Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 11

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 11

DFS

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 11

One of the most frustrating parts of DFS is not being able to fit all of your star players under the designated salary. Each week The Huddle will look at several value picks and sleepers at each position that could help you free up some valuable cap space for the studs you want to play.

TYROD TAYLOR, QB, BILLS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $7300 12.1% 15.5%
DraftKings $5600 11.2% 15.8%

Taylor has been an erratic play at QB all season; some weeks he’s dynamite (TNF against the Jets) and other weeks he’s a harsh dud (Week 1 vs. Baltimore). This week he matches up against a Cincinnati defense that has given up the 4th most points to running backs. While 11-12% isn’t that much savings, the ceiling for Taylor is very high this week. 250 through the air and another 40 on the ground, with 2 total TDs is not an insurmountable feat for Virginia Tech alumni. While Eli has a better track record as a passer, he was able to put up 240 and 3TDs on Monday Night Football against the Bengals, who also managed to pick him off twice.

JOE FLACCO, QB, RAVENS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $7100 11.8% 15.5%
DraftKings $5500 11% 15.8%

Far from a sexy pick, Flacco comes in a little cheaper below Taylor this week. Dallas is a middle of the road pass defense, but what Flacco owners will have in their favor is the likelihood that Flacco will be playing from behind. Last week he came up just shy of 300 yards against the Browns and also threw for 3 TDs and 2 INTs. In 3 of his past 4 games, Flacco has thrown the ball 40 times or more. This week The Huddle projects 280 for 2 TDs and 1 INT from Flacco, as the Ravens will look to knock off the 8-1 Cowboys that just seem to keep rolling.
Other Considerations:  Alex Smith stays one of the most inexpensive starting QBs this week, as the Chiefs will take on Tampa Bay. While Smith has been consistently not flashy with his numbers, the Bucs are one of the most generous teams to opposing fantasy quarterbacks. Smith is this week’s sleeper with some solid upside.

JORDAN HOWARD, RB, BEARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6800 11.3% 15.1%
DraftKings $5800 11.6% 17.6%

The game of musical chairs at running back in Chicago seems to finally have come to an end, and Howard appears to be top dog moving forward. A bit more expensive than I prefer to look for the running back position, but the definition of value is your point total for the price you are paying; Howard should be in for a big week against the New York Giants with Alshon Jeffery officially suspend for the next four games and Cutler struggling to get the Bears rolling. Howard has posted two consecutive 100-yard games on 45 touches, and has 1 TD. Last week the Giants gave up 80+ yards to the Bengals running backs.

ROB KELLEY, RB, WASHINGTON

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5400 9% 15.1%
DraftKings $4400 8.8% 17.6%

Kelley has gone over 85 yards rushing in his past two games, and has been deemed the first string running back in Washington. He has a tough matchup this weekend against Green Bay’s run defense, but last week he was able to put up 97 on the ground against the Minnesota Vikings. He’s coming in slightly above the halfway cost for the top-tiered RB, which makes him a great option at RB2 with some serious upside. This week the Huddle has Kelley ranked as the 7th best RB in PPR scoring, finishing Week 11 with a 100 yard 1 TD performance. If you’re looking to spend big bucks on Le’Veon Bell and need a cheaper RB2 counterpart, Kelley is your guy this week.

Other Considerations:  Thomas Rawls, barring he’s healthy, finally has the backfield almost all to himself. The Seahawks surprisingly waived Christine Michael, the team’s leading rusher, earlier this week and Rawls will have the opportunity to supplant Prosise and take back the backfield we all thought was rightfully his. It’s a long shot, but Rawls could be good for 50 yards and a TD this week. Huge gamble with some potential for huge upside.

STEVE SMITH SR, WR, RAVENS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5500 9.1% 15%
DraftKings $6000 12% 19%

If Joe Flacco is going to have a big week, Steve Smith will need to have a big week as well. The tenured veteran faces a Dallas secondary that gives up the 23rd most fantasy points to wide receivers. Smith has had 7 targets a game over the last two weeks, and has put up over 100 yards and a TD along the way. While Dallas squeaked out a win against the Steelers on Sunday, it wasn’t without giving up some big points through the air to the Pittsburgh wide receiving crops. This week the Huddle is projecting a very modest 7 catches again for Steve Smith, with 80 yards and a TD to boot.

TYREEK HILL, WR, CHIEFS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5400 9% 15%
DraftKings $4500 9% 19%

As mentioned before, the Bucs give up points through the air. The 5th most to fantasy WRs actually. Tyreek Hill has surprisingly established himself as a go-to target for Alex Smith, earning 13 targets from Smith last week against the Carolina Panthers. There was a bit of a fumbling issue for the speedster, but Andy Reid has clearly established Tyreek as one of the team’s go-to weapons in the absences of Jamaal Charles. He hasn’t found the end zone since Week 8, but the Huddle is projecting that changes this week.

MARQUISE GOODWIN, WR, BILLS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5300 8.8% 15%
DraftKings $3500 7% 19%

After the Bills lost Sammy Watkins, Goodwin has ever so slowly emerged as the team’s leading receiver in a very committed ground-and-pound offensive attack. Goodwin has consistently earned 4-7 targets a week, and after watching the Giants’ backup receivers put numbers up last week – we’re convinced Goodwin can make things happen at a very affordable cost for DFS owners. At 7-9% he’s going to come in at WR3 price range, with a very nice upside. The Huddle is projecting 4 catches for 50 yards and a TD.

CAMERON BRATE, TE, BUCCANEERS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5600 9.3% 14%
DraftKings $3800 7.6% 14.2%

He found his name on our list after cracking the starting lineup, but Brate’s production has yet to really slow. The Chiefs don’t give up a lot of points to TEs, but Brate has average 6 targets a game over the past three weeks, and most importantly – has a TD in all three of those games. With Gronk’s status up in the air for this weekend, spend that money elsewhere and roll the dice with Brate, the TD machine. This week the Huddle projections don’t have him projected to haul in a score, but I still like his odds.

Other Considerations: C.J. Fiedorowicz had a disappointing week last week, with the team’s second and third string TEs hauling in the touchdowns. This week he takes on a Raiders defense on MNF that has struggled over the middle of the field. He’s priced very well, and I like his odds of scoring when the Texans are down in the Red Zone.

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