Game Predictions & Player Projections - OAK vs. CHI

Game Predictions & Player Projections - OAK vs. CHI


Game Predictions & Player Projections - OAK vs. CHI

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Prediction: OAK 27, CHI 23 (Line: OAK by 3)

UPDATE: Jay Cutler and Alshon Jeffery are both listed as questionable. Both had limited practices in all three days and Jeffery is already unexpected to play. Cutler’s status has not yet been determined and will be considered on Saturday. He could be a game time decision. I am dropping Jeffery from the projections and lowering the passing numbers. I am projecting for Clausen but Cutler may play.

The Raiders are 2-1 and playing far better than expected – at least on offense. The 0-3 Bears are back at home after being shut out in Seattle where not having Alshon Jeffery or Jay Cutler made a bad situation even worse. This offense was nothing more than Matt Forte last week but will be better at home. The Raiders passing offense is making big strides this year and the Bears poor secondary will again be their biggest problem.

Oakland Raiders

1 CIN 13-33 10 MIN ——
2 BAL 37-33 11 @DET ——
3 @CLE 27-20 12 @TEN ——
4 @CHI —— 13 KC ——
5 DEN —— 14 @DEN ——
6 BYE —— 15 GB ——
7 @SD —— 16 SD ——
8 NYJ —— 17 @KC ——
9 @PIT ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Carr 310,2
RB Latavius Murray 80,1 3-20
WR Amari Cooper 7-120,1
WR Michael Crabtree 5-80,1
TE Mychal Rivera 2-20
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Granted the defense is still not helping much but Derek Carr and Amari Cooper have already made this season an obvious improvement over 2014. And in fantasy terms, nothing is wrong with the Raiders getting into a shootout every week. Next week hosting the Broncos won’t be nearly as much fun but going against the weak Bears secondary should be the third straight game for big fantasy points.

QUARTERBACK : When Derek Carr missed the first game, Matt McGloin still had two passing scores against the Bengals. But with Carr back for two weeks, he’s been on fire with 300+ passing yards and a total of five touchdowns over those games. Carr is not just limiting himself to Amari Cooper either. He’s thrown all five touchdowns to the wideouts and involved four different receivers. He’s tossing plenty of balls to Cooper but he’s not limiting himself to the rookie.

RUNNING BACK : Latavius Murray ran in a score in each of the last two games – against the Ravens and Browns. He had a season best 26 runs for 139 yards in Cleveland though that included a 54-yard run later in the game. Murray has dominated all the action in the backfield and offers receiving ability as well. He’s already become a RB1 since he’s one of the shrinking number of backs who take almost all the workload without sharing.

WIDE RECEIVER : This year the rookie wideouts are far less productive than 2014 (which means back to normal) but Amari Cooper is already blowing up. He caught seven passes for 109 yards and a score versus the Ravens and then turned in eight receptions for 134 yards in Cleveland despite the attempts of Joe Haden to cover him. Michael Crabtree had just one great game so far and two that failed to produce even 40 yards. The rest of the wideouts are not productive in catches or yardage but they do score. Andre Holmes caught a touchdown in Cleveland on his only catch and Seth Roberts scored in both of the last two games. Cooper is already a superstar in the making but the rest contribute at least with occasional scores.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Carr has already tore up the Ravens and Browns secondary and the Bears sport one of the weakest secondaries in the league. Aaron Rodgers and Carson Palmer combined for seven touchdowns and that was on just about 24 passes each before the game was realistically over. The rushing defense is nothing special as well. No matter that this is a road game -Carr, Murray, and Cooper are must starts and even Crabtree is worth a nod for this game. If Cutler returns, it will only help drive up the passing stats here from a shootout.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 8 6 7 31 9 22
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 21 12 27 12 28 29

Chicago Bears

1 GB 23-31 10 @STL ——
2 ARI 23-48 11 DEN ——
3 @SEA 0-26 12 @GB ——
4 OAK —— 13 SF ——
5 @KC —— 14 WAS ——
6 @DET —— 15 @MIN ——
7 BYE —— 16 @TB ——
8 MIN —— 17 DET ——
9 @SD ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Josh Bellamy 3-40
WR Eddie Royal 4-40
WR Marquess Wilson 2-30
PK Robbie Gould 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The spanking in Seattle was as bad as feared – a shutout that limited the Raiders to only 161 yards of total offense and only 63 passing yards. Jay Cutler may return this week but HC John Fox will be evasive and likely call him a game time decision. This is no longer the easy game it once seemed though it will be the softest defense that the Bears will face all year. If Cutler and Alshon Jeffery both return, some very nice fantasy points should result.

QUARTERBACK : Jimmy Clausen was hopelessly outmatched in Seattle and did not have his best receiver playing as well. Jay Cutler’s hamstring may still be an issue and only practice reports are going to clarify his status this week. Though the Bears staff are not forthcoming on him, everyone else thinks he will miss at least two weeks so I will rule him out and update if needed.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte was limited to 74 yards on 20 carries in Seattle which in itself was a miracle. But he missed all three of his targets. Back at home will be far better this week and the return of either Cutler or Jeffery would make a major difference for what Forte has to face. He is still a lock for 100 total yards in a home game so far.

WIDE RECEIVER : This crew is shockingly bad this year and none have managed more than 59 yards in any game. But Alshon Jeffery himself said he would be returning and with that a chance that the passing offense might get a kick start. Eddie Royal has added nothing to this offense and only Jeffery is likely to matter this year. That’s not enough facing a good defense but his return will help the Bears compete against the weaker secondary of the Raiders.

TIGHT END : Martellus Bennett still has just one touchdown this season and hasn’t been productive in the face of the Arizona and Seattle defenses. The schedule is getting lighter for the next month and that will help Bennett to get back on the right track, assuming that Cutler returns.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This game could be a huge disappointment if Clausen plays and Jeffery does not. Matt Forte would be the only reasonable play in that case but assuming the return Jeffery, both become fantasy relevant this week against the defense that has not faced many good passers and that Steve Smith dinged for 150 yards. Bennett is a must play as well since of the six passing scores allowed by the Raiders, five have ended up with a tight end and not a good tight end. Tight ends like Crockett Gillmore (5-88, 2 TDs) and Gary Barnridge (6-105, TD). Clausen is not worthy of a start here despite the seemingly good matchup.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 31 17 31 17 12 32
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 26 19 13 32 32 6

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