last week and played. He is expected to be good to go.

The 2-1 Jets finally dropped a game and of course it was at home against their easiest opponent so far. The 1-2 Dolphins were just humbled by the Bills and still have not generated the offense that was expected. These divisional rivals traded road wins last year. The Jets won 37-24 in Miami while the Dolphins won 16-13 in New York. A coin flip game, the Jets are on a better roll than the Fins and can take this.

New York Jets

1 CLE 31-10 10 BUF ——
2 @IND 20-7 11 @HOU ——
3 PHI 17-24 12 MIA ——
4 @MIA —— 13 @NYG ——
5 BYE —— 14 TEN ——
6 WAS —— 15 @DAL ——
7 @NE —— 16 NE ——
8 @OAK —— 17 @BUF ——
9 JAC ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Matt Forte 70,1 4-30
WR Quincy Enunwa 6-70
WR Brandon Marshall 8-100,2
WR Devin Smith 4-60
PK Nick Folk 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jets were without Chris Ivory and Eric Decker last week and that made at least a small difference. But the passing offense still produced similar stats and the game was as much about the Jets overlooking the previously winless Eagles. There’s only a bye on the other side of this game so getting players back will be key to winning this game.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Fitzpatrick has been consistent with exactly two touchdowns per game and he threw for a season high 283 yards versus the Eagles but also tossed three interceptions. He’s mostly a game manager but is able to take advantage of a weak secondary. Even without Decker last week, Fitzpatrick had a season high yardage but that also reflected trailing in the game and the lack of rushing success.

RUNNING BACK : Chris Ivory is expected to return this week and was able to play last Sunday according to him. Bilal Powell isn’t nearly good enough to be a feature back and the Jets still won’t use Zac Stacy for more than a cameo. The offense prefers to go through Ivory when possible and he has both rushing scores for the Jets.

WIDE RECEIVER : Eric Decker missed last week with a sprained PCL but he could be back as early as this week. With just a bye next week, they could elect to give him two more weeks to heal up. I’ll assume he’ll be held out again and add him later if warranted. Chris Owusu was also out last week after getting a knee scope and could miss one as well.

Brandon Marshall has no problem being alone. He just scored in his third straight game as a Jet and turned in a season best ten catches for 109 yards. His misguided attempt to lateral the ball to Jeff Cumberland was one of the reasons why the Jets lost to the Eagles but he’s been a solid add to the team this year and already the clear #1 wideout.

Devin Smith helped out with Osuwu and Decker out. The rookie received nine targets and ended with three catches for 39 yards in his first NFL action. He won’t carry much fantasy value any time soon but it’s a positive sign that the rookie speedster has already started getting into games.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Dolphins defense has been worse than their rankings suggest. They’ve already allowed six passing touchdowns despite facing only Kirk Cousins, Blake Bortles and Tyrod Taylor. They’ve already allowed two 100 yard rushers. Add in that the Fins have no rushing game and face two of the best corners in the league and the Jets should have plenty of rushing attempts and success passing even without Decker. Ivory (if healthy) and Marshall are strong plays this week and Fitzpatrick has a shot at nice stats as well. No other Jets offer enough production or reliability for consideration.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 18 20 4 32 15 7
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 15 15 23 22 26 18

Miami Dolphins

1 @WAS 17-10 10 @PHI ——
2 @JAC 20-23 11 DAL ——
3 BUF 14-41 12 @NYJ ——
4 NYJ —— 13 BAL ——
5 BYE —— 14 NYG ——
6 @TEN —— 15 @SD ——
7 HOU —— 16 IND ——
8 @NE —— 17 NE ——
9 @BUF ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 240,1
WR Jarvis Landry 8-80
WR DeVante Parker 2-20
TE Jordan Cameron 5-50,1
PK Andrew Franks 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: Tough times for a Dolphins team that was expected to take the next step up as an offense but has instead gone tumbling down the stairs. The rushing effort that was a pleasant surprise in 2014 has nearly evaporated and Ryan Tannehill is getting the majority of his stats late in games while limiting himself to just two wideouts. That’s not going to be a recipe for success against two of the best corners in the league this week.

QUARTERBACK : While Ryan Tannehill threw for 297 yards and two scores against the Bills, that was mostly in second half in a game that they were never really in. He has yet to connect much with Jordan Cameron and none of the new wide receivers have contributed. Tannehill also threw three interceptions versus the Bills and that bodes poorly facing the Jets secondary this week.

RUNNING BACK : It is bad enough that Lamar Miller has not scored and was limited to only moderate total yardage each week. But now Jonas Gray is healthy and he took nine runs for 49 yards last week. Miller is not good enough to be part of a committee and still shine in fantasy points. The Dolphins have yet to stick with the run in any game and Miller’s busiest effort was in the win over the Jaguars when he turned in 15 touches for just 42 total yards. This week’s usage of Gray will be interesting since the Jets generally play solid rush defense as well and Miller cannot afford to share carries.

WIDE RECEIVER : The good news is that the rookie DeVante Parker is improving and drawing praise from OC Bill Lazor. He received seven targets in the loss to the Bills and ended with three receptions for 46 yards. But the offense has been largely limited to Jarvis Landry and Rishard Matthews. Landry has exactly eight catches per game but no scores and only averages only 80 yards per game. Matthews caught all three of the wideout touchdowns this year and topped 100 yards in each of the last two games. But no one else is contributing much.

The progress of Parker will go a long ways to helping this offense become more diversified – something that will matter greatly facing good defenses like the Jets.

TIGHT END : Jordan Cameron still has not scored or caught more than four passes in any game. He is averaging only around 50 yards per week despite being one of the most targeted receivers. Even worse, he’s been progressively less productive each week so far. It is only a matter of time before he assumes a bigger role in the offense but his slow start has been painful for fantasy owners.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is the problem. The Jets are going to be up for this divisional game and the Fins are struggling on offense. So far the only wideouts with any success against them have been #3 or #4 wide receivers for their team since Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie are shutting down the outside receivers. Landry in the slot should still maintain his moderate production but Matthews draws Revis and Parker gets Cromartie. That’s going to force Tannehill to look for Landry and Cameron should see more targets as well. The Jets have not faced a team that uses their tight end much. Landry looks like the best start here and all others are risky at best.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 11 27 13 14 29 25
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 5 9 9 2 2 16

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