Free agent forecast: Week 6

Free agent forecast: Week 6

Roster Management

Free agent forecast: Week 6

Free Agent Auction
Bid (FAAB) Scale
$ $0 – $5
$$ $6 – $15
$$$ $16 – $25
$$$$ $26 – $40
$$$$$ $41+
Based on $100 cap,
12-team league.

Quarterbacks

1 Week Plug & Play

Brian Hoyer, San Francisco 49ers
It’s not a great week for free agent quarterbacks but Hoyer is still available in a lot of leagues if you need someone. Hoyer threw for 353 yards with two touchdowns and no interception against the Colts. He’s thrown for over 300 yards in two of his last three games. The total for the 49ers/Redskins game is set at 47. There could be a lot of points scored between these two teams this week. Hoyer is worth a look if you’re in a deeper league and have a quarterback on a bye.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Hoyer is a QB2/streaming option this week.

On the Radar: Jacoby Brissett (15%), Josh McCown (5%)

Running Backs

Rock Star Free Agent

Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers
There was some question as to who would take the bulk of the carries with Ty Montgomery out Sunday. There’s no question now. Jones carried the ball 19 times for 125 yards and a touchdown. Jamaal Williams got one carry. Montgomery may miss this week’s game against the Vikings but even if he returns, Jones is going to have a role in the offense going forward. He brings a different dimension as a runner than Montgomery. Jones is the No. 1 waiver target in leagues where he’s still available this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $$$-$$$$
Forecast: Jones is an RB2 with Montgomery out.

Andre Ellington, Arizona Cardinals
It’s hard to predict which Cardinals receiver to trust each week outside of Larry Fitzgerald. The best fantasy option over the last three games has been Ellington. On Sunday he caught nine passes for 65 yards. Ellington now has 23 catches on 31 targets in his last three games. As we said last week, no Cardinals running back can replace David Johnson’s production on the ground but Ellington is at least replacing his numbers as a receiver. Don’t expect that to change. Grab Ellington if he’s still available in your league. He’s an every-week starter in PPR formats.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $$-$$$
Forecast: Ellington is a weekly starter in PPR leagues.

Injury Replacement

Elijah McGuire, New York Jets
Bilal Powell suffered a calf injury on Sunday and Matt Forte has missed the last two games with turf toe. McGuire replaced Powell against the Jaguars and operated as the feature back. The New York Daily News’ Manish Mehta doesn’t expect Powell to play this week and for McGuire to handle a heavy workload against a Patriots defense that gives up a ton of fantasy points to opposing running backs. Powell and Forte have also shown an inability to stay healthy, so McGuire has fantasy value beyond just this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 15% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: McGuire will be a RB2/Flex option this week vs. the Pats rush defense.

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

Dion Lewis, New England Patriots
Don’t look now but Lewis is getting more touches in the Patriots backfield. Against the Buccaneers, Lewis racked up 63 yards on nine touches. It’s not huge volume. Right now it’s just enough to be a pain in the butt to the other New England running backs. However, Mike Gillislee hasn’t been setting the world on fire. He’s gained 132 yards on 36 carries in his last three games (3.2 YPC). Lewis has posted just under 10 fantasy points in back to back weeks in PPR formats. He averaged 12 touches per game in 2015 before tearing his ACL and don’t forget, he was one of the most important weapons in New England’s offense at the time. Lewis finally looks fully healthy again. Don’t be surprised if his usage increases even more this week versus the Jets.
Availability: Owned in ~ 5% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Lewis is a Flex option in deeper leagues this week.

Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts
Mack returned from a shoulder injury and made an immediate impact. He rushed for 91 yards and a touchdown on just nine carries. Mack had a 35-yard run in overtime that set up the game-winning field goal. Frank Gore still got 17 touches on Sunday but it’s clear that the explosive Mack needs to see more carries on an offense that struggles to run the football. Colts coach Chuck Pagano said Mack has earned more carries. He’s too explosive for the Colts to keep on the bench. Look for the Colts to start using more of a committee with Mack emerging as the lead option before the end of the season.
Availability: Owned in ~ 8% of leagues.
FAAB: $$
Forecast: Mack is a Flex option this week vs. the Titans.

Grab & Stash

Matt Breida, San Francisco 49ers
Breida out-touched Carlos Hyde 13 to 9 on Sunday. It was believed Hyde may have aggravated a hip injury but 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan said he was riding the hot hand. Breida played 49 percent of the snaps against the Colts and rushed for 49 yards on 10 carries. It’s important not to overreact to one game. Hyde could get 25 carries next week. However, Breida has now seen 19 carries in the last two weeks and he’s nipping at Hyde’s heels. It’s time to add Breida, especially considering Hyde’s injury history.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Breida is a stash for the rest of the season.

On the Radar: Alex Collins (40%), Orleans Darkwa (2%), Corey Clement (3%), Wayne Gallman (40%), J.D. McKissic (30%), Shane Vereen (15%)

Wide Receivers

Rock Star Free Agent

Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers
Funchess is still available in a few leagues. This will be the last week you’ll be able to get him. Funchess caught seven passes for 53 yards and a touchdown on Sunday. He has 18 receptions for 181 yards and three touchdowns on 27 targets in his last three games. Cam Newton has turned it on in his last two games after starting the year slowly. Funchess is emerging as an every-week fantasy starter on an improving passing game. Grab him if he’s still out there.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $$-$$$
Forecast: Funchess is a weekly WR3/4.

Injury Replacement

Roger Lewis, New York Giants
It’s not often you see a team lose its top three receivers in one game but that’s what happened to the Giants on Sunday. Odell Beckham is out for the season with a broken ankle. Brandon Marshall and Sterling Shepard are both dealing with ankle injuries. Lewis is going to have a much bigger role in the offense now. He won’t be an option this week versus the Broncos but Lewis will see more targets soon with all the injuries the Giants have at receiver.
Availability: Owned in ~ 1% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Lewis will be a WR4/5 in deeper leagues.

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

Taylor Gabriel, Atlanta Falcons
Gabriel was held without a catch in his last game but he could be in line for a bigger role this week against the Dolphins. Mohamed Sanu is expected to miss the game with a hamstring injury. Gabriel’s fantasy value is tied to big plays but he should see more targets with the Falcons coming off their bye week knowing Sanu was going to be unavailable. He’s on the radar in deeper leagues.
Availability: Owned in ~ 15% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Gabriel is a WR4 with Sanu likely out this week.

Jaron Brown, Arizona Cardinals
Brown only caught three balls for 39 yards on six targets last week but don’t read too much into that stat line. The Cardinals offense struggled against the Eagles defense on Sunday. Arizona still can’t run the football. Carson Palmer has thrown the ball at least 36 times in every game this season and over 40 times in every game but one. The opportunities will be there for Brown most weeks with games against the Buccaneers, Rams and 49ers coming up. It’s a good time to add him.
Availability: Owned in ~ 50% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Brown is a WR3/4 vs. Tampa Bay and most weeks moving forward.

Mike Wallace, Baltimore Ravens
Wallace caught all three of his targets for 133 yards on Sunday. It’s tough to trust any Ravens receiver but Wallace has put together two good games in a row after catching 6 of 10 targets for 55 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. Wallace has another good matchup versus the Bears this week. The Ravens passing game will remain inconsistent but you can ride Wallace while he’s hot.
Availability: Owned in ~ 30% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Wallace is a WR4 vs. the Bears.

Grab & Stash

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh Steelers
Martavis Bryant got all the offseason hype but he’s been a big disappointment early in the year. Smith-Schuster has emerged over the last three weeks and could continue to see more targets if Bryant doesn’t step up soon. Over the last three games, Smith-Schuster has nine receptions, 144 yards and a touchdown on 16 targets. Smith-Schuster still isn’t worth starting but he’s a guy to monitor in deeper leagues.
Availability: Owned in ~ 5% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Smith-Schuster is a depth add in competitive 12 or 14 team leagues.

On the Radar: Nelson Agholor (30%), Cole Beasley (20%), Ricardo Louis (1%), Brandon Tate (1%), Mike Williams (10%)

Tight Ends

Rock Star Free Agent

Ed Dickson, Carolina Panthers
Dickson exploded for five receptions and 175 yards against the Lions. While that may just be one big game, Dickson did catch three balls for 62 yards the week before as well. Remember, when Dickson took over for an injured Greg Olsen, Cam Newton and the passing offense was struggling. Since Newton got going the last two weeks, Dickson has 237 yards receiving. Don’t overspend on him but Dickson is worth adding if you need help at tight end after two strong games.
Availability: Owned in ~ 5% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Dickson is a high-end TE on the rise.

Injury Replacement

Nick O’Leary, Buffalo Bills
Charles Clay suffered a knee injury on Sunday. He underwent surgery and is expected to miss multiple weeks. It’s a big blow to the Bills passing game. Already extremely thin at wide receiver, Clay had emerged as Tyrod Taylor’s top weapon in the passing game. O’Leary will take over for Clay. He caught 5 of 6 targets for 54 yards after replacing Clay against the Bengals. The Bills have a bye coming up but expect O’Leary to be one of Taylor’s top targets when they face the Buccaneers in Week 7.
Availability: Owned in ~ 1% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: O’Leary is worth adding if you lost Clay or need depth at tight end.

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

A.J. Derby, Denver Broncos
Derby is coming off his best game of the season against the Raiders where he caught four passes for 75 yards and a touchdown. The Broncos then had a bye. Now Derby faces a Giants defense that’s given up by far the most fantasy points to tight ends this season. New York’s defense has allowed six touchdowns to tight ends and at least one in every game this year. Derby is owned in zero percent of leagues right now. That means no one in his family even owns him. He has the matchup to put up his second big game in a row.
Availability: Owned in ~ 1% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Derby will put up TE1 numbers for the second game in a row.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, New York Jets
Seferian-Jenkins was a popular play last week versus a Browns defense that struggles to defend tight ends. He paid off by catching 6 of 8 targets for 29 yards and a touchdown. Seferian-Jenkins has another strong matchup this week against a Patriots defense that allows the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends. ASJ has seen 18 targets in three games since returning from suspension. He’s on the streaming radar once again this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 30% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Seferian-Jenkins is a TE1 this week vs. the Patriots.

George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers
Kittle had a strong game on Sunday catching 7 of 9 balls for 83 yards and a touchdown. It was easily Kittle’s best performance of the year but he has some more favorable matchups coming up against the Redskins, Cowboys and Giants in the next few weeks. Kittle is still more of a TE2 but he can be used as a streamer when the matchup is favorable.
Availability: Owned in ~ 1% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Kittle is a TE2/streaming option when the matchup is favorable.

On the Radar: Tyler Higbee (1%), Tyler Kroft (15%), David Njoku (7%)

Kickers

1 Week Plug & Play

Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers
Gould connected on 3 of 3 field goals Sunday. He’s now a perfect 14 for 14 on field goal attempts this season. The 49ers have been able to move the ball this year but are struggling to finish drives, so Gould has benefitted. Gould has made seven field goals in his last two games. Ride him again this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Gould is a Top 10 kicker in Week 6.

On the Radar: Harrison Butker (10%)

Defense/Special Teams

1 Week Plug & Play

Atlanta Falcons
The Dolphins won on Sunday, despite Jay Cutler playing poorly once again. The Falcons come off a bye and have recorded at least three sacks in three of four games this season. The Dolphins are allowing the third most fantasy points to team defenses this season. Miami is going to try to run the ball and shorten the game but if the Falcons get a lead, it will be another long day for Cutler.
Availability: Owned in ~ 20% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: The Falcons defense is a Top 10 play this week.

On the Radar: Baltimore Ravens (60%), Chicago Bears (5%)

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