Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. ARI

David Dorey, @DMDorey

Prediction: NYJ 13, ARI 24 (Line: ARI by 7.5, O/U = 47)

The 1-4 Jets are on a three game losing streak and travel to face the 2-3 Cardinals that are remarkably 1-2 at home. The venue and passing ability for the Cardinals makes the difference.

New York Jets

1 CIN 22-23 10 LA ---
2 @BUF 37-31 11 BYE ---
3 @KC 3-24 12 NE ---
4 SEA 17-27 13 IND ---
5 @PIT 13-31 14 @SF ---
6 @ARI --- 15 MIA ---
7 BAL --- 16 @NE ---
8 @CLE --- 17 BUF ---
9 @MIA ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Matt Forte 70 2-10
RB Bilal Powell 20 6-40
WR Quincy Enunwa 4-40
PK Chandler Catanzaro 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The offense has already gone stale and aside from the Bills win, there have been few positives. The passing offense that was devastating and consistent last year has regressed to the Jets of old. The rushing game that once looked upgraded with the addition of Matt Forte hasn't produced even average numbers for the last three weeks. The schedule did go through a rough patch and that includes this game but afterwards improves at least marginally. The biggest disappointment is that all the strides that the offense appeared to make in 2015 have vanished.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Fitzpatrick comes off yet another mundane performance - 255 yards and one score in the loss to the Steelers. On the plus side he had no interceptions but currently stands at five touchdowns versus ten interceptions on the season. Losing Eric Decker has been an obvious problem but Fitzpatrick isn't able to make anything happen. At this point in 2015, he already passed for nine scores. He had 12 games with multiple scores including seven of the final nine. This year has just one and that was in the season opener.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte opened the year with 155 total yards and then scored three times in Week 2 in Buffalo. Since then he's been held under 65 total yards with no scores. With a team that falls behind early, he's only been given 12 to 15 carries per game recently and his receptions have fallen to only two per game. Bilal Powell has taken over the receiving role with exactly six receptions in each of the last three weeks. That makes him marginally value in reception point leagues but mostly just decreases what Forte could be doing.

WIDE RECEIVER : Eric Decker remains week-to-week with his shoulder injury but at least Brandon Marshall scored in the last two games with at least 89 yards in each. He's been the only productive player in the offense and scored the only two touchdowns. Quincy Enunwa has a sprained knee but is playing through it. He hasn't scored since the season opener and averages around 50 yards in recent games. Without Marshall this offense would have all but disappeared in the last three weeks. He is getting more than twice the targets of other receivers and continues to receive double digits passes each game.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Austin Sefarian-Jenkins now has the season's best tight end performance with two catches for 17 yards.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: CB Patrick Peterson usually plays on the left side of the defense and Brandon Marshall mostly sticks to the left side of the offense though he'll move all over depending on the play. It would make sense to stick the best cornerback on the only productive wideout of the opponent but Marshall is going to get a dozen passes and will be moved around to where ever gets him open. He's still a start this week though with lesser expectations.

The Jets will do well enough to throw for any passing scores given that the Cardinals have only allowed four this season. But the Cardinals have yet to face even an average quarterback which makes their 2-3 record even more amazing.

Forte is still worth starting even in this daunting venue. Three different backs have topped 70 rushing yards against them and all three scored at least once if not twice. That's likely a bit much to expect from Forte for now, but he'll get rushing yardage. This is where his role as a receiver would loom large but Powell keeps taking that workload.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 29 14 7 32 13 30
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 14 7 9 4 9 25

Arizona Cardinals

1 NE 21-23 10 SF ---
2 TB 40-7 11 @MIN ---
3 @BUF 18-33 12 @ATL ---
4 LA 13-17 13 WAS ---
5 @SF 33-21 14 @MIA ---
6 NYJ --- 15 NO ---
7 SEA --- 16 @SEA ---
8 @CAR --- 17 @LA ---
9 BYE ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 300,3
RB David Johnson 80 5-50,1
WR John Brown 5-60
WR Larry Fitzgerald 6-100,2
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cardinals come off a much needed win and should be getting Carson Palmer back this week. The incoming Jets should provide one of the softest matchups of the season and after this they face the Seahawks and then play in Carolina before their bye. The offense has not been nearly as good as 2015 aside from David Johnson continuing his impressive play from last year. The schedule is dotted with tough secondaries and this week may be as good as it gets aside from Week 15 when the Saints visit.

QUARTERBACK : Carson Palmer was out last week with a concussion but is expected to be cleared and able to play. Palmer was consistent with over 270 yards each week but threw just one touchdown over the last two games. The difference this year is that Palmer can still throw for 300+ yards and multiple touchdowns, but he has not been any better than what their opponent allows most teams. In 2015, Palmer was usually better than the opposing defense..

RUNNING BACK : David Johnson was a first round pick in drafts last summer and his fantasy owners are rightfully smug about their choice. Johnson scored five times on the season and remains well over 100 total yards each week. He comes off a season best 157 yards in San Francisco where he also caught three passes for 28 yards and racked up two more touchdowns. With Chris Johnson out yet again, Andre Ellington assumed the backup role but had minimal work same as Chris Johnson before his injury.

WIDE RECEIVER : Larry Fitzgerald comes off a two-touchdown effort in the win over the 49ers and he ended with six catches for 81 yards. He's never been worse than five catches for 62 yards and his five receiving touchdowns lead the team. Michael Floyd never had a catch last week despite three targets and he's being replaced by John Brown who had the team high 144 yards on ten catches in Week 4 but then only a single catch last week.

Floyd's struggle comes at a bad time since he is in a contract year.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets rank poorly versus the pass and already allowed 12 passing touchdowns. The last two weeks versus the Seahawks and then Steelers saw them allow at least 300 yards and three touchdowns. CB Darrelle Revis did not play because of a hamstring issue last week but has not been nearly as good at any time this year. He could return but that hasn't been the negative of years past. Plus his natural matchup would be on Floyd anyway.

Expect a good game from Fitzgerald that could end up very big. David Johnson faces a very tough rushing defense that has not allowed more than 75 rushing yards to a runner and only once gave up a rushing touchdown. But Johnson is the elite runner this year and he'll post plenty of receiving yards as well. Just last week, Le'Veon Bell caught nine passes for 88 yards versus the Jets.


RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 26 7 4 31 25 3
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 29 10 31 28 24 31

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