Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers

Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers

Strength of Schedule

Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Receivers

2015 Receiving Fantasy Points
Allowed
Per Game
20 Best
Matchups
20 Worst
Matchups
@NO 41.9 @MIA 27.6
@PIT 38.1 @NE 27.4
TB 36.7 @DAL 27.0
@NYG 36.5 @SEA 26.7
NO 36.5 @LA 26.5
PHI 36.4 @CIN 26.2
@TEN 36.2 @ARI 26.2
WAS 35.9 @KC 26.1
NE 35.7 @SD 25.4
SF 35.5 @HOU 24.4
IND 35.3 @SF 24.3
@CLE 35.2 @CAR 24.1
@BAL 35.1 @NYJ 24.0
JAC 35.1 @GB 23.9
@DET 34.4 DEN 23.3
CLE 33.3 SEA 23.1
KC 33.0 CHI 22.9
NYJ 32.8 @DEN 22.6
@PHI 32.6 DAL 21.9
PIT 32.4 @ATL 20.0

The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen – facing each defense either home or away.

To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.

Three different views are given below – Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule – “draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks”.

This analysis considers both tight ends and wide receivers awarded 0.1 points per received yard and six point touchdowns.

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Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season) Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule) Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
SOS Good Bad SOS Good Bad SOS Good Bad
BAL 4 7 3 OAK 4 4 0 BUF 2 2 0
CHI 3 6 3 WAS 4 5 1 CHI 2 2 0
CIN 3 8 5 BAL 3 3 0 DAL 2 2 0
CLE 3 6 3 PHI 3 3 0 PHI 2 2 0
DAL 3 6 3 ARI 2 3 1 BAL 1 2 1
PHI 3 6 3 CLE 2 3 1 CIN 1 2 1
PIT 3 6 3 PIT 2 3 1 DEN 1 2 1
WAS 3 7 4 BUF 1 3 2 HOU 1 1 0
BUF 2 7 5 CAR 1 3 2 TB 1 2 1
DEN 2 5 3 KC 1 2 1 WAS 1 1 0
OAK 2 5 3 ATL 0 2 2 CAR 0 0 0
ATL 1 5 4 CHI 0 2 2 CLE 0 0 0
CAR 1 5 4 DET 0 1 1 IND 0 0 0
DET 1 5 4 HOU 0 2 2 LA 0 1 1
MIN 1 4 3 JAC 0 1 1 MIN 0 1 1
NYG 1 6 5 MIN 0 1 1 NE 0 1 1
ARI 0 6 6 NE 0 1 1 NO 0 1 1
KC 0 5 5 NO 0 1 1 NYG 0 1 1
GB -1 3 4 NYG 0 2 2 SD 0 1 1
HOU -1 3 4 SD 0 2 2 ARI -1 1 2
JAC -1 3 4 TEN 0 2 2 ATL -1 1 2
MIA -1 5 6 DEN -1 1 2 DET -1 1 2
TEN -1 4 5 GB -1 0 1 GB -1 0 1
IND -2 3 5 MIA -1 2 3 JAC -1 0 1
NE -2 3 5 SEA -1 1 2 KC -1 0 1
NYJ -2 4 6 LA -2 1 3 MIA -1 0 1
SD -2 4 6 NYJ -2 1 3 OAK -1 1 2
SEA -2 3 5 CIN -3 1 4 PIT -1 0 1
LA -3 3 6 DAL -3 0 3 SEA -1 0 1
SF -3 4 7 IND -3 0 3 SF -1 1 2
NO -5 2 7 SF -3 0 3 NYJ -2 0 2
TB -8 2 10 TB -4 0 4 TEN -2 0 2

Notable Schedules

Kamar Aiken/Mike Wallace (Ravens) – Steve Smith will remain the #1 target assuming the 37-year-old wideout can remain healthy.  Aiken already had 75 catches for 944 yards in 2015. Mike Wallace comes over from the Vikings where he slumped inside one of the NFL’s least productive passing offenses. But 2016 serves up the most advantageous schedule with four great venues in the first six weeks and ending with tilts against the Eagles and at the Steelers. A healthy Ravens team should be a lock to improve over last year.

Alshon Jeffery/Kevin White (Bears) – Jeffery needs no real help to excel other than a healthy stretch of games. But White lost his rookie season to a severe shin splint after being the second wideout drafted in 2015 (1.07).  He wasn’t hard to hype this year anyway and now starts his career with one of the best schedules in the league. After Week 7, White will not face any of the toughest 20 venues from last year and ends the fantasy season with four of his final five games at home.

Brandon LaFell/Tyler Boyd (Bengals) – There is a battle for the #2 spot across from A.J. Green and whoever wins that probably won’t be a ton of help for the first six weeks with a rocky schedule. But the next nine games have seven going against softer secondaries and that will loom large as either LaFell or Boyd get used to the offense and make their mark more later in the year.

Mike Evans/Vincent Jackson (Buccaneers) – Evans spent time with Jameis Winston to hone their chemistry and correct his NFL-leading tendency to drop passes.  And Jackson comes off one of his worst seasons in part because of a shoulder injury. But trying to improve their combined 107 receptions for 1749 yards and just six touchdowns will be a challenge against the worst schedule for receivers in the NFL. Their only bright spot comes at the end of the year when they face the Saints twice. Otherwise, they’ll square off against ten of the worst venues that include the defenses of the Cardinals, Broncos, Panthers, Chiefs and Seahawks.

Week – By – Week

Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI NE TB @BUF LA @SF NYJ SEA @CAR BYE SF @MIN @ATL WAS @MIA NO @SEA
ATL TB @OAK @NO CAR @DEN @SEA SD GB @TB @PHI BYE ARI KC @LA SF @CAR
BAL BUF @CLE @JAC OAK WAS @NYG @NYJ BYE PIT CLE @DAL CIN MIA @NE PHI @PIT
BUF @BAL NYJ ARI @NE @LA SF @MIA NE @SEA BYE @CIN JAC @OAK PIT CLE MIA
CAR @DEN SF MIN @ATL TB @NO BYE ARI @LA KC NO @OAK @SEA SD @WAS ATL
CHI @HOU PHI @DAL DET @IND JAC @GB MIN BYE @TB @NYG TEN SF @DET GB WAS
CIN @NYJ @PIT DEN MIA @DAL @NE CLE WAS BYE @NYG BUF @BAL PHI @CLE PIT @HOU
CLE @PHI BAL @MIA @WAS NE @TEN @CIN NYJ DAL @BAL PIT NYG BYE CIN @BUF SD
DAL NYG @WAS CHI @SF CIN @GB BYE PHI @CLE @PIT BAL WAS @MIN @NYG TB DET
DEN CAR IND @CIN @TB ATL @SD HOU SD @OAK @NO BYE KC @JAC @TEN NE @KC
DET @IND TEN @GB @CHI PHI LA WAS @HOU @MIN BYE JAC MIN @NO CHI @NYG @DAL
GB @JAC @MIN DET BYE NYG DAL CHI @ATL IND @TEN @WAS @PHI HOU SEA @CHI MIN
HOU CHI KC @NE TEN @MIN IND @DEN DET BYE @JAC @OAK SD @GB @IND JAC CIN
IND DET @DEN SD @JAC CHI @HOU @TEN KC @GB BYE TEN PIT @NYJ HOU @MIN @OAK
JAC GB @SD BAL IND BYE @CHI OAK @TEN @KC HOU @DET @BUF DEN MIN @HOU TEN
KC SD @HOU NYJ @PIT BYE @OAK NO @IND JAC @CAR TB @DEN @ATL OAK TEN DEN
LA @SF SEA @TB @ARI BUF @DET NYG BYE CAR @NYJ MIA @NO @NE ATL @SEA SF
MIA @SEA @NE CLE @CIN TEN PIT BUF BYE NYJ @SD @LA SF @BAL ARI @NYJ @BUF
MIN @TEN GB @CAR NYG HOU BYE @PHI @CHI DET @WAS ARI @DET DAL @JAC IND @GB
NE @ARI MIA HOU BUF @CLE CIN @PIT @BUF BYE SEA @SF @NYJ LA BAL @DEN NYJ
NO OAK @NYG ATL @SD BYE CAR @KC SEA @SF DEN @CAR LA DET @TB @ARI TB
NYG @DAL NO WAS @MIN @GB BAL @LA BYE PHI CIN CHI @CLE @PIT DAL DET @PHI
NYJ CIN @BUF @KC SEA @PIT @ARI BAL @CLE @MIA LA BYE NE IND @SF MIA @NE
OAK @NO ATL @TEN @BAL SD KC @JAC @TB DEN BYE HOU CAR BUF @KC @SD IND
PHI CLE @CHI PIT BYE @DET @WAS MIN @DAL @NYG ATL @SEA GB @CIN WAS @BAL NYG
PIT @WAS CIN @PHI KC NYJ @MIA NE BYE @BAL DAL @CLE @IND NYG @BUF @CIN BAL
SD @KC JAC @IND NO @OAK DEN @ATL @DEN TEN MIA BYE @HOU TB @CAR OAK @CLE
SEA MIA @LA SF @NYJ BYE ATL @ARI @NO BUF @NE PHI @TB CAR @GB LA ARI
SF LA @CAR @SEA DAL ARI @BUF TB BYE NO @ARI NE @MIA @CHI NYJ @ATL @LA
TB @ATL @ARI LA DEN @CAR BYE @SF OAK ATL CHI @KC SEA @SD NO @DAL @NO
TEN MIN @DET OAK @HOU @MIA CLE IND JAC @SD GB @IND @CHI BYE DEN @KC @JAC
WAS PIT DAL @NYG CLE @BAL PHI @DET @CIN BYE MIN GB @DAL @ARI @PHI CAR @CHI

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