Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIN vs. CHI

Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIN vs. CHI


Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIN vs. CHI

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Prediction: MIN 23, CHI 17 (Line: MIN by 2)

The 4-2 Vikings are on a two game winning streak but are just 1-2 on the road. The 2-4 Bears come off an overtime loss in Detroit that was a back breaker. The last three games for the Bears were decided by three points or less. The Vikings defense is making the difference and should help carry this game as well.

These teams traded home wins in 2014. The Vikings won 13-9 in Minnesota while the Bears won 21-13 in Chicago.

Minnesota Vikings

1 @SF 3-20 10 @OAK ——
2 DET 26-16 11 GB ——
3 SD 31-14 12 @ATL ——
4 @DEN 20-23 13 SEA ——
5 BYE —— 14 @ARI ——
6 KC 16-10 15 CHI ——
7 @DET 28-19 16 NYG ——
8 @CHI —— 17 @GB ——
9 STL ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Teddy Bridgewater 240,2
RB Adrian Peterson 90 2-10
WR Stefon Diggs 7-100,1
WR Jarius Wright 3-50
TE Kyle Rudolph 2-10
PK Blair Walsh 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings came within a field goal in Denver of being on a five game winning-streak with a defense that has yet to allow more than 23 points to any opponent. The rushing effort with Adrian Peterson has become just good instead of great but the passing offense finally found a star and it wasn’t Charles Johnson, Mike Wallace or even Cordarrelle Patterson. It was a fifth round rookie out of Maryland who suddenly looks like the second coming of Randy Moss. This is a below average offense in many ways but in the end, it only has to score around 20 points each week to win games.

QUARTERBACK : Teddy Bridgewater comes off a career best 316 yards and two scores in Detroit. That was his first game with two scores and 300 yards. Bridgewater has been little more than a game manager with Adrian Peterson in the backfield but that alone is not enough to win. Credit Bridgewater for making Stefon Diggs’ hot start possible.

RUNNING BACK : Defenses are stacking up against Adrian Peterson which is nothing new. But he’d been held scoreless in four of six games and went three weeks since he last gained over 100 rushing yards. Peterson ended with 98 yards last week but 75 yards came on one run and otherwise he only had 18 runs to gain 23 yards in Detroit. His role as a receiver has yet to really transpire but he is good for 20+ carries almost every week.

WIDE RECEIVER : It is only a three week sample but Stefon Diggs could not have hoped for a better start. His debut in Denver ended with six catches for 87 yards versus the #1 secondary in the NFL. He caught seven passes for 129 yards against the Chiefs and then managed six receptions for 108 yards and his first touchdown just last week in Detroit. Mike Wallace has taken a step backwards and only managed one game with more than 50 yards since the season opener. Charles Johnson left injured in Week 3 and lost his starting spot to Diggs. All combined this unit only scored twice this year but at least Diggs is turning in the only good yardage of the group.

TIGHT END : No real fantasy value. Kyle Rudolph scored in both of the last two games but never had more than ten yards of production in either. He has never made any real dent into the game plan this season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bears are weakest against the pass and have always given up at least one passing touchdown if not up to four. The Vikings are not going to air it out anymore than needed but the weak secondary makes Diggs a must play against a defense that gave up 12 touchdowns to wide outs and three big yardage games as well. Wallace is even worth considering as a low-end flex play this week. Peterson goes against a rushing defense that has only allowed two rushing touchdowns all year and just one 100 yard rushing effort. Peterson is always worth the start but on the road he’s more likely to finish with just moderate yardage and possibly one score.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 31 12 21 25 4 15
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 27 7 30 6 27 25

Chicago Bears

1 GB 23-31 10 @STL ——
2 ARI 23-48 11 DEN ——
3 @SEA 0-26 12 @GB ——
4 OAK 22-20 13 SF ——
5 @KC 18-17 14 WAS ——
6 @DET 34-37 15 @MIN ——
7 BYE —— 16 @TB ——
8 MIN —— 17 DET ——
9 @SD ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 250,2
WR Alshon Jeffery 7-80,1
WR Eddie Royal 5-50
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bears are limited by their defense which has allowed an NFL high 29 points per game. But the offense is back to form with all players back to health and the bye week came none too soon. There’s still plenty of room for improvement for the offense when it comes to scoring but at least the toughest part of installing the new scheme is over and the full crew can look to a better second half of the season.

QUARTERBACK : Jay Cutler has not generated big fantasy points this year but he did manage to score every week at least one. His total of seven touchdowns is obviously light but at least he only threw four interceptions. Cutler threw for over 250 yards in each of the last three games.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte has scored just three times but that includes one in each of the last two games. Forte is still good for around 100 total yards or more in most weeks though his reception total lags his record 2014. The return of Alshon Jeffery seemed to have an adverse affect on Forte who only managed three catches for 20 yards in Detroit. Jeremy Langford also hawked a touchdown in the last game and Forte’s stats cannot afford much of that.

WIDE RECEIVER : The return of Alshon Jeffery will help this offense out in a big way. His four game absence saw Marquess Wilson turn in two 80+ yard efforts and score once but those were both against the worst secondaries (KC and OAK). Eddie Royal has done nothing to rekindle his previous success with Jay Cutler back in Denver and only scored once all year. Royal has yet to gain more than 54 yards in any game. This unit is below average when Jeffery is gone and in his first game back, he posted eight receptions for 147 yards and one score – about double what any other wideout has accomplished thus far.

TIGHT END : The return of Jeffery helps Martellus Bennett. While he is productive against softer defenses, he ends up being the focus of the secondary when Jeffery is out. Bennett scored twice this year and has been as good as 83 yards. And in Detroit with Jeffery there, Bennett still managed six receptions on 11 targets for 59 yards. He still received as many targets as Jeffery.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikings are solid against the pass with no team throwing for more than 282 yards or two scores. The Vikings have only allowed two runners to score all year as well and held almost all running backs to fewer than 50 rushing yards. Matt Forte is a must start each week but he’ll need his receptions more this week to maintain fantasy value. Cutler will do well enough to get two scores here and one should end up with Jeffery. Bennett faces the biggest weakness of this secondary and is worth as start this week. The Vikes allowed 80+ receiving yards to the only receiving tight ends that they have yet faced. Playing at home helps, but the Vikings defense is the real deal this year.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 27 17 26 16 5 29
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 7 10 8 26 6 13

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