Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 10

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 10

DFS

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 10

One of the most frustrating parts of DFS is not being able to fit all of your star players under the designated salary. Each week The Huddle will look at several value picks and sleepers at each position that could help you free up some valuable cap space for the studs you want to play.

CASE KEENUM, QB, RAMS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6600 11% 15%
DraftKings $5000 10% 15.2%

Despite all logic, Keenum is still starting for the Los Angeles Rams at QB, which means that there will continue to be a “bargain QB” deal for the rest of us in DFS leagues. The Jets present a favorable matchup for quarterbacks, and Keenum has put up over 10 points his last three matchups (33 against Detroit, which had the same “playing from behind, lots of passing” look to it). The Huddle is projecting 220 yards and 2 touchdowns, including 2 interceptions. QB is always a tough one to justify spending less for risking substantially fewer points, but this is a week where Keenum’s upside could realistically grab 20 points. 4% savings… not bad.

CARSON WENTZ, QB, EAGLES

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6800 11.3% 15%
DraftKings $5400 10.8% 15.2%

The price tag on Wentz has fallen as all of the glitter from his early season performance has come down to earth. This week the Huddle is projecting 260 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT against the Atlanta Falcon, who currently boast the worst passing defense in the entire league. Last week Jameis Winston put up 260 and 3 TDs against the Falcons in a passing frenzy, and it isn’t crazy to assume we could see the same kind of game from the Eagles who are in desperate need of a win to get them back on track. We didn’t see any TDs against the Giants last week, but Pederson is a good enough coach to help his young rookie get back on track. Despite the matchup, I consider Wentz more of a gamble than Keenum when it comes to point ceiling… but then again, there’s no change Wentz gets benched at halftime in favor of Jared Goff…

Other Considerations:  Trevor Siemian had a tough outing against a very good Oakland defense. That being said, he has still shown a lot of promise this season. Nothing gets a quarterback back on track like facing the New Orleans Saints’ defense. If you feel a bit more comfortable going with a risk quarterback that has great weapons at his disposal, pass on Wentz and Keenum and take a flier on Siemian.

JORDAN HOWARD, RB, BEARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6900 11.5% 15.6%
DraftKings $6000 12% 16.8%

Before the Bears’ headed into their bye week, Jordan Howard put up 200 yards on the Minnesota Vikings for 25+ points in FD/DK leagues. This week the Bears take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are in the bottom half of points allowed to opposing running backs. Howard is the Huddle’s 5th ranked running back in full PPR scoring formats this week, with a combined 110 yards on the ground and at least a TD. The Bucs have struggled stopping the run, and Jordan Howard should pick right up where he left off.

TIM HIGHTOWER/MARK INGRAM, RB, SAINTS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6200/6300 10.3%/10.5% 15.6%
DraftKings $4600/5400 9.2%/10.8 16.8%

This is a tough one. Of the Saints’ two-headed rushing attack, one of them is bound to strike big against Denvers’ defense this weekend. Or maybe all of them, if Latavius Murray, DeAndre Washington, and Jalen Richard have shown us anything. But it’s not feasible for you to assume both will strike big and roll the dice on both. Hightower is the cheaper option this week, and had seven more touches than Ingram last week…. But if we know anything about Sean Payton, we know that it only takes one fumble for one of their days to be over quickly. I like the potential for both RBs to score big this week against, but pick one and roll the dice against Denvers 25th ranked rushing defense.

Other Considerations:  Terrance West has 46 carries in 3 weeks and will tote the rock against the Cleveland Browns this weekend. The Browns are very good at making other team’s running backs look great – so West could be in for a very nice outing at a very affordable RB2 cost.

TYRELL WILLIAMS, WR, CHARGERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5900 9.8% 15%
DraftKings $5700 11.4% 19%

Chargers’ wide receivers often find themselves on this list because Rivers’ passing is very inconsistent – we just don’t know who his go-to will be week in and week out. The matchup against the Dolphins isn’t the best, but Williams also has 23 targets over the past three weeks, which adds some upside and reliability to him as a WR2. Last week against the Titans, he brought in six of seven targets for 66 yards and a TD. Anticipate similar numbers this week against a good Dolphins’ defense that Rivers will need to keep passing on to be successful.

TED GINN JR, WR, PANTHERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5300 8.3% 15%
DraftKings $3700 7.4% 19%

We haven’t seen huge numbers from Ginn since last season, but if you are playing “target watch” week in and week out, you’ve noticed that Ginn is back on Cam’s radar in a meaningful way, even with Kelvin Benjamin in the fold. Ginn has averaged 6 targets a game over the past three weeks, hauling in five catches each game. While he has yet to find the end zone, the Panthers are using his speed to help get big gains and it’s only a matter of time before he hauls one in in the end zone. This week the Huddle is predicting 5 catches for 60 yards and a TD. His price tag puts him at WR3 range with high WR2 upside.

ELI ROGERS, WR, STEELERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $4900 8.1% 15%
DraftKings $3500 7% 19%

Rogers had a big game against the Ravens last week and will look to continue as Ben tries to get the Steel Curtain’s offense back on track. Roesthlisberger looked Rogers’ way 10 times on Sunday, and he was able to haul in six of them for 103 yards. Rogers found great success with a healthy Ben in Week 1 when he caught six of seven passes for 59 and a TD against Washington. With a very low price tag and an offense that screams upside and high ceiling, he’s definitely worth a flier as a WR3 with upside in your leagues. Opening up that cap space should allow you to go with a more sure-thing option at RB or QB.

ZACH MILLER, TE, BEARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5400 9% 13.3%
DraftKings $3600 7.2% 13.8%

Miller has had 25 targets in three weeks, which is a very substantial amount for most TEs in the NFL. This week against the Bucs he will look to capitalize on a LB corps that has struggled to cover the middle of the field. The Huddle is predicting that Gronk money could get you 6 catches for 90 yards and a TD, but spend significantly less (half in DK) and Miller could bring in somewhere close to 6/60/1. If both hit, your price point on dollars spent for points is clearly much better for Miller.

Other Considerations: Jason Witten continues to click with Prescott. Last week his numbers were out of this world and he should come back down to earth this week against the Steelers, but the Steelers will also be looking to pressure Dak, and nothing helps a young QB under fire like a good TE.

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