Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 7

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 7

DFS

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 7

One of the most frustrating parts of DFS is not being able to fit all of your star players under the designated salary. Each week The Huddle will look at several value picks and sleepers at each position that could help you free up some valuable cap space for the studs you want to play.

CODY KESSLER, QB, BROWNS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6600 11% 15.1%
DraftKings $5000 10% 15.8%

Tom Brady comes in at 15% of your salary in both Draft Kings and Fan Duel this week, and The Huddle currently has Kessler ranked 13th – projecting 260 yards, 2 TDs and no INTs. 4-5% savings at the QB position is a great deal if you feel confident in Kessler’s match up against the Bengals. Head coach Hue Jackson knows the Bengals well, and has shown no aversion to throwing the ball, regardless of who is under center. Even if Kessler doesn’t get the ball in the end zone twice, he will at least spend most of the game throwing. Cincinnati has the 7th worst pass defense in the league, which is something you we can take advantage of in our DFS lineups.

GENO SMITH, QB, JETS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5000 8.3% 15.1%
DraftKings $5000 10% 15.8%

I had said Monday night on The Huddle’s Blitzed Podcast that I felt Fitzpatrick would be a good candidate to roll the dice with in DFS leagues. On Wednesday, the Jets announced that Geno Smith would start against the Ravens 13th ranked passing defense on Sunday. Smith will be without Eric Decker, but will still have Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte and Quincy Enuwa to pass to. The Ravens have given up a good deal of points to opposing quarterback, so Geno (coming in at less than 10% in Fan Duel leagues) could be a very sneaky play at QB this week. And as Brandon Marshall put it, “it’s been great to see this guy really grow… really punch adversity in the face.”

Other Considerations:  Landry Jones is back! Like most weeks, the “other considerations of quarterbacks” section has been fairly reserved for QBs who are stepping in on a short term basis at a ridiculously cheap cost. Landry Jones will run you $6,200 in Fan Duel and $5,000 in Draft Kings; more expensive than Geno and less expensive than Kessler. The Steelers are up against a tough New England team, but he does have Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell and Sammie Coates, which is a lot more than Smith and Kessler can say.

SHAUN DRAUGHN, RB, 49ERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $4500 7.5% 15%
DraftKings $3000 6% 16%

As of Wednesday night, Carlos Hyde has missed every practice this week. Draughn isn’t so much a sexy pick as it is taking advantage of a starter missing out on an ideal matchup; In six weeks, Tampa Bay is 23rd against the run in the NFL. In what will be Colin Kaepernick’s second outing of the season, the Huddle has Hyde projected to put up 90 yards and a touchdown. Chip Kelly will pound the rock to keep pressure off of Kaepernick, and you could pay half the cost of David Johnson to get an RB with upward of 20 touches. Snag Draughn as a great upside play at RB2 or Flex in Draft Kings, so long as Hyde sits on Sunday.

JACQUIZZ RODGERS, RB, BUCCANEERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5600 9.3% 15%
DraftKings $4300 8.6% 16%

Staying in the same game, it looks like Doug Martin will have to sit out another week. Before the Bucs headed into their bye week, Rodgers carried the ball 30 times Week 5 against the Panthers for 101 yards and narrowly missed the endzone. The 49ers have the 4th worst rushing defense in the league, making Rodgers a very good choice for a more expensive RB2 or an RB1 play with some upside. While it’s only a confidence factor of one star (probably due to the injury), the Huddle currently projects Doug Martin to put up 120 yards and a TD on Sunday. With Martin now officially out, it isn’t crazy to assume Rodgers could inherit the stat line.

Other Considerations:  Bobby Rainey has earned his place in the Giants’ offense, getting 30 touches in the past three weeks. This week, the Giants face a mediocre Rams rushing attack and Rainey has a very low price tag. He’s a great risk/reward RB2/Flex play in both Fan Duel and Draft Kings this week.

CAMERON MEREDITH, WR, BEARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5900 9.8% 15.3%
DraftKings $4700 9.4% 18.6%

Meredith is The Huddle’s 6th ranked WR this week, so it’s hard to ignore his price tag of ~10%. This week the Bears take on a struggling Packers team on Thursday Night Football, and Meredith looks to exploit a defense that struggled to keep Dak Prescott and Cole Beasley in check on Sunday. The Packers are 25th against the pass, and Meredith had 15 targets last week against the Jaguars, hauling in 11 of them for 113 yards. If you can pay low-end WR2 money for a guy The Huddle has targeted at a very solid WR1 (projected 7 catches for 80 yards and a TD), you should jump all over that.

TY MONTGOMERY, WR, PACKERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5600 9.3% 15.3%
DraftKings $3000 6% 18.6%

Montgomery is a shot in the dark pick this week – and one that is probably not worth it at Fan Duel’s 9.3% salary cost. Last week, after not logging a catch the entire season, Montgomery had 12 targets from Rodgers and touched the ball 3 times coming out of the backfield. Can lightning strike twice? Montgomery has been taking snaps with the first team offense this week… at running back… so it would appear the Packers’ coaching staff is committed to finding ways to get him the ball. The Huddle projects seven catches for 70 yards, but if we throw some carries in – it could come out to a nice stat line for a WR3.

SETH ROBERTS, WR, RAIDERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5200 8.6% 15.3%
DraftKings $3000 6% 18.6%

Through the first four weeks of the game, when Seth Roberts scored a TD, the Raiders won. Roberts didn’t score last week, and the Raiders didn’t win. The Jaguars have the 8th worst pass defense in the league, and when Carr gets down to the end zone if he isn’t looking at Crabtree for the jump ball, he’s looking for Roberts underneath (Roberts got dropped just outside the end zone against San Diego two weeks ago). While 8.6% of your salary seems a little pricey in Fan Duel leagues for flier at wide receiver, the 6% in Draft Kings leagues make Roberts a nice candidate for an upside WR3.

VERNON DAVIS, TE, WASHINGTON

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $4500 7.5% 14.1%
DraftKings $2900 5.8% 14.4%

Like Harley Shultz argued Monday night on The Blitzed Podcast, tight ends dominate the Lions – that’s just all there is to it. With Jordan Reed trying to get back to the field, Vernon Davis will step up for Washington in the meantime – last week he posted two receptions for 50 yards a TD on four targets. This week against the Lions’ 29th ranked passing defense he will look to put up closer to 5-6 catches and a TD. He’s coming in at half the cost of Gronkowski in Fan Duel leagues and less than half in Draft Kings. I’ve snagged him in all of my re-draft leagues as a sneaky flex play this week, and I think users who slide him in as a cheap option at TE or a flex play at TE could be in for a nice surprise.

Other Considerations: Antonio who? Hunter Henry has been dominant for the Chargers. One of the only teams worse than the Lions at covering the tight end is the Falcons, and Phillip Rivers will look to exploit that this weekend. Henry costs a little bit more than Davis, but he’s also a little bit more of a sure thing too.

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