Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 11

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 11

DFS

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 11

Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.

Week 10 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)

QB
Josh McCown: 13.5
Eli Manning: 17.9

RB
Jordan Howard: 5.4
Orleans Darkwa: 12.8

WR
Robby Anderson: 18.5
Robert Woods: 40.1
Sammy Watkins: 12.1

TE
Kyle Rudolph: 8.7
Tyler Kroft: 1.4

D/ST
Bears: 3.0
Titans: 6.0

Quarterbacks

Eli Manning, New York Giants ($5,700 DraftKings) ($6,500 FanDuel)

We gave out Manning last week and even though the Giants played poorly in general, he put up 17.9 DraftKings points against the 49ers. Manning has another good matchup in Week 11.

The Chiefs defense is allowing the seventh most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks on DraftKings (20.6) and the eighth most on FanDuel (19.9). Kansas City gives up 270 yards per game through the air. Six quarterbacks have thrown for at least 249 yards versus the Chiefs and they’ve allowed multiple touchdown passes in a game five times.

The Giants defense is atrocious right now so Manning will have to throw the ball on Sunday to keep up with Kansas City’s offense. Even if the Giants get blown out, he should put up fantasy points like he did last week.

The return of Sterling Shepard also gives Manning another weapon to go along with tight end Evan Engram. Add it all up and it makes Manning a viable low-cost DFS option for the second week in a row.

Bargain Basement Play

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,200 DraftKings) ($7,500 FanDuel)

Bortles has quietly thrown for at least 241 yards and a touchdown in four straight games. Those aren’t huge fantasy numbers but it’s respectable for a guy who was fighting off Chad Henne three months ago.

This week Bortles gets a Browns defense that allows the 11th most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks on DraftKings (19.8) and the ninth most on FanDuel (19.7). Cleveland’s defense has given up at least two touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in 7 of 9 games this season.

Bortles has scored 18, 16, 20 and 14 DK points in his last four games. He has the right matchup to have another solid fantasy outing on Sunday. It does matter where you play though when it comes to Bortles. His salary is much higher on FanDuel than DraftKings.

Running Backs

Kenyan Drake, Miami Dolphins ($4,800 DraftKings) ($5,600 FanDuel)

Drake is stepping up since the Dolphins traded Jay Ajayi. In his last two games, Drake has gained 151 yards and scored a touchdown on just 16 carries. He’s also caught eight balls for 45 yards.

Drake had a tough matchup last week against the Panthers. That’s not the case this week. The Buccaneers allow the eighth most fantasy PPG to running backs (DraftKings 26.0, FanDuel 22.2). Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed at least 68 yards rushing five times and four receptions or more to a running back seven times.

Drake has scored 17 DK points in back-to-back games. The one concern is he’s not getting a ton of carries but so far Drake is making the most of his touches. He’s worth consideration again this week at his reasonable salary.

Bargain Basement Play

Rex Burkhead, New England Patriots ($3,600 DraftKings) ($5,700 FanDuel)

On Sunday night against the Broncos, Burkhead ran the ball 10 times for 36 yards. He also caught three passes for 27 yards and a touchdown. Burkhead’s 36 snaps led all Patriots running backs.

Burkhead has scored in back-to-back games and his versatility will allow him to remain a big part of the Patriots gameplan. This week Burkhead faces a Raiders defense that allows the fifth most fantasy PPG to running backs on DraftKings (27.1) and the fourth most on FanDuel (23.1). One area Oakland’s defense really struggles in is allowing receptions to running backs. The Raiders give up 6.2 receptions and 52 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs.

Burkhead has scored at least 13 DK points in three of five games this year and 15 points in consecutive weeks. He’s expected to have pretty high ownership numbers but given his salary and matchup, it’s worth eating the chalk with Burkhead.

Wide Receivers

Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders ($5,900 DraftKings) ($7,500 FanDuel)

Crabtree costs $5,900 on DraftKings this week. That’s his second lowest salary of the season ($5,800). It’s hard to pass up Crabtree at that price given his matchup.

The Patriots defense may be playing better but they still allow the second most fantasy PPG to wide receivers (DraftKings 40.6, FanDuel 32.5). New England has given up at least 70 yards to one receiver in 8 of 9 games this season. In the one game they didn’t, the Chargers Travis Benjamin (5/64/1) and Keenan Allen (4/61) each topped 60 yards.

Crabtree has scored double-digit points in 6 of 8 games this season and he’s reached 80 yards receiving four times. The Patriots may be playing better on defense but they still struggle to stop receivers. Fire up Crabtree with confidence this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,500 DraftKings) ($6,500 FanDuel)

Lee caught six passes for 55 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers. He was targeted a team-high 11 times. Lee has been targeted 39 times in his last four games. Over that span, Lee has topped 70 yards receiving three times and he’s scored twice.

The Browns have been tough on opposing receivers this year. They allow the 24th fewest fantasy PPG to receivers on DraftKings (29.6) and the 23rd fewest on FanDuel (24.1). However, with Allen Hurns out Sunday with an ankle injury, Lee is a good bet to see double-digit targets for the fourth time in five games.

Lee has 23 catches for 285 yards and two touchdowns in his last four games. That’s better production than Dez Bryant at a much cheaper salary. Keep riding him.

Tight Ends

Jared Cook, Oakland Raiders ($4,800 DraftKings) ($5,600 FanDuel)

Cook has topped 100 yards in two of his last three games. Over that three-game span, he has 18 receptions for 290 yards on 21 targets.

Cook has an opportunity to stay hot this week with a beatable matchup against the Patriots defense. New England is allowing the 14th most fantasy PPG to tight ends (DraftKings 12.5, FanDuel 10.1).

Cook’s $4,800 salary is his highest of the season on DraftKings but it’s still far below the top three tight ends on the board (Kelce, Gronkowski, Engram). If you’re looking for a tight end a shade below the elite guys that could produce similar numbers at a decent price this week, Cook is a good option.

Bargain Basement Play

Tyler Kroft, Cincinnati Bengals ($2,900 DraftKings) ($5,300 FanDuel)

Kroft only caught one pass last week against the Titans but he did see six targets. Kroft has fallen off in his last two games with just three receptions. Before that, Kroft had at least four receptions in four straight games.

Kroft could get back on track this week versus a Broncos defense really struggling to defend the tight end position. Denver is giving up the second most fantasy PPG to tight ends (DraftKings 18.7, FanDuel 15.3). The Broncos have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends. Only the Giants (10) and Browns (7) have allowed more.

Kroft isn’t expected to have high ownership this week, despite his favorable matchup and low salary. He may not have the highest ceiling but for the price, Kroft is worth a look.

Defense/Special Teams

Arizona Cardinals ($3,200 DraftKings) ($4,600 FanDuel)

Tom Savage is killing the Texans offense but one silver lining is owners can use defenses against him. In two games since taking over for Deshaun Watson, Savage has thrown two interceptions, lost three fumbles and been sacked five times. The Cardinals have 10 sacks in their last two games. The Texans allow the fourth most fantasy PPG to team defenses on both DraftKings and FanDuel (10.7). The Cardinals defense is one of the top value plays this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Cincinnati Bengals ($3,000 DraftKings) ($4,500 FanDuel)

The Bengals defense has recorded four sacks in two of its last three games. This week they get Brock Osweiler and the declining Broncos offense. Osweiler played better in his second start against the Patriots but in two games, he’s been sacked three times and thrown three interceptions. Denver’s special teams are also an abomination. The Broncos special teams allowed a kick return for a touchdown, lost a fumble and got a punt blocked versus New England. The Broncos allow the third most fantasy PPG to team defense (12.6). Keep fading Denver’s struggling offense.

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