Free agent forecast: Week 10

Free agent forecast: Week 10

Roster Management

Free agent forecast: Week 10

Free Agent Auction
Bid (FAAB) Scale
$ $0 – $5
$$ $6 – $15
$$$ $16 – $25
$$$$ $26 – $40
$$$$$ $41+
Based on $100 cap,
12-team league.

Quarterbacks

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

Josh McCown, New York Jets
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. McCown remains the top streaming option available on most waiver wires for Week 10. He didn’t have a huge game last Thursday night against a tough Bills defense finishing with 140 yards and one touchdown. McCown also scored a rushing touchdown. He had a second touchdown pass called back by a ridiculous offensive pass interference penalty. Overall, it was another solid fantasy performance by the Jets quarterback. McCown has accounted for 12 touchdowns and thrown just three interceptions in his last five games. He gets a much easier matchup this week versus a Buccaneers defense that’s allowed at least 260 yards passing to opposing quarterbacks in 7 of 8 games this season. Fire up McCown again this week if you need a quarterback.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: McCown is a low-end QB1 for Week 10.

On the Radar: Jacoby Brissett (30%), Ryan Fitzpatrick (5%), Jimmy Garoppolo (15%)

Running Backs

Rock Star Free Agent

Kenyan Drake/Damien Williams, Miami Dolphins
We found out how the Dolphins are going to use their running backs now that Jay Ajayi is gone Sunday night. They’re going to use both Drake and Williams, especially in the passing game. Drake ran the ball nine times for 69 yards. Williams rushed for 14 yards on seven carries. Each back caught six passes. Drake gained 35 yards and Williams went for 47. Expect a similar split moving forward. Drake is probably the better long-term fantasy add but he’s had fumbling issues, so that’s something to monitor. He’s available in roughly half of fantasy leagues. Williams is going to see a lot of work on passing downs and could also get goal-line carries. He’s available in close to 70 percent of leagues right now. Both backs should be rostered in PPR formats.
Availability: Owned in ~ 50/30% of leagues.
FAAB: $$-$$$
Forecast: Drake and Williams are both Flex options in PPR leagues with Drake potentially emerging as an RB2.

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants
Lost in the Giants disaster of a season is that Darkwa is playing well. He’s just not getting many opportunities because the Giants are usually behind. That shouldn’t be an issue this week when New York faces the winless 49ers. Darkwa has gained at least 69 yards rushing in three of his last four games. However, he’s averaging only 13 attempts over that span. Look for the Giants to feed Darkwa on Sunday against a 49ers defense that allows the most fantasy points per game to running backs.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Darkwa is an RB2/Flex play vs. the 49ers in Week 10.

Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks
It will be a great day when we no longer have to talk about the Seattle backfield. Eddie Lacy got the start on Sunday but left with a groin injury. Rawls took over and rushed for 39 yards on nine carries. He added two receptions for 31 yards. No Seahawks running back has made a major fantasy impact yet this season. Rawls may be the last man standing. Don’t expect a lot from him but he’s worth adding if you’re desperate for running back help. Waiver wires are thinning out and Rawls has a good shot to get 15+ touches this week against the Cardinals.

Availability: Owned in ~ 15% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Rawls is a RB3 this week vs. Arizona.

Grab & Stash

Corey Clement, Philadelphia Eagles
Clement is coming off a big game on Sunday where he gained 66 total yards on 13 touches and scored three touchdowns. He’s now gotten 22 carries in the Eagles last two games. Granted, Philadelphia was way ahead in both of those games and the Eagles have a crowded backfield with the addition of Jay Ajayi, but Clement is starting to carve out a role in the offense. Neither Ajayi nor LeGarrette Blount are great receivers. Clement is taking over the Darren Sproles-role in the Eagles offense. It’s hard to know when Clement’s touches will come because the Eagles offense is so diverse but if you play in a deeper league and are looking to take a flier on a running back, Clement isn’t a bad lottery ticket.

Availability: Owned in ~ 2% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Clement is an RB3/stash in PPR leagues.

Rex Burkhead, New England Patriots
Burkhead’s fantasy arrow is pointing up after catching seven passes for 68 yards two weeks ago against the Chargers. He played a season-high 26 snaps in that game. Burkhead missed four games with a hamstring injury but he’s finally healthy again. He’s going to split touches with James White, Dion Lewis and Mike Gillislee. However, as we mentioned in the past, Burkhead is worth stashing in deeper leagues because Gillislee is struggling and Lewis has just been adequate. There’s a chance Burkhead’s role grows as the season progresses. The Patriots are coming off a bye, so this is a good time to add Burkhead if you have a roster spot.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Burkhead will be on the Flex radar in competitive 12 and 14-team PPR leagues.

Danny Woodhead, Baltimore Ravens
Woodhead has begun practicing and is eligible to return from injured reserve in Week 11. The Ravens have a bye this week, so the hope is Woodhead will be ready to return following the bye. He could play in Week 11 if everything goes well. However, even if Woodhead takes a little longer to return, he’s worth adding right now for owners in good shape to make the fantasy playoffs. Woodhead caught three passes for 33 yards in just under one-quarter of play this season. He’ll be a major part of the Ravens offense once he’s healthy.
Availability: Owned in ~ 30% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Woodhead is a valuable stash for fantasy playoffs.

On the Radar: Devontae Booker (5%)

Wide Receivers

Rock Star Free Agent

Robby Anderson, New York Jets
Anderson has scored in each of his last three games. Over that span, he’s caught 13 of 16 targets for 187 yards and the three touchdowns. Anderson isn’t catching a ton of passes but he’s making them count right now. Since Week 3, he’s recorded at least 59 yards receiving four times to go along with his three touchdowns. Anderson has a favorable matchup this week against a Buccaneers defense that ranks in the Top 5 at allowing fantasy points to receivers. This is a good time to grab the hot Anderson if you need a receiver.

Availability: Owned in ~ 50% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Anderson is a WR3/4 for the rest of the year.

Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars
It says a lot about the unpredictability of the NFL that our two top waiver wire receivers heading into Week 10 are on the Jets and Jaguars. Lee has really come on over his last three games. He’s caught 17 passes for 230 yards and one touchdown on 28 targets. During that three-game span, Lee has put up at least 72 yards receiving and been targeted 10, 6 and 12 times. The Jaguars don’t have the most high-powered passing attack, but Lee has clearly established himself as the team’s No. 1 receiver. That’s something.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Lee is a WR4 in PPR formats.

1 Week Plug & Play/Grab & Stash

Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams
Woods caught four passes for 70 yards and two touchdowns against the Giants on Sunday. The touchdowns were Woods’ first two of the season. However, it’s Woods’ fourth solid PPR performance in a row. Before Sunday, Woods had caught five passes for at least 59 yards in three straight games. Woods doesn’t have a high ceiling because he doesn’t score a lot but he’s put up at least 10 points in PPR leagues in 5 of 8 games this season. He has a good matchup this week versus a Texans secondary that’s been torched by receivers the last two weeks. Grab Woods for the rest of the season and start him this week if you need a receiver.
Availability: Owned in ~ 30% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Woods is a WR3/Flex option for Week 10.

Grab & Stash

Josh Doctson, Washington Redskins
Doctson is starting to make more plays for the Redskins. On Sunday against the Seahawks, he caught three passes for 59 yards. He has three touchdowns in his last six games. Doctson still isn’t getting enough targets to insert in your starting lineup but that should change soon. Terrelle Pryor has been a disaster in Washington. Jamison Crowder and Jordan Reed are both injured right now. Doctson will have opportunities over the final month of the season to emerge as the Redskins top receiver. He’s worth stashing in 12-team leagues.
Availability: Owned in ~ 30% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Doctson is a stash in 12 and 14-team leagues.

Josh Gordon, Cleveland Brown
Gordon created a ton of buzz last week when he was reinstated into the NFL. He’ll be eligible to return in Week 13. Gordon was one of the NFL’s best receivers in 2013 but for fantasy purposes, we need to be realistic this season. He hasn’t played a down of football since 2014. Gordon hasn’t scored a touchdown since 2013. He’s coming on to a team late in the season that has arguably the worst quarterback situation in the NFL. If you’re dominating your league and it looks like a given that you’ll be in the playoffs, Gordon may be worth stashing. However, if you’re fighting just to make the playoffs, it’s hard to justify burning a roster spot on Gordon. It really depends on your team and league. Just keep expectations realistic. It’s not like Gordon is returning after a two-year absence to catch balls from Tom Brady.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Gordon is a stash in deeper leagues.

On the Radar: Cole Beasley (20%), Corey Davis (50%), Curtis Samuel (10%), Deonte Thompson (5%), Terrance Williams (10%)

Tight End

Rock Star Free Agent

Tyler Kroft, Cincinnati Bengals
Kroft is still available in over half of fantasy leagues right now. If you’re this far into the season and still searching for a tight end, he’s likely one of the top options left on the waiver wire. Kroft only caught two passes against the Jaguars but they went for 79 yards. He doesn’t get a ton of volume but before Sunday Kroft had caught at least four passes in four straight games. He’s also been a factor in the red zone with three red-zone touchdowns. Kroft’s upside is limited but he’s emerged as a consistent low-end TE1.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Kroft is a weekly low-end TE1.

Injury Replacement

Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins
Davis filled in for an injured Jordan Reed on Sunday and led the Redskins in targets (9), receptions (6) and receiving yards (72). Davis has four games this season with at least 65 yards receiving. Reed has none. Davis’ fantasy value is tied to Reed’s health but with all the problems the Redskins have at receiver right now, he’ll be a TE1 again this week if he gets the start against Minnesota.
Availability: Owned in ~ 60% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Davis is a TE1 if Reed is out again this we
ek.

On the Radar: Julius Thomas (15%)

Kickers

1 Week Plug & Play

Ryan Succop, Tennessee Titans
Succop has made at least three field goals in five games this season. This week he faces a Bengals team that ranks in the Top 10 in allowing fantasy points to opposing kickers. Succop has also been money from beyond 40 yards. He’s made seven kicks from beyond 40 yards in his last three games. He’s a strong play this week for owners in need of a kicker.
Availability: Owned in ~ 50% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Succop is a Top 12 kicker for Week 10.

On the Radar: Mike Nugent (20%)

Defense/Specials Teams

1 Week Plug & Play

Detroit Lions
The Lions are playing the Browns on Sunday. Cleveland allows the third most fantasy points to team defenses. Four times this year the Browns have given up at least three sacks in a game. Amazingly, Browns quarterbacks have thrown at least three interceptions in a game four times this year. The Lions have an underrated fantasy defense. Going into Monday night’s game versus the Packers, Detroit’s defense had scored double-digit fantasy points in 5 of 7 games. The Lions defense is a Top 10 play this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 55% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Lions are a Top 10 defense for Week 10.

New England Patriots
It’s always a good idea to consider a defense when the other team has no idea who its starting quarterback will be six days before the game. The Broncos offense is a complete mess right now. Denver gives up the second most fantasy points to team defenses. Brock Osweiler is likely to be under center again, which is good news for fantasy owners. The Patriots defense has turned the corner in its last three games after a slow start to the season with six sacks and three interceptions. New England’s defense and Denver’s offense are going in opposite directions. This game will likely get ugly.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: The Patriots defense is a top play this week vs. the struggling Broncos.

On the Radar: New York Jets (10%)

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