Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. OAK

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. OAK


Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. OAK

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Prediction: NYJ 24, OAK 16 (Line: NYJ by 1.5)

UPDATE: Eric Decker is a game time decision this week because of his knee. He was held out on Wednesday and then was limited the rest of the week in practice. I am lowering his projections a bit because of the risk and this is a later afternoon game. Check his status before the game but be prepared to swap someone else in if needed.

The 4-2 Jets come off a loss to the Patriots and travel across the country to face the 3-3 Raiders who are only 1-2 at home. This is a coin flip game since the Jets come off a hard fought loss in New England and now have to travel again. The Raiders had a bye week to prepare for the Chargers and were impressive in beating them. This one could go either way but the Jets have the far better defense.

The Jets won 19-14 when the Raiders were the visitor in 2014.

New York Jets

1 CLE 31-10 10 BUF ——
2 @IND 20-7 11 @HOU ——
3 PHI 17-24 12 MIA ——
4 @MIA 27-14 13 @NYG ——
5 BYE —— 14 TEN ——
6 WAS 34-20 15 @DAL ——
7 @NE 23-30 16 NE ——
8 @OAK —— 17 @BUF ——
9 JAC ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Matt Forte 70 5-50
RB Khiry Robinson 20,1 2-20
WR Eric Decker 4-50
WR Brandon Marshall 7-100
PK Nick Folk 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Close loss to the Patriots hurts mostly because the game was in reach until Brandon Marshall dropped a goal line touchdown on third down and after the field goal the Pats were able to come back. The Jets defense is still one of the top units in the league and the only thing waiting in the other side is a home stand against the Jaguars. The Jets have to battle a letdown after last week. They have the ability to shut down Amari Cooper and that pops the balloon of the Raiders offense.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Fitzpatrick runs it up to five of six games with two touchdowns and moderate to good yardage. The only time he failed to throw for two scores was when Chris Ivory was shredding the Dolphins defense. Fitzpatrick may be locked at that two score ceiling but he’s always right there. He’s not a difference maker in fantasy but is no liability either.

RUNNING BACK : Chris Ivory has been nursing a hamstring injury and fell to only 41 yards on 17 carries in the loss to the Patriots. But he had two monster games in the previous weeks with over 140 rushing yards and a score. I’ll assume his hamstring is no issue this week and update if needed. HC Todd Bowles said the injury was just a mild quad strain.

Bilal Powell missed Week 7 with a sprained ankle and never practiced. I’ll assume that he cannot play and add him in if he is cleared. Zac Stacy replaced Powell but only accounted for 19 yards on seven runs and just one catch for 11 yards. Ivory is the only back with any real fantasy value.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brandon Marshall could be extra focused this week after dropping a touchdown that could have been a game changer in the loss to the Patriots. Marshall had a season low seven targets and only caught four for 67 yards. He was on a four game streak of 100+ yards and had never failed to score and/or top 100 yards this year. Eric Decker ended his four game streak of scoring a touchdown but still ended with 94 yards on six catches last Sunday. He rarely has more than 60 yards in a game but was rock solid with one touchdown catch per week. Jeremy Kerley filled in for the suspended Quincy Enunwa and scored once on his three catches for 27 yards.

Only Marshall and Decker are productive and consistent enough to merit any fantasy consideration.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. At all. Just three catches all year.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Raiders have been good against the run with only three rushing scores allowed this year and no one has broken 100 rushing yards so far. Add in Ivory on the road and possibly not 100% anyway and he makes just a moderate play for yardage this week. Fitzpatrick is a lock for two scores each week regardless who he faces and the Raiders gave up two or three scores in all but one game. The Raiders are the worst against tight ends but the Jets just never use the position for receptions. Seven of the 11 scoring passes they allowed went to a tight end. That makes the running back more likely to catch a score and Ivory did just that in New England last week. Both Marshall and Decker are starts this week but the Raiders have only allowed two scores to a wideout.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 15 9 6 32 8 14
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 24 19 11 32 30 10

Oakland Raiders

1 CIN 13-33 10 MIN ——
2 BAL 37-33 11 @DET ——
3 @CLE 27-20 12 @TEN ——
4 @CHI 20-22 13 KC ——
5 DEN 10-16 14 @DEN ——
6 BYE —— 15 GB ——
7 @SD 37-29 16 SD ——
8 NYJ —— 17 @KC ——
9 @PIT ——  
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Carr 210,1
RB Latavius Murray 40 3-20
WR Amari Cooper 4-40
WR Michael Crabtree 4-50
WR Seth Roberts 2-20,1
PK Sebastian Janikowski 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders came up big against the Chargers last week and led 30-3 at one point. That keeps them at .500 but the next month will be a challenge against good defenses and three road games in the four weeks following this matchup. The win over the Chargers reversed a two week slide that saw the passing stats fall off and Latavius Murray benched. Now the Raiders just need to establish consistency but the schedule is going to make that a challenge.

QUARTERBACK : Derek Carr fell to only three scores over Weeks 4 and 5 and threw for just 196 and 249 yards respectively. Last week in San Diego, he threw for 289 yards and three scores with no turnovers. Carr’s productivity relies most heavily on connecting with the starting wideouts and that will be an issue this week facing two of the best cornerbacks in the game.

RUNNING BACK : Latavius Murray was pulled from two games and fell to only around 60 total yards in those losses to the Bears and Broncos. But he turned in 15 carries for 85 yards and a score in San Diego with a season low one catch for one yard. Murray is the only back with any measure of success for the Raiders and yet he was limited to 15 carries or less in all but one game. No other back has rushed in a score or gained more than 35 yards in any game. Marcel Reece has three touchdown receptions but he provides nearly nothing in games when he does not score.

WIDE RECEIVER : Amari Cooper was stuck for two weeks with around 50 yards per game though he scored in Chicago. Against the Chargers he was back to elite numbers with five catches for 133 yards and one score. That was his third 100 yard game of the year. Michael Crabtree also scored on his six catches for 63 yards but only tallied one other touchdown this year back in Week 2. Crabtree’s performance is very sensitive to the talent of the defense. He’s just a moderate play for yardage in most weeks. No other wideouts here matter or even have a catch in most weeks.

TIGHT END : The rookie Clive Walford was drafted with the 3.04 pick this year to become the eventual receiving tight end for the Raiders but he’s only managed five catches all year. He scored for the first time in the win over the Chargers when he caught a 23-yard strike from Carr. None of the tight ends here are worth considering but at least Walford is taking a small step in the right direction.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is where the fun of last week gets erased. The Jets are #1 against running backs and Murray doesn’t need a lot to get knocked off track. Expect a down game for the only runner the Raiders have. And Amari Cooper will match on CB Darrelle Revis on most plays. CB Antonio Cromartie faces Crabtree. Expect a down game from all the notable players for the Raiders. Unfortunately their offensive strengths matches up with the best strengths of the Jets defense. If the Jets are playing flat because of the emotional loss to the Pats and the long plane trip it will help but that’s not certain until after kickoff.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 14 8 12 29 14 26
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 8 1 10 15 5 7

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