Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.
Week 6 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)
Carson Palmer: 21.9
Ben Roethlisberger: 12.9
Brian Hoyer: 1.4
Chris Thompson: 20.8
Marshawn Lynch: 6.3
Alvin Kamara: 12.7
Terrelle Pryor: 5.4
Jaron Brown: 4.0
John Brown: 15.3
Austin Seferian-Jenkins: 17.6
Austin Hooper: 11.8
Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams ($5,800 DraftKings; $7,300 FanDuel)
It’s not a great week for value at the quarterback position with injuries and byes but Goff is an interesting option at only $5,800 on DraftKings.
Goff has only put up a combined 20 DK points the last two weeks but that was against the Seahawks and Jaguars. The Jaguars allow the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. The Seahawks allow the fourth fewest.
Things ease up considerably for Goff this week. He faces a Cardinals defense that gives up the fifth most fantasy PPG on DraftKings (21.0) and the fourth most on FanDuel (20.9). Arizona’s defense has given up 594 yards and seven touchdowns in its last two games to Carson Wentz and Ryan Fitzpatrick. The only two quarterbacks not to throw at least two touchdown passes against the Cardinals are Brian Hoyer and Jacoby Brissett.
Goff has taken advantage of favorable matchups this season. He’s scored at least 18 DK points when facing the Colts, 49ers and Cowboys. Look for another strong performance from Goff this week.
Bargain Basement Play
Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills ($5,100 DraftKings; $7,000 FanDuel)
Something has to give in this matchup. It’s the Bills non-existent passing offense versus the Buccaneers awful pass defense that allows over 300 yards per game.
The Buccaneers defense made Carson Palmer look like Tom Brady last week. Palmer started the game off going 14 of 14 and ending 18 of 22 for 283 yards with three touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed at least 283 yards passing in every game this season. The Buccaneers give up the second most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks (23.0) on DraftKings and the fourth most on FanDuel (20.8).
Taylor is a risky option because he doesn’t throw for a lot of yards and lacks weapons at receiver. However, he’s also faced the Jets, Panthers, Broncos, Falcons and Bengals. On paper, this is by far Taylor’s easiest matchup of the season. He’s actually projected to have strong ownership numbers this week because of his matchup and high ceiling.
Adrian Peterson, Los Angeles Rams ($5,800 DraftKings; $6,300 FanDuel)
Peterson carried the ball 26 times for 134 times and two touchdowns last week in his debut with the Cardinals against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So what can he do for an encore?
Peterson has the matchup to make it two strong games in a row with the Cardinals. The Rams allow the most fantasy PPG to opposing running backs (32.6 DraftKings, 29.0 FanDuel). Leonard Fournette just ripped the Rams defense for 130 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries. Overall, Los Angeles is giving up an average of 122 yards a game on the ground. You think Peterson will get a few carries on Sunday?
One thing we try to do is keep away from players that will have large ownership numbers. Peterson is expected to have high ownership because of last week’s performance and his salary still being relatively inexpensive. This is one of the times we recommend eating the chalk. The Rams aren’t going to learn how to stop the run overnight and the Cardinals have already shown they’ll feed Peterson the ball. He looks primed for another big game.
Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears ($4,700 DraftKings; $5,300 FanDuel)
The Bears have stopped throwing the ball to Cohen for some odd reason. John Fox decided to stop using one of his only playmakers on offense. That’s the kind of decision making you only get from a guy who is 11-27 as the Bears head coach.
After catching eight passes in each of the Bears first two games, Cohen has a total of 10 receptions in his last four contests. Cohen is a risky play because no one knows what Fox is thinking (nor do we want to) but if Cohen is used as a receiver out of the backfield this week, he has a matchup to exploit.
The Panthers are tough on running backs only allowing 66 yards per game on the ground. However, they give up 6.8 receptions and 41.8 receiving yards per game to running backs. Carolina has allowed at least six receptions to a running back three times this year.
Cohen got 15 touches and threw a touchdown pass last week. His usage is unpredictable but if Jordan Howard struggles on the ground versus a tough Panthers rush defense, Cohen should make an impact as a receiver.
Bargain Basement Play
Orleans Darkwa ($3,700 DraftKings; $5,200 FanDuel)
Darkwa had one of the surprise performances of the NFL season last Sunday night. Facing the NFL’s top ranked rushing defense that shut down Ezekiel Elliott, Melvin Gordon and LeSean McCoy, Darkwa rushed for a career-high 117 yards on 21 carries. Over his last two games, Darkwa has 176 yards and a touchdown on 29 carries.
The Giants relied heavily on Darkwa and tight end Evan Engram last week. The two combined for 212 of the Giants 266 total yards. Even if receiver Sterling Shepard returns on Sunday, expect the Giants to continue to use Darkwa heavily versus the Seahawks Top 10 pass defense.
The Seahawks are another tough matchup for Darkwa but he’s in line for 20+ touches again. He’s worth a look at such a cheap price and an expected low ownership.
Pierre Garcon ($5,800 DraftKings; $6,700 FanDuel)
C.J. Beathard replaced Brian Hoyer at quarterback for the 49ers last Sunday. When Beathard entered the game, there was no question which receiver he preferred. Garcon was targeted a team-high 12 times versus the Redskins. He finished with five receptions for 55 yards.
Garcon has the right matchup to have a breakout performance on Sunday. He’s facing the Cowboys 23rd ranked pass defense that’s allowing 250.4 yards a game through the air. Dallas has given up at least five receptions to a receiver six times this year. They’ve allowed eight touchdowns to opposing receivers.
Garcon had one big game in Week 3 (7/142) with Hoyer at quarterback but he’s been inconsistent and has yet to score a touchdown. With one of the highest ceilings of any receiver, this could be the week Garcon finally explodes.
Bargain Basement Play
Bennie Fowler, Denver Broncos ($3,300 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel)
Fowler is an interesting receiver with Emmanuel Sanders injured. Sanders is dealing with an ankle injury and will miss at Week 7. Fowler replaced Sanders Sunday night and caught 3 of 8 targets for 21 yards against the Giants.
Fowler has already made an impact in the red zone as the Broncos third receiver. He’s been targeted six times in the red zone with two touchdowns. His six targets are tied with Sanders for the team lead and two more than Demaryius Thomas.
He has a good matchup to take advantage of in his first start. The Chargers defense allows the ninth most fantasy PPG to wide receivers on DraftKings (36.4) and the seventh most on FanDuel (30.4). Fowler will play in both two and three receiver sets, so he’ll see plenty of snaps against the Chargers. He’s a nice bargain play this week.
Hunter Henry, Los Angeles Chargers ($4,200 DraftKings; $5,200 FanDuel)
Henry is heating up after a slow start to the season. In his last two games, Henry has eight receptions for 132 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets.
This week Henry faces a Broncos defense that struggles to defend tight ends. Denver allows the ninth most fantasy PPG to tight ends on DraftKings (16.3) and the seventh most on FanDuel (13.3). The Broncos have given up a touchdown to an opposing tight end in three of five games this season.
Henry got shutout by the Broncos in their first meeting on opening night. He wasn’t even targeted in that game. Henry is a much bigger part of the offense now. Don’t let that game shy you away from rostering Henry this week.
Bargain Basement Play
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers ($3,600 DraftKings; $4,800 FanDuel)
As mentioned above, the 49ers are going with Beathard at quarterback. That’s good news for Kittle. Kittle ranked second to only Garcon in targets on Sunday with eight. Kittle finished with four receptions for 46 yards. Over his last two games, Kittle has 11 catches for 129 yards and a touchdown on 17 targets.
The Cowboys numbers against tight ends are good but they haven’t really been tested. Dallas has gone up against Evan Engram (1st NFL game), Virgil Green, Tyler Higbee, Jermaine Gresham and Martellus Bennett. That’s not really the who’s who of fantasy tight ends.
It’s hard to know who will be a new quarterback’s favorite receivers. However, based on what we saw last week, Garcon and Kittle were targeted a combined 20 times. It may not carry over to this week but if it does, you have a good low-cost DFS tight end.
New Orleans Saints ($3,000 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel)
The Saints defense has been on a roll. Against the Lions, New Orleans’ defense recorded five sacks, three interceptions, two fumble recoveries and scored three touchdowns. Over their last three games, the Saints defense has 13 sacks, seven interceptions and a shutout. This week they get Brett Hundley making his first career start. Hundley may be better than anticipated but the kid is in a tough spot. Ride the red-hot Saints defense.
Bargain Basement Play
Los Angeles Rams ($2,600 DraftKings; $5,100 FanDuel)
It depends where you play because the Rams defense is a cheaper option at DraftKings but not so much on FanDuel. You have to wonder about the pricing at DraftKings. The Rams have scored 22 and 8 DK points the last two weeks. They have eight sacks, three interceptions and three touchdowns during that span. This week they get Carson Palmer who is known for taking sacks and throwing interceptions. Perhaps Peterson just punishes the Rams on the ground but at $2,600 and playing well for fantasy owners, it’s hard to lay off the Rams this week.