Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 15

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 15

DFS

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 15

One of the most frustrating parts of DFS is not being able to fit all of your star players under the designated salary. Each week The Huddle will look at several value picks and sleepers at each position that could help you free up some valuable cap space for the studs you want to play.

TREVOR SIEMIAN, QB, BRONCOS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6600 11% 14.1%
DraftKings $5200 10.4% 14.6%

In one of the most exciting matchups on Sunday, the Broncos will face off with the New England Patriots and Trevor Siemian will need to be exceptional for the Broncos playoff hopes to stay alive. Last week he threw the ball a career high 51 times for 334 yards and a TD. This week his cost comes in at a very comfortable place for a QB, and it’s safe to assume the Broncos will need to keep passing to stay in the game as they teeter at the 6 Seed. The Huddle has Siemian as the #7 ranked QB heading into Week 15, projecting 270 yards and 2 TDs. My policy has always been if you can get a huge upside QB close to 10%, you’re in good shape. Everyone should have a lineup with Siemian in it this week.

BLAKE BORTLES, QB, JAGUARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6500 10.8% 14.1%
DraftKings $5000 10% 14.6%

While Houston gives up some of the fewest points to fantasy quarterbacks, there’s something about what Bortles does during garbage time that makes him a special value player. In the past 13 games, Bortles has put up less than 15 fantasy points in only 4 of them, and when he played Houston just five weeks ago he posted 265 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT (on 49 passing attempts). While I don’t think Bortles is a great QB by any means, the Jaguars often find themselves in a hole and they let Blake off the leash in the second half. 10% is the magic place, and he hits it in both Draft Kings and Fan Duel. Great value this week.

Other Considerations:  Kirk Cousins is The Huddle’s highest rated QB this week, and he is outside of top 5 in pricing for both DK and FD (outside of the top 10 in Fan Duel). The Huddle has him projected at 330 with 3 TDs this week, so as far as value goes you might find some great upside in Fan Duel.

BILAL POWELL, RB, JETS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6200 10.3% 16.3%
DraftKings $5600 11.2% 20.2%

Record breaking numbers as David Johnson surpasses Antonio Brown’s 20% price tag in Draft Kings and turns up at 20.2% this week; stay away from Johnson and look at some great options like Powell. Miami’s defense has been middle of the road against the run and with Forte struggling to stay healthy, Powell should get the nod. Last week he carried the ball 29 times and caught all 5 of his targets for 179 total yards and 2 TDs. Don’t expect his numbers to be quite as impressive this week, but at half the cost of David Johnson he is a great RB2 with some very positive upside. Keep an eye on Forte’s injury report throughout the week – if it’s looking like Forte will be rushed back, then disregard everything I just said.

THOMAS RAWLS, RB, SEAHAWKS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6400 10.6% 16.3%
DraftKings $5900 11.8% 20.2%

Rawls takes on a Rams team in disarray on Thursday Night Football this week. Because teams don’t enjoy playing much on Thursday night, it’s safe to assume the Seahawks will just try to run the ball and get home quickly. Rawls is averaging over 6 yards a carry over the past two weeks, but hasn’t carried the ball more than 15 times. This week The Huddle is projecting a 100-yard game from Rawls, including a TD. A great RB2 or Flex option in Draft Kings leagues, Rawls has a lot of upside this week – take advantage of the matchup before his price tag goes up next week.

Other Considerations:  Despite losing on Thursday Night Football, Latavius Murray very quietly posted a 100-yard game. This week he’ll look to do the same against the San Diego Chargers as the Raiders need to win out and hope for some Chief loses if they want to take home the AFC West crown for the first time in over a decade. I like Murray for 85 total yards and 2 TDs.

TAYLOR GABRIEL, WR, FALCONS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5800 9.6% 14.3%
DraftKings $5600 11.2% 16.8%

I will be the first to admit I thought Gabriel might be a flash in the pan, as I chose to gamble more on Mitchell last week than the Falcons’ new rising star. But even with Julio Jones out and Gabriel taking the WR1 mantel last week, he did not disappoint – catching 3 of his 6 targets for 82 yards and a TD. This week the Falcons will take on the 49ers who have given up the 6th most points to opposing fantasy wide receivers. Draft Kings is catching on to Gabriel’s potential, but he still comes in a great price in Fan Duel lineups. Pencil him in as your WR2 or WR3 and hope for some more deep balls thrown his way.

ROBBY ANDERSON, WR, JETS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $4700 7.8% 14.3%
DraftKings $4200 8.4% 16.8%

When backup quarterbacks practice, they practice with backup receivers. It looks like Bryce Petty and Robby Anderson have done a lot of practicing with one another, as he has 23 targets in two weeks since Petty took over the starting gig – with a healthy Marshall and Enuwa. He has 10 catches for 160 yards and 1 TD over the past two weeks and will look to continue this week against the Miami Dolphins. While the Jets team as a whole is not in a good place, their players are presenting some very nice value options for DFS players.

MARQISE LEE, WR, JAGUARS

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5700 9.5% 14.3%
DraftKings $4000 8% 16.8%

Much to the dismay of Robinson and Hurns owners everywhere, Lee continues to look like the favorite child in Bortles passing attack. Averaging 7 targets a game over the past four weeks, Lee put up 113 yards on 5 receptions last week in the snooze fest against Minnesota. This week he has a tough matchup against the Texans, but it looks like Hurns could be sidelined again, making Lee a very affordable option as your team’s WR3 or Flex player. The Huddle is projecting 4 catches for 60 yards and a TD.

VERNON DAVIS, TE, WASHINGTON

Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $4900 8.1% 12%
DraftKings $3000 6% 11.8%

It’s clear Jordan Reed’s shoulder is still bothering him, and in the meantime – Washington has a great matchup for TEs against the Panthers on Monday Night. Vernon Davis sits at half the price tag of Jordan Reed and Travis Kelce and should benefit from Reed’s nagging injury and the Panthers’ horrible defense against opposing TEs. The Huddle is projecting 4 catches for 50 yards and a TD, and the value you save could help pay for some nice options at other positions.

Other Considerations: Charles Clay is always on the injury report, so keep an eye on his status as the week progresses. That being said, he could be good for a TD this week in a game that might determine the futures of both Rex Ryan and Tyrod Taylor.

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