Better Than Average (BTA) Rankings: Wide Receivers

Better Than Average (BTA) Rankings: Wide Receivers

Statistical Analysis

Better Than Average (BTA) Rankings: Wide Receivers

Better Than Average (BTA) was developed to show which players were truly better than their peers when the advantage of the schedule was removed. . This is a true 1:1 measurement because it only considers how well players did against all others who faced a particular defense. It counts up three occurrences:

Top 8” – When a WR produced one of the top 8 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.

Top 4” – When a WR scored in the top 4 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.

#1” – Who had the best fantasy game against a defense over the past year. There could only by 32 such events since each defense can only allow one “best game”.

BTA – Simply adding up the 1, 4 and 8 values for a numerical expression of how effective a wideout truly was last year against all other players in his position. The strength of schedule doesn’t matter. Only what a player produced against all other players in that position against that defense. It is a measurement of player ability against the others in his position.

Most #1 Games
A.J. Green 3
Antonio Brown 2
Davante Adams 2

This was the lowest number ever for any position. Only three wide receivers had more than one instance of scoring the most fantasy points that an opposing defense allowed last year. There were not nearly as many  big games turned in by the stud wideouts as there were in 2015.  The top wideouts were well represented in this but their total number of big games were lower than years past. Offenses have continued to spread out the passes to multiple receivers so that they rely less on just the primary receiver.

Wide Receivers BTA #1 Top 4 Top 8
Antonio Brown 16 2 5 9
Jordy Nelson 14 1 5 8
Odell Beckham Jr 14 1 4 9
Julio Jones 13 1 5 7
A.J. Green 12 3 3 6
T.Y. Hilton 11 1 4 6
Mike Evans 11 0 4 7
Golden Tate 9 0 4 5
Davante Adams 9 2 2 5
Dez Bryant 8 0 3 5
Emmanuel Sanders 8 1 3 4
Brandin Cooks 8 0 3 5
Michael Thomas 8 0 3 5
Doug Baldwin 8 1 3 4
Steve Smith Sr. 7 0 3 4
Cameron Meredith 7 0 3 4
Tyreek Hill 7 0 2 5
Jarvis Landry 7 0 3 4
Amari Cooper 7 0 2 5
Michael Crabtree 7 0 3 4
Mike Wallace 6 0 2 4
Terrelle Pryor Sr. 6 0 2 4
Stefon Diggs 6 0 2 4
Kelvin Benjamin 5 0 2 3
Brandon LaFell 5 0 1 4
Demaryius Thomas 5 0 1 4
Randall Cobb 5 0 2 3
DeAndre Hopkins 5 0 1 4
Allen Robinson 5 0 0 5
Adam Thielen 5 1 2 2
Brandon Marshall 5 1 1 3
DeSean Jackson 5 0 1 4
J.J. Nelson 4 0 1 3
Larry Fitzgerald 4 0 1 3
Dontrelle Inman 4 0 1 3
Travis Benjamin 4 1 1 2
Tyrell Williams 4 0 0 4
Tavon Austin 4 1 1 2
DeVante Parker 4 0 0 4
Willie Snead IV 4 0 2 2
Kendall Wright 4 0 2 2
Rishard Matthews 4 0 1 3

 

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